Quote from: Pat Mustard on Today at 09:05:24 AMRegardless of if we win the league (or are even still challenging by the end of the season), we have consistently been the fourth best team in the country since Emery took over. Other than C115y, Arsenal and Liverpool (and even they are wobbling now), no other team has done what we've done and been in the Champions League race solidly for the last 3 years (and had Emery taken over earlier we would probably have qualified in 22/23 too).I think this is what pisses me off about the media coverage most of all - it is just lazy, talk of lack of squad depth and the expectation that we will eventually fall away. Given the advantages that the three teams named above have had, plus then what the likes of Chelsea, Manure, Spuds and Newcastle should also have on us than what we are doing is remarkable, but it's not an aberration - we are at least the fourth best team in England, and have been for nigh on 3 years now. Bang on. I caught a bit of the Stick to Football podcast last week and it really wound me up. There was a Villa fan on it and Carragher’s opening line was ‘are you in a false position?’ Like you say, we’ve been in the top 4 best teams for 3 years now and all he can come up with is that ill informed shite.
Regardless of if we win the league (or are even still challenging by the end of the season), we have consistently been the fourth best team in the country since Emery took over. Other than C115y, Arsenal and Liverpool (and even they are wobbling now), no other team has done what we've done and been in the Champions League race solidly for the last 3 years (and had Emery taken over earlier we would probably have qualified in 22/23 too).I think this is what pisses me off about the media coverage most of all - it is just lazy, talk of lack of squad depth and the expectation that we will eventually fall away. Given the advantages that the three teams named above have had, plus then what the likes of Chelsea, Manure, Spuds and Newcastle should also have on us than what we are doing is remarkable, but it's not an aberration - we are at least the fourth best team in England, and have been for nigh on 3 years now.
Recent history suggests you've a better chance of winning the league with a Brazilian called Alysson. He'll be the final piece in our jigsaw.
It’s the matches where we get it all wrong (or are totally out thought), rather than close defeats, that will be our undoing.In particular, examples like this…Man utd Palace x3 timesGo Ahead EaglesMonacoStop these anomalies and then we’d be in with a shout. These rarely happen to champions and winners.
Every side is 3 potential injuries away from a derailed season. Apart from Wolves as you can't derail an already wrecked train. That's on fire. Upside down. With emergency services ignoring it.
Quote from: PeterWithesShin on Today at 02:49:43 PMEvery side is 3 potential injuries away from a derailed season. Apart from Wolves as you can't derail an already wrecked train. That's on fire. Upside down. With emergency services ignoring it.They can't see it, it's at the bottom of the lake. And it's still on fire.
Quote from: London Villan on Today at 02:40:08 PMIt’s the matches where we get it all wrong (or are totally out thought), rather than close defeats, that will be our undoing.In particular, examples like this…Man utd Palace x3 timesGo Ahead EaglesMonacoStop these anomalies and then we’d be in with a shout. These rarely happen to champions and winners.Every club has shit results, Liverpool won the league while losing to Plymouth and being made to look like fools by Forest and Fulham.
Those OPTA predictions are based almost entirely on xG and xGA (expected goals and expected goals against), so it does a little calculation based on those numbers for both teams and predicts a scoreline for every game but never adjusts the underlying numbers and it isn't really taking form into account, just the numbers for the entire season.From what I can make out there is a little more to it but really it's a pretty flawed model that doesn't add much value, and that's without considering the fact that how we've been playing is almost designed to be 2 fingers up to those underlying stats meaning it doesn't really know what to do with us. Similar predictive models have struggled with other teams (and in other sports) where they step a little too far away from following the data blindly.
Not to mention we should have been out of sight in the first 20 minutes against Go Ahead Eagles, so I'm not really sure how that is "getting it all wrong"
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Topic: Will we win the Premier League (Read 11769 times)
