Will we win the Premier League

[usav]

Not to mention we should have been out of sight in the first 20 minutes against Go Ahead Eagles, so I'm not really sure how that is "getting it all wrong"

I assumed because we weren't out of sight and then contrived (with the ref's help) to give them two goals from no where.

But I thought the original point about getting it wrong was around tactics/the manager.  If it wasn't, then my mistake. 

[algy]

I figure you need a minimum of 80 points to win, I think you need to go back to the 90s for the last time the PL Champs didn't hit at least 80. Plenty of times 80 isn't enough but that's the realistic minimum target to be a contender. So with 23 to go that's 69 points, Liverpool can do a max of 92. Are they only going to drop a max of 12 points in the last 23 games, nope imo so that's how I eliminate clubs. Look at the table and can a club still realistically hit at least 80 without a bonkers run, nope and you're out.

I only see 4 left that have the potential to hit 80.

Arsenal are currently averaging about 2.2pts/game, which would put the total around 84pts to win the league.

I think PWS is right, there aren’t that many clubs who are still in with a realistic chance of winning the league now. Anything between 2 and 10 depending on how confident you are in teams having a huge uptick in form.(baring in mind that they’ll have to compete with at least a couple of teams who’ll be averaging over 2pts/game)

[PeterWithesShin]

I even discount Palace, because of AFCON, their amount of fixtures and lack of squad. ManU have the Amorim drage factor, Everton aren't going to hit 80 and so on. Even for us to hit 82 it's 2 points a game all the way which is tough, so the clubs 5+ points behind us need to be even better than that to get there.

For me it leaves Arsenal, ManC, Chelsea and us that have a non bonkers chance of 80+. A bad month, especially for us or Chelsea right now, will massively drop our chances of it.

[PeterWithesShin]

[Mellin]

Nice video. Tanswell's very good. First tine I've heard him speak and comes across well.

Interesting that they said NO EUROPEAN TEAM HAS WON MORE GAMES AT HOME THAN ASTON VILLA IN THE LAST THREE YEARS.

[PeterWithesShin]

His research is asking me... 

Since the start of 23/24 we've won more European home games than anyone. Ok it's been across all 3 comps while some others are CL only but it's still pretty impressive.