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Author Topic: Villa Park Redevelopment  (Read 1142004 times)

Online Pat Mustard

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Re: Villa Park Redevelopment
« Reply #6495 on: March 06, 2024, 12:29:43 PM »
This post from London Villa in the FFP thread may have gone a bit under the radar , but for any that missed it it's very relevant to this thread (I hope you don't mind me pasting it here LV?)

I went to a networking event a couple of weeks ago at Villa and the speaker was the club's new head of Strategy and Analytics. This role is looking at the non-playing-side data, amongst other things, doing what supermarkets do with your data through loyalty cards and how they profile your habits).

Anyway... he made some interesting points about measuring the average spend of supporters in the ground, what they spend on merch and food, the different trends and patterns. But importantly about whether the figures stacked up for the new stand - based on the spending power of current fans that this (alongside 1/3 of the ground being affected, transport etc) was one of the reasons it was stopped. Basically, there isn't enough demand (atm) to justify an increase of 2000-3000 premium seats.

There's been a lot of speculation that the North Stand redev was cancelled because we had bigger plans.  I always thought it was because we'd got cold feet about our ability to sell enough premium seats.  This seems to confirm the latter.

It seems incredibly short-sighted to me to cancel something that could be vital to our progress on the back of failing to sell two poorly thought out, poorly located and poorly executed white elephants in the Holte End.  This leads me to really worry about the people making these decisions at the club - it's almost as if they haven't spoken to or listened to fans and are entirely oblivious to what fans think.
Spot on.  Really concerning if true.

My confidence in the new post Purslow regime was shaken by the badge thing last summer. But I lost all confidence in Heck in December the day he did the interview announcing the new development was off.

The plan for the new North Stand was the best thought out and most ambitious initiative from Villa in 25 years. It also made sense given where we are on the pitch and our need to catch up on clubs who have successfully redeveloped.

Yet it is weird to see a lot of villa fans over social media parrot Heck's lines. I have seen people say we wouldn't fill it, there isn't the demand, we can't play in front of a building site and most bizarre of all somebody on twitter said that Uefa wouldn't allow us host games if we were building a stand!! I mean the last point is so obviously bollocks given that is precisely what Liverpool have done in the past few years!

But all of those points are complete and utter bollocks. Demand has never been higher. We have maxed out the premium offerings in the new Trinity. We need the new stand so badly of we are going to fall so badly behind we will piss away the opportunity of the Emery era.

One final thing if they are basing their assumptions in the fact that premium hasn't really worked in the Holte then they have absolutely no clue about the culture of this football club. The Holte is the Holte, it is one of the iconic home ends in football of course GA plus wasn't going to thrive there FFS

I honestly don't think the redevelopment has been binned off, but I do think it is on hold for a couple of years so that Heck can drive ticket prices up considerably first.  If we qualify for the Champions League next season I see us crossing the £100 barrier for ordinary admission tickets for some games next season, and I also reckon that the price of memberships will go up to triple figures too.  That way, once the redevelopment is underway the average ticket price will more than make up what we lose from the capacity reduction, and there will be a backlog of people who will be prepared to pay even higher prices when the extra seats are available (at corporate, GA+ and ordinary admission levels).

Offline eamonn

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Re: Villa Park Redevelopment
« Reply #6496 on: March 06, 2024, 12:32:25 PM »
Has Purslow been asked by White & Jordan about his opinion on the North Stand being kiboshed? If they did their research, they surely would.

Online Sexual Ealing

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Re: Villa Park Redevelopment
« Reply #6497 on: March 06, 2024, 12:36:02 PM »
I doubt it'd be very interesting to West Ham-supporting cabbies.

Offline danno

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Re: Villa Park Redevelopment
« Reply #6498 on: March 06, 2024, 12:42:30 PM »
I doubt it'd be very interesting to West Ham-supporting cabbies.

Maybe not, but undoubtedly fascinating to the self employed van drivers of Surrey:

“Hi Jim, Hi Simon, first time caller, love the show, that stadium stuff, well interesting, just calling to say Glazers out”.

Online pauliewalnuts

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Re: Villa Park Redevelopment
« Reply #6499 on: March 06, 2024, 12:46:59 PM »
I doubt it'd be very interesting to West Ham-supporting cabbies.

Maybe not, but undoubtedly fascinating to the self employed van drivers of Surrey:

“Hi Jim, Hi Simon, first time caller, love the show, that stadium stuff, well interesting, just calling to say Glazers out”.

*Selco advert*

Offline LeeB

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Re: Villa Park Redevelopment
« Reply #6500 on: March 06, 2024, 12:48:08 PM »
I doubt it'd be very interesting to West Ham-supporting cabbies.

"So Villa have paused redevelopment of the North Stand. Spurs fans, Arsenal fans, call us to tell us what you think"

Offline The Edge

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Re: Villa Park Redevelopment
« Reply #6501 on: March 06, 2024, 12:50:55 PM »
The bloke's an ass and I'm waiting to be proved wrong.


There is a photo of him with the Acorns shirt ( which is great ) b But he reminds me of a travel Guide for a coach company
A photo you say? What more proof do you need?

