The Much Awaited Return of Promotion Maths

[eamonn]

When you hear how loud our fans are when we play away, it comes through clearly on the radio and telly even in spells of games when we're not on top, our record outside of VP is a joke. How can it feel like an away game with thousands of us lot all bunched together and making noise? There's no excuse for how meek and shit we are.

Ipswich presumably turn up for away games in the north with a minibus full of famers #sorrySuffolkurgr8

[ChicagoLion]

Allready it is looking unlikely based on points but more importantly momentum.
How long can Xia let this drift before the probability goes from very difficult to almost impossible,?

[Villa75]

Come 10pm Tuesday we will, most likely be at least 10 points behind automatic promotion. After 7 games!

[Damo70]

How long before the thread is renamed relegation maths? If ourselves and Small Heath both go down we can get excited about more third division glory days and they can try to win their favourite trophy again.

[exiled on the wirral!]

Won 1 draw 3 lost 3 was our record at the start of the 1987/88 promotion season. It's the only hope I'm still clinging on too.

[Damo70]

Won 1 draw 3 lost 3 was our record at the start of the 1987/88 promotion season. It's the only hope I'm still clinging on too.

Was the win 2-0 at Leicester? We also won 2-0 at Albion not long after. And 0-1 at Huddersfield. Hopefully there is an omen there.

[exiled on the wirral!]

Won 1 draw 3 lost 3 was our record at the start of the 1987/88 promotion season. It's the only hope I'm still clinging on too.

Was the win 2-0 at Leicester? We also won 2-0 at Albion not long after. And 0-1 at Huddersfield. Hopefully there is an omen there.

I think so...the problem is I think we only lost 1 of the next 20 games, I'm not sure this lot is capable of that.

[Ad@m]

Won 1 draw 3 lost 3 was our record at the start of the 1987/88 promotion season. It's the only hope I'm still clinging on too.

Was the win 2-0 at Leicester? We also won 2-0 at Albion not long after. And 0-1 at Huddersfield. Hopefully there is an omen there.

I think so...the problem is I think we only lost 1 of the next 20 games, I'm not sure this lot is capable of that.

I think the players are.

[SoccerHQ]

Pretty frightening when you look at what we need to do.

40 games left, 20 wins would get us 66 points so we pretty much need a 50% win ratio from now just to make the the play offs.

[Ads]

Only if we plan on losing the other 20.

[SoccerHQ]

Already the season is panning out like last year did. No away wins and even though we're unbeaten at home, we've drawn 2 out of the 3 games.

We're going to need two spells this season where we do stuff like win 5 out of 6 games, it just dosen't look likely in our present state.

[Bad English]

I don't think maths is going to help us. Can we rename this thread to 'much-awaited advent of existential promotion nihilism'?

[adrenachrome]

The probablity of promotion may be expressed as:




Where B = Brucey Blunderballs.
In layman's lingo; fergetaboutit, we are fucked by a fuckwit.

[footyskillz]

Where are we now with 40 matches to go.
In all seriousness ? So we can get the maths to Dr Tony and tell him Bruce needs to start winning or global premier league football for us is being delayed !

[itbrvilla]

Allready it is looking unlikely based on points but more importantly momentum.
How long can Xia let this drift before the probability goes from very difficult to almost impossible,?

I'm amazed that no one appears to be looking at the numbers. It's clear our season is over much as it was this stage last year.  Some heads need to roll for this shit.