Are we mathematically safe? - Yes

[pauliewalnuts]

Maybe should forget writing in middle of night?

And maybe try to remember paragraphs, too.

[Rudy Can't Fail]

If Man U lose their title, we are in trouble..

How ?  Arsenal or Liverpool wont win it instead.

ManU's last two games are against Blackburn and then Blackpool. If they remain unbeaten we are mathematically, stick-on, guaranteed not to be relegated.

It's reported Ferguson plans to play his Reserve side against Blackpool, resting all his players before the Barcelona game.

[Clampy]

If Man U lose their title, we are in trouble..

How ?  Arsenal or Liverpool wont win it instead.

ManU's last two games are against Blackburn and then Blackpool. If they remain unbeaten we are mathematically, stick-on, guaranteed not to be relegated.

It's reported Ferguson plans to play his Reserve side against Blackpool, resting all his players before the Barcelona game.

I'm not sure he will. One, they're unbeaten at home and have won the last 15 on the trot or something like that so they'll want to keep that up and 2, they'll get a fine from the F.A if they do, then again it's the F.A so maybe they won't.

[Brian Taylor]

I am fecked off with performance and want to go back to that vicious foul mouthed Baggie with a suitable retort.
The incident happened prior to Wolves thrashing them so that is something to shut the cocky cnut up but I'd prefer it were us doing the scoring. Civility cost nowt!
Sorry if my posts are considered depressing or worse. I'll perk up for next year; promise.
50 years of following the Villa I want something to justify the time spent.
I don't want another season of straw grasping..

I want to finish this seasson above the Baggies that is my goal now.
Forget others losing to make us safe..we need points from Pool and Arsenal..wins no less. Nothing short of that is good enough!

[cdbearsfan]

Villa will be safe if they gain 1 or more points from their remaining two games.

West Ham cannot catch Villa.

Of the other five teams below Villa, at least three would need to finish above Villa for Villa to be relegated.

Their scenarios to do so are as follows (assuming Villa lose both games)…

BLACKBURN (Man U (h), Wolves (a))

Gain 4-6 points.*

Gain 3 points, beating Man U but losing to Wolves. Must make up two goals in goal difference on Villa.

Gain 3 points, losing to Man U but beating Wolves. Must make up two goals in goal difference on Villa.*

BIRMINGHAM (Fulham (h), Spurs (a))

Gain 4 or more points.

Gain 3 points. Must make up six goals in goal difference on Villa.

WOLVES (Sunderland (a), Blackburn (h))

Gain 6 points.**

BLACKPOOL (Bolton (h), Man U (a))

Gain 6 points. Must make up nine goals in goal difference on Villa.

WIGAN (West Ham (h), Stoke (a))

Gain 6 points. Must make up ten goals in goal difference on Villa.

* in this circumstance, Wolves cannot catch Villa.

** in this circumstance, Blackburn cannot catch Villa unless they beat Man U and make up goal difference of two on Villa in remaining games.

[adrenachrome]

Maybe should forget writing in middle of night?

And maybe try to remember paragraphs, too.

In the words of one of our former posters whose first language was not English: put some air in the text!

[Brian Taylor]

I admit I am deflated presently. As soon as Villa get some air in the tyres I am sure I'll starting bouncing around like a good 'un.

[nodge]

Like someone said earlier, if you are seriously worried and have spare fiver then have a bet on the results.  If you had a 'worse case scenario' bet last Saturday, i.e Wigan, Blues, Blackpool, Blackburn and Wolves to win, you would have got about 550-1.  You'd get a hell of a lot more for 10 results.  You'd be minted and wouldn't really be too worried about Villa having a season in the championship

[Legion]

I would be.

[nodge]

Well I've just done the paddypower football accumulator calculator for 10 results.  Put 3 or 4 evens, a couple of 2-1's, a couple of 3-1's, a 4-1 and a 6-4 and you're looking at about 50k for a fiver.  I'm not saying I'd be happy being relegated but it would soften the blow. 

[Brian Taylor]

If the bookies are offering those odds i don't want to pee on your parade but the likelihood of us going down is the equivalent of a cold day in hell.
The Villa do give me the shivers more often than not these days, that said.
I'll be rooting for you..not!

[nodge]

I haven't had a bet, I said if people were seriously worried and had a spare fiver.
I won't be wasting one.

[cdbearsfan]

I don't think we'll go down, I just want to be mathematically safe before the last game. If we lose, Blackpool and/or Wigan win and Wolves and/or Blackburn win, we won't be.

[ez]

The blues fan at work is absolutely bricking it, convinced they have to get something against Fulham or they're down.

[The Left Side]

The blues fan at work is absolutely bricking it, convinced they have to get something against Fulham or they're down.

Fingers crossed, let's hope so