Offline pablo_picasso

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Re: Villa Park Redevelopment
« Reply #6502 on: March 06, 2024, 01:11:42 PM »
If they really have cancelled the new stand because of current sales figures, then Heck needs his work permit cancelling and his P45 posted to him this very morning. The reason the figures are shit is that the facilities are poor and few people even bother trying to buy anything as a result. Makes the stand better and the facilities better, and people will spend more, it really is simple as that.

If the plan is to look for a new ground, then fine, but please explain how our revenue is going to keep pace in the intervening 8 years?

Absolutely.

Both the stadium development & the crest have been fucked with by Heck using flawed data that lacks context.

Im not sure whether this is because he isn't a football man & just doesn't understand how things work, or if it's just simple incompetence.

Either way, he isn't the man for the job, in my humble opinion.

Offline VILLA MOLE

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Re: Villa Park Redevelopment
« Reply #6503 on: March 06, 2024, 01:43:16 PM »
The bloke's an ass and I'm waiting to be proved wrong.


There is a photo of him with the Acorns shirt ( which is great ) b But he reminds me of a travel Guide for a coach company
A photo you say? What more proof do you need?

exactly I am sold !!  ;)

Offline London Villan

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Re: Villa Park Redevelopment
« Reply #6504 on: March 06, 2024, 02:10:07 PM »
Just jumping back in here. It's not the regular fan demand that's the driving force behind this. Even doubling the spend on pies and pints pre-match and half time (which we all know is a major problem) isn't going to make a massive dent in the figures.

The cold feet has come from potential take-up/demand of the premium offer.


The new stand was going to have at least 2500 additional premium seats.
At an average value per match of £300 over 25 home games that's almost £20m in extra revenue per season.

However - as the reaction to the LG and TV has been lukewarm - with the stats to prove it, alongside the anecdotal evidence, giveaways and hundreds of seats released for sale on the day of the match - you can see why there is some reluctance. Even more so when added to the potential of having a third of the ground out of action for our biggest season for a generation.


Offline Drummond

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Re: Villa Park Redevelopment
« Reply #6505 on: March 06, 2024, 02:21:41 PM »
I think the error is comparing apples to oranges.

TV and LG are oddly conceived ideas that piss off the regular fan by taking their space and trying to get people to pay a premium for a relatively shit value product.

New stand hospitality would be much like current Trinity provision, which is over-subscribed isn't it?-


Offline chrisw1

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Re: Villa Park Redevelopment
« Reply #6506 on: March 06, 2024, 02:38:35 PM »
If this is the case it's remarkably naive.

Who knows what demand for quality GA+ in a new stand would be, but they must be able to see that trying to sell a subpar product to fans who are pissed off that you've just shat on their doorstep is hardly a reasonable barometer for demand.

Offline Risso

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Re: Villa Park Redevelopment
« Reply #6507 on: March 06, 2024, 02:42:34 PM »
I think the error is comparing apples to oranges.

TV and LG are oddly conceived ideas that piss off the regular fan by taking their space and trying to get people to pay a premium for a relatively shit value product.

New stand hospitality would be much like current Trinity provision, which is over-subscribed isn't it?-



Spot on Drummond. There's massive demand for proper corporate hospitality. There's far less appetite for poorly conceived halfway houses like the Terrace View and Lower Grounds. These have been done on the cheap, and both are seen as screwing over existing fans to do it. The TV is seen as encroaching on the sanctity of the Holte, and taking space away from already shit facilities, and the LG has taken away space that season ticket holders used to get for nothing.

Both are a world away from having a new area, specially built in a brand new stand. So if the new North was going to have an extra 8,000 spaces, you could have made that something like:

2,000 extra GA spaces at £800 a season = £1.6m
4,000 GA+ spaces at £2,850 a season = £11.4m
2,000 full corporate spaces at £7,000 a season = £14m

Extra revenue therefore - £27m a season. And that's without cup games and concerts etc in the summer, and eetxra spend by those now able to buy a pint at half time. Very rough figures, but shows what could be achieved.

Online VillaTim

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Re: Villa Park Redevelopment
« Reply #6508 on: March 06, 2024, 02:46:01 PM »
Just jumping back in here. It's not the regular fan demand that's the driving force behind this. Even doubling the spend on pies and pints pre-match and half time (which we all know is a major problem) isn't going to make a massive dent in the figures.

The cold feet has come from potential take-up/demand of the premium offer.


The new stand was going to have at least 2500 additional premium seats.
At an average value per match of £300 over 25 home games that's almost £20m in extra revenue per season.

However - as the reaction to the LG and TV has been lukewarm - with the stats to prove it, alongside the anecdotal evidence, giveaways and hundreds of seats released for sale on the day of the match - you can see why there is some reluctance. Even more so when added to the potential of having a third of the ground out of action for our biggest season for a generation.
The figs look overstated .
More like £150  x   25 = £9.4m assuming fully sold out every game (also unlikely)

Offline Villan82

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Re: Villa Park Redevelopment