I think this could be a very low points required to stay up 35 or 36 which still means we need to win 3 games.
That's a standard total not a low total.
Premier league history has shown that since the league was cut to 20 teams in 1995/96, the average points required to avoid the drop has been much lower than 40.
I've added last seasons points tally to include
the past 24 seasons, the 18th-placed team, the highest to go down, have averaged 35.5 points
Looking at the last 3 seasons without our beloved club in the premier league the points needed to be safe were
2018/19 35 pts
2017/18 34pts
2016/17 35pts
In 2015/16 Villa achieved 17pts and we finished 20th. We would have survived if we made 38pts
2014/15 finished 17th with 38pts .
And 36pts would have seen us safe
Hull relegated with 35 pts
And in fact it's not since 2002/3 season that over 40 pts was needed . That season 43 points needed to stay in league.