Relegation Watch

[Fred Crump]

Agreed, on form, as he is at the moment, he is a cracking player. Noble is very important to them too.

[Brend'Watkins]

He certainly is.  Very good player.   

[mr underhill]

they only need a point to survive don't they? Get that tonight and they will be a different proposition on Sunday

[themossman]

I think the point is a red herring. They’ve done enough already when you look at the insane GD swing required for anyone to get past them.

[Smithy]

I think the point is a red herring. They’ve done enough already when you look at the insane GD swing required for anyone to get past them.

Indeed, if they lose 5-0 tonight, we'd STILL have to beat them 4-0 on Sunday to go above them (and Watford need an even bigger swing than that, and we'd BOTH have to do that for them to go down with Norwich and Bournemouth).  They are safe, even if it's mathematically possible to catch them.

[pelty]

I know this is obvious to all but me, but a win is not enough on Sunday, right? Assuming all teams win, we need Watford not to win by two goals more than us? Am I thinking straight here?

[chrisw1]

I know this is obvious to all but me, but a win is not enough on Sunday, right? Assuming all teams win, we need Watford not to win by two goals more than us? Am I thinking straight here?

Yes.  But if we win Watford need to score at least 3 goals which seems improbable to me.

[themossman]

Yep. For perspective, you can get 750-1 on them being relegated.

Whether they are technically, mathematically safe is a moot point.

[Rudy Can't Fail]

West Ham to take a point tonight and be firmly on the beach Sunday. We win 2-0 at their place and have a totally easy Sunday 🙏🏻

West Ham have nothing to fear. They would need these results to be relegated:

Lose by 8 vs Man U and 3 vs Villa, and Watford win by 4
Lose by 7 vs Man U and 4 vs Villa, and Watford win by 4
Lose by 6 vs Man U and 4 vs Villa, and Watford win by 5
Lose by 5 vs Man U and 5 vs Villa, and Watford win by 5
Lose by 4 vs Man U and 5 vs Villa, and Watford win by 6
Lose by 3 vs Man U and 6 vs Villa, and Watford win by 6
Lose by 2 vs Man U and 6 vs Villa, and Watford win by 7
Lose by 1 vs Man U and 7 vs Villa, and Watford win by 7

[olaftab]

I would like WH to lose tonight so that all they do on Sunday is to try to avoid a heavy defeat.

[SoccerHQ]

If West Ham lose toinight they'll be in a very similar situation to us in the McLeish season. Pretty sure we could've still gone down if Bolton and QPR have won and we'd lost 14-0 or something.

Hopefully West Ham play like we did that day.

[lovejoy]

I'd like them to win so they are nice and relaxed on sunday.

[cdbearsfan]

I hope they lose 12-0 and have several players sent off.

[IFWaters]

1) IF WE LOSE, we need Watford to lose by at least 1 less goal than us, and Bournemouth to NOT WIN

2) IF WE DRAW, we need Watford to not win

3) IF WE WIN, we need Watford to not win by more than 2 goals than us

So what Bournemouth does only matters if we lose.
And as long as Watford's goal diff is same or worse than us, we stay up (cos weve scored more goals)
Re (1) if Watford lose by 1 goal we can lose by 1 or 2 goals and still stay up

SIMPLES !

[VinnieChase84]

West Ham to take a point tonight and be firmly on the beach Sunday. We win 2-0 at their place and have a totally easy Sunday 🙏🏻

This is happening