I have just dug my little enough points sticky note out of my desk. It has one tick next to West Ham for an expected three points and a nice little mark in the unexpected points column for Everton.
I have us down for 7 points from the next four games. The critical two are Reading and QPR. If we can win the former, then I think it will be curtains for Reading and consequently, by winning the later QPR will be down too. The point comes at home to Liverpool.
I think though that a point at Reading would be a good one though.
I have us down for 41, but then I think SHQ is right, 36 will be enough.
If we can beat Reading, QPR, Sunderland and Fulham then we will go to Wigan with nothing to play for but the chance of sending them down.