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Author Topic: UEFA Europa Conference League - Alkmaar, Legia and Zrinjski  (Read 520170 times)

Online Clampy

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Re: Europe
« Reply #570 on: April 14, 2023, 01:37:22 PM »
Xg is just a load of bollocks.

Offline trinityoap

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Re: Europe
« Reply #571 on: April 14, 2023, 01:42:30 PM »
Are there any stats for rolling your sleeves up or looking people in the eye?

Offline Risso

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Re: Europe
« Reply #572 on: April 14, 2023, 01:45:05 PM »
Xg is just a load of bollocks.

The probability of you saying that was 0.82

Offline pauliewalnuts

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Re: Europe
« Reply #573 on: April 14, 2023, 01:55:35 PM »
Xg is just a load of bollocks.

I don't think it's a load of bollocks, but I do think that, as with all data measures, it is not so much what it measures, it is about how it is interpreted.

In this case of this video it is being seen as an ultimate form of truth.

For example, the guy just sees matches where we score more than our XG and then declares that means we were 'lucky', then applies the same evaluation to half a dozen other matches.

Offline Ads

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Re: Europe
« Reply #574 on: April 14, 2023, 02:03:33 PM »
0.6 against Man United. I felt Bailey and Ramsey's goals were ones that ought to have been taken and they duly were. There's nothing wrong with XG, but all the methodology behind it, doesn't alter the subjective nature of it.

Offline pablo_picasso

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Re: Europe
« Reply #575 on: April 14, 2023, 02:06:32 PM »
Xg is just a load of bollocks.

I don't think it's a load of bollocks, but I do think that, as with all data measures, it is not so much what it measures, it is about how it is interpreted.

In this case of this video it is being seen as an ultimate form of truth.

For example, the guy just sees matches where we score more than our XG and then declares that means we were 'lucky', then applies the same evaluation to half a dozen other matches.

All it means is that their xG prediction was wrong & he is using that shitty data to push his agenda...
« Last Edit: April 14, 2023, 03:21:19 PM by pablo_picasso »

Offline aldridgeboy

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Re: Europe
« Reply #576 on: April 14, 2023, 02:39:13 PM »
I’ve never understood Xg. Or even see the point.
While I’m at it , I’ve never seen the point in Rugby, when they put the number of “ phases“. on the screen

5th phase. So what ? Let me know when they’ve scored.

Offline pauliewalnuts

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Re: Europe
« Reply #577 on: April 14, 2023, 03:45:18 PM »
I’ve never understood Xg. Or even see the point.
While I’m at it , I’ve never seen the point in Rugby, when they put the number of “ phases“. on the screen

5th phase. So what ? Let me know when they’ve scored.

I've never seen the point in Rugby.

Offline paul_e

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  • Posts: 37254
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Re: Europe
« Reply #578 on: April 14, 2023, 03:54:57 PM »
I’ve never understood Xg. Or even see the point.
While I’m at it , I’ve never seen the point in Rugby, when they put the number of “ phases“. on the screen

5th phase. So what ? Let me know when they’ve scored.

I've never seen the point in Rugby.

Naughty!

The number of phases is relevant because play becomes less structured as the number of phases increases. It's not a particularly important stat but it can explain why a winger ends up one-on-one with a prop, for example.

Online Clampy

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Re: Europe
« Reply #579 on: April 14, 2023, 05:05:48 PM »
I’ve never understood Xg. Or even see the point.
While I’m at it , I’ve never seen the point in Rugby, when they put the number of “ phases“. on the screen

5th phase. So what ? Let me know when they’ve scored.

I've never seen the point in Rugby.

I've only been through it on the train.

Offline LeeB

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Re: Europe
« Reply #580 on: April 14, 2023, 05:23:26 PM »
He described Spurs away as one of the 'lucky' games.

We controlled that match from start to finish. Not much luck about that.

That was the one that stood out for me, with only the Leeds game at home where I thought we had a bit of luck on the balance of the game.

Offline ChicagoLion

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  • Location: Chicago
  • Literally
Re: Europe
« Reply #581 on: April 14, 2023, 08:33:33 PM »
I’ve never understood Xg. Or even see the point.
While I’m at it , I’ve never seen the point in Rugby, when they put the number of “ phases“. on the screen

5th phase. So what ? Let me know when they’ve scored.

I've never seen the point in Rugby.

I've only been through it on the train.
Wise.

Offline algy

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  • Location: Gogledd Cymru
  • GM : 26.03.2025
Re: Europe
« Reply #582 on: April 15, 2023, 10:31:42 AM »
Are there any stats for rolling your sleeves up or looking people in the eye?
This is really where xG falls down, it's doesn't hold a candle against rSU, LitE or the little known yN (Yeah no)

Having analysed all* of our games, we had a high rSU under Bruce but low LitE. Gerrard increased LitE dramatically, but our rSU dropped off a cliff. The key thing with Emery is he runs long, intensive sessions where players have to continually roll their sleeves up whilst looking him in the eye until Emery says "Yeah no" at them.

With some of the best rSU, LitE and yN stats in the league, it's absolutely no surprise that we've gone rocketing up the table.



* None

Offline Sexual Ealing

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Re: Europe
« Reply #583 on: April 15, 2023, 10:56:27 AM »
This data is meaningless unless we know whether players have their boots on. All I've ever asked is that they put their boots on. You can't ask more, or less, than that.

Offline algy

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Re: Europe
« Reply #584 on: April 15, 2023, 11:37:48 AM »
This data is meaningless unless we know whether players have their boots on. All I've ever asked is that they put their boots on. You can't ask more, or less, than that.
That's true, it's easy to overlook xBO (expected boots on). The best players in the world always have an xBO of close to 2.0, and it's really the level our players need to hit too.

 


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