The Much Awaited Return of Promotion Maths

[Brassneck]

Fulham are 8 points behind Cardiff. That would mean that they need to win 2, if not 3 more games than Cardiff from the last 12 to overtake them.  Not impossible it would take an excellent Fulham run, alongside a poor Cardiff run for it to happen. Whilst not writing Fulham off yet, they have quite a long way to go to reach 2nd.

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Looking at run-ins, Cardiff have some fucking easy games. Could really do with them bottling it and/or having an injury crisis like we've had to put up with all bloody season.

What, like losing their best two players for about three months in the run up to Christmas?

Every club has injuries, but;

Kodjia: Aug-Sept & Oct-may
Terry: Nov-Jan
Grealish: Aug-Dec & Feb-Mar
Jedinak: Aug-Dec
Adomah: Feb-Mar

[Ad@m]

Looking at run-ins, Cardiff have some fucking easy games. Could really do with them bottling it and/or having an injury crisis like we've had to put up with all bloody season.

What, like losing their best two players for about three months in the run up to Christmas?

Every club has injuries, but;

Kodjia: Aug-Sept & Oct-may
Terry: Nov-Jan
Grealish: Aug-Dec & Feb-Mar
Jedinak: Aug-Dec
Adomah: Feb-Mar

Exactly, so maybe we should stop trying to turn ours in to an excuse.  If anything, the fact we've had so many good players injured shows how strong our squad is - I doubt there's a team in the division who's best five players are as good as the ones you've listed there.

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I think it's fair when comparing us with the Dingles. They've had an excellent run of fitness, unlike much of the top 6.

If they'd have lost their best players, like we have, and for as long as we have, I'd be very surprised if they were 10 clear.

[chrisw1]

Looking at run-ins, Cardiff have some fucking easy games. Could really do with them bottling it and/or having an injury crisis like we've had to put up with all bloody season.

What, like losing their best two players for about three months in the run up to Christmas?

Every club has injuries, but;

Kodjia: Aug-Sept & Oct-may
Terry: Nov-Jan
Grealish: Aug-Dec & Feb-Mar
Jedinak: Aug-Dec
Adomah: Feb-Mar

Exactly, so maybe we should stop trying to turn ours in to an excuse.  If anything, the fact we've had so many good players injured shows how strong our squad is - I doubt there's a team in the division who's best five players are as good as the ones you've listed there.

I think it's perfectly reasonable to reference our injury situation.  All clubs have injuries but losing our best player for an entire season and other most influential players (Terry, Grealish & Jedinak) for significant portions of the season seems pretty tough to me.

[PeterWithesShin]

The vast majority of us would have predicted before the season started that Jedi and Appleyard would miss a fair few games. Kod and Grealish have been the tough ones.

[Dave P]

I think it's fair when comparing us with the Dingles. They've had an excellent run of fitness, unlike much of the top 6.

If they'd have lost their best players, like we have, and for as long as we have, I'd be very surprised if they were 10 clear.

Wasn't Neves out on Saturday?  Result, a 2-0 loss.

[Rudy Can't Fail]

The vast majority of us would have predicted before the season started that Jedi and Appleyard would miss a fair few games. Kod and Grealish have been the tough ones.

Truth be told, even Grealish wasn't that much of a miss back in August. Sure, lots of us were hoping he could start to fulfill his potential and saw this as a big season for him. The Jack we've just lost how is another player and would rightly be described as one of, if not, our most influential player. He's been an absolute joy to watch and I just hope he can quickly reach the same level on his return.

I thought Jedi was a massive loss. At least with Jedi in the side you knew where Bruce would play him. The confusion during his absence of replacing him with Hourihane and Whelan did neither us or the players any favours.

[olaftab]

Fulham are 8 points behind Cardiff. That would mean that they need to win 2, if not 3 more games than Cardiff from the last 12 to overtake them.  Not impossible it would take an excellent Fulham run, alongside a poor Cardiff run for it to happen. Whilst not writing Fulham off yet, they have quite a long way to go to reach 2nd.

Well
I am writing off Fulham. They are too far behind Cardiff.

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Seen a stat on Twitter that shows how shite the top flight is beyond the top six.

After 17 games Burnley were 6th, a point ahead of 7th. 11 games later, having not won in that time, they're 7th.

[amfy]

Fulham are 8 points behind Cardiff. That would mean that they need to win 2, if not 3 more games than Cardiff from the last 12 to overtake them.  Not impossible it would take an excellent Fulham run, alongside a poor Cardiff run for it to happen. Whilst not writing Fulham off yet, they have quite a long way to go to reach 2nd.

Well
I am writing off Fulham. They are too far behind Cardiff.

I think you'd have to say that. If 10 points is too big a ask for us to caych wobbling Wolves, then I am not sure how Fulham can pull back 8 points on consistent Cardiff, no matter how good they are.

[chrisw1]

The vast majority of us would have predicted before the season started that Jedi and Appleyard would miss a fair few games. Kod and Grealish have been the tough ones.

Really?  Aren't we beyond that daft name now for our captain who has been impeccable all season? 

[ChicagoLion]

We need 4 wins from the next 6, I do not like our run in.

[PeterWithesShin]

The vast majority of us would have predicted before the season started that Jedi and Appleyard would miss a fair few games. Kod and Grealish have been the tough ones.

Really?  Aren't we beyond that daft name now for our captain who has been impeccable all season? 

No.

[tomd2103]

Just had a quick look at the table and a browse through our results.  The following home games really stand out as poor performances and results:

Middlesbrough 0-0
Brentford 0-0
Sheff Weds 1-2
Sheff Utd 2-2 (when were 2-0 up and Jedinak had a nightmare)
Millwall 0-0
Preston 1-1 (bit lucky to get a draw on the night but could have won it at the end)

We can't afford many more of those type of results now and they could still end up costing us.