collapse collapse

Please donate to help towards the costs of keeping this site going. Thank You.

Follow us on...

Author Topic: Relegation Watch  (Read 148953 times)

Offline Toronto Villa

  • Member
  • *
  • Posts: 53923
  • Age: 51
  • Location: Toronto, Canada
  • GM : 22.07.2024
Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #480 on: June 22, 2020, 05:50:14 PM »
The sooner we get to a spot through our own accomplishments where the teams below us start to drift into the distance the better.

Offline Footy-Vill

  • Member
  • *
  • Posts: 6362
  • GM : 01.11.2024
Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #481 on: June 22, 2020, 08:14:17 PM »
I think this could be a very low points required to stay up 35 or 36 which still means we need  to win 3 games.

That's a standard total not a low total.

Premier league history has shown that since the league was cut to 20 teams in 1995/96, the average points required to avoid the drop has been much lower than 40.

I've added last seasons points tally to include
the past 24 seasons, the 18th-placed team, the highest to go down, have averaged 35.5 points

Looking at the last 3 seasons without our beloved club in the premier league the points needed to be safe were

2018/19 35 pts
2017/18 34pts
2016/17 35pts

In 2015/16 Villa achieved 17pts and we finished 20th. We would have survived if we made 38pts 

2014/15 finished 17th with 38pts .
And 36pts would have seen us safe

Hull relegated with 35 pts


And in fact it's not since 2002/3 season that over 40 pts was needed . That season 43 points needed to stay in league.

Offline Footy-Vill

  • Member
  • *
  • Posts: 6362
  • GM : 01.11.2024
Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #482 on: June 22, 2020, 08:15:38 PM »
To be safe I’m sure we will need 13 points. Just not going to happen. Even if we managed 8 I don’t think 34 keeps you up. We need 38/39
36 /37 could but the goal difference is a concern

Offline Ad@m

  • Member
  • Posts: 12563
  • GM : 23.03.2023
Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #483 on: June 22, 2020, 09:08:14 PM »
It's still 4 wins. From 8 games. If anyone can genuinely see that happening I'll have whatever they're having...

Offline ChicagoLion

  • Member
  • Posts: 22105
  • Location: Chicago
  • Literally
Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #484 on: June 22, 2020, 09:27:30 PM »
It's still 4 wins. From 8 games. If anyone can genuinely see that happening I'll have whatever they're having...
3 wins 35 points

Offline gpbarr

  • Member
  • Posts: 1424
  • Location: New York City
  • GM : 31.03.2017
Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #485 on: June 22, 2020, 09:45:29 PM »
It's still 4 wins. From 8 games. If anyone can genuinely see that happening I'll have whatever they're having...
3 wins 35 points

We will be lucky to get 3 points let alone 3 wins. We are well and truly cooked. Time to plan for the a championship I’m afraid

Offline Footy-Vill

  • Member
  • *
  • Posts: 6362
  • GM : 01.11.2024
Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #486 on: June 22, 2020, 10:08:59 PM »
2 wins 6pts - Newcastle and Palace.
4 draws - 4pts Wolves , Arsenal ,  Everton , West Ham
2 defeats - Liverpool , Man Utd

10pts = 36pts

Online Steve67

  • Member
  • *
  • Posts: 12235
  • Location: Down south now. Born in Aston.
  • GM : 01.12.2024
Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #487 on: June 22, 2020, 10:24:18 PM »
It's still 4 wins. From 8 games. If anyone can genuinely see that happening I'll have whatever they're having...
3 wins 35 points

Probably gets us third from bottom.  Even 4 wins may not be enough.

Online PaulWinch again

  • Member
  • *
  • Posts: 49020
  • Location: winchester
  • GM : 25.05.2024
Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #488 on: June 22, 2020, 10:25:58 PM »
4 wins would do it. But I’d be stunned if we got it.

Offline Tayls_7

  • Member
  • *
  • Posts: 3824
  • Age: 53
  • Location: Lincoln
  • GM : 13.09.2024
Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #489 on: June 22, 2020, 10:48:11 PM »
Will we cobble together 3 more points than Watford and 2 more points than Wet Spam in the remaining games? It doesn't look promising if we don't start showing some mettle.

Offline Meanwood Villa

  • Member
  • *
  • Posts: 6875
  • GM : PCM
Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #490 on: June 22, 2020, 11:02:32 PM »
Will we cobble together 3 more points than Watford and 2 more points than Wet Spam in the remaining games? It doesn't look promising if we don't start showing some mettle.

We don't necessarily need to finish above both of them.

Offline eamonn

  • Member
  • Posts: 29738
  • Location: Down to Worthing...and work there
  • GM : 26.07.2020
Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #491 on: June 22, 2020, 11:11:40 PM »
2 wins 6pts - Newcastle and Palace.
4 draws - 4pts Wolves , Arsenal ,  Everton , West Ham
2 defeats - Liverpool , Man Utd

10pts = 36pts

When you put it like that, piece of piss!

I'm pissed off that with most fixtures we get less recovery time than the opposition. Palace will have two extra days to rest and prepare before we play them and they are bloody difficult to score against. We'll still be knackered from chasing shadows against ManUre in the previous game.

Offline SoccerHQ

  • Member
  • Posts: 42391
  • Location: Down, down, deeper and Down.
  • GM : 19.06.2021
Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #492 on: June 22, 2020, 11:38:31 PM »
Our last chance is this week really.

West Ham have Spurs away who have all their attackers back and Bournemouth are at Wolves so decent chance both will lose. Would be out of bottom 3 if we can win and we also on first at weekend with the early kick off v Wolves.

If we can't get up to at least 17th by Saturday afternoon I really can't see how we're going to do it in the remaining fixtures. If anything we'll get further adrift. It's incredible we're still just 1 point off 17th considering we've lost 11 of our last 16 league games.

Offline Footy-Vill

  • Member
  • *
  • Posts: 6362
  • GM : 01.11.2024
Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #493 on: June 22, 2020, 11:43:48 PM »
11 crosses by Willian
11 crosses by Azpilicueta

Chelsea hammered us on that left side.
I don't want to think what Adama and Matt Doherty are gonna do.

Offline David_Nab

  • Member
  • Posts: 4260
  • Location: Luton
  • GM : 24.12.2015
Re: Relegation Watch
« Reply #494 on: June 22, 2020, 11:58:30 PM »
Watford will certainly be excited to play Burnley who looked a shambles tonight and are short of players due to issues with contracts ..

 


SimplePortal 2.3.6 © 2008-2014, SimplePortal