The Much Awaited Return of Promotion Maths

[Matt Collins]

I’d say that they’ve got quite a few winnable games coming up. Based on earlier in the thread that must mean they have a tough run in

[walsall villain]

I’d say that they’ve got quite a few winnable games coming up. Based on earlier in the thread that must mean they have a tough run in

Predicting results is very difficult, if it was easy we’d all make fortunes. I can’t get Villa’s correct never mind any other team. Playing teams at the bottom in the run in can prove tricky in this league.

[nordenvillain]

Sessegnon is not 18 yet so huge potential and I think he will be captured City or Chelsea to add to their   speculative elite talent pool.

I thiiiink I am right in saying he has some kind of pre-contract agreement with Spurs... Probably a Danny Rose replacement/competition as Rose hasn't looked very happy there this season. But yes he's fantastic.

Something that probably deserves a thread of its own are the players from teams around us (Derby/Fulham/Cardiff/Bristol etc) that I'd want us to pinch on the way up. Lawrence from Derby and Cairney at Fulham would be two. The latter is probably due a PL move

I have it from a very good source that there is no chance of Tom Cairney coming to Villa whilst we have our present manager - He was the reason that Cairney left Hull City/Tigers. And as we would only go for him if we were to be promoted and therefore we would be highly unlikely to change our manager, he's not coming anywhere near VP unless playing for an opposition team.

[KevinGage]

To match Brighton and Newcastle last season we needed at least 71 points after 34 games. Only wolves has managed to do this exceeding the target by 2 points.
Some of the early pacesetters have fallen short (even Cardiff despite their recent form) allowing Fulham, Derby and ourselves (on the back of 7 consecutive wins) to get back into the mix. Essentially I still think we're playing for 2nd place behind Wolves. Brighton finished as runners up last season on 93 points...

They did.  But they only needed 86 to claim second spot (Reading finished 3rd on 85).

[McGraths Dry Cleaning]

I went to the Fulham/Wolves game - they were very ordinary. I wonder if they're going to try harder when they come to VP lol.

[Steve67]

A 12 game season. None of them are going to be easy at squeeky bum time. Derby, Cardiff and Wolves all to come to VP.  Nervy but great excitement. 

[Richard E]

We need to factor in the 3 points we'll have deducted when the FA overturn yesterday's result in response to the letter of complaint from that Wednesday fan.

[themossman]

I’ve never liked Cardiff but they’re fast becoming one of my most hated non local teams, just behind the barcodes.

I've no firm feelings about Cardiff either way. But I loathe their manager and I always have. Colin fucking Wanker.

I spend most my time in S Wales and the South west and fair to say nobody outside Cardiff has anything but hate for the scummers. They’re one of those think they’re better than they are/grubby/jealous of their far better neighbours teams. Welsh bluenoses basically.

The Colin W connection has cemented how I feel about them although to be fair it’s looking increasingly like he’s going to get them over the line in the kind of style we though we were paying Bruce to do.

[VinnieChase84]

Before the international break these are the games;

Us - QPR (H), Sunderland (A), Wolves (H), Bolton (A)

Cardiff - Brentford (A), Barnsley (H), Blues (H), Derby (A)

Derby - Fulham (H), QPR (A), Forest (A), Cardiff (H)

Fulham - Derby (A), Sheff United (H), Preston (A), QPR (H)

[brontebilly]

Before the international break these are the games;

Us - QPR (H), Sunderland (A), Wolves (H), Bolton (A)

Cardiff - Brentford (A), Barnsley (H), Blues (H), Derby (A)

Derby - Fulham (H), QPR (A), Forest (A), Cardiff (H)

Fulham - Derby (A), Sheff United (H), Preston (A), QPR (H)

We simply have to win next weekend. When are Grealish and AA due back ?

[Matt Collins]

Brice was hoping they’ll be ready for qpr

I don’t think it’s a safe bet though

Wouldn’t  be surprised if Albert is but jack isn’t

[SoccerHQ]

Can see us on 71 points going into the next break. Given their home games think Cardiff will remain slightly ahead but not too concerned about that as they then have a very tough run when things start up again.

[olaftab]

We need to factor in the 3 points we'll have deducted when the FA overturn yesterday's result in response to the letter of complaint from that Wednesday fan.

Would it be just straight 3 points deduction or a further fine of 6 points for violently upsetting their fans? I can't see us making play-offs if so

[Sexual Ealing]

Before the international break these are the games;

Us - QPR (H), Sunderland (A), Wolves (H), Bolton (A)

Cardiff - Brentford (A), Barnsley (H), Blues (H), Derby (A)

Derby - Fulham (H), QPR (A), Forest (A), Cardiff (H)

Fulham - Derby (A), Sheff United (H), Preston (A), QPR (H)

We should be looking for nothing less than 9 points.

Cardiff: 7 before they play Derby. There's good news for us from them Vs Derby regardless.

Derby: Fulham is another 'good news whatever happens' game for us, as is their game Vs Cardiff.

Fulham: if they're still on the same run after those four then fair play to them. They'd go up deservedly.

[olaftab]

Both Fulham and Derby need 3 additional wins to overtake Cardiff so auto pro is dead in the water for them. The only team that can stop Cardiff is at B6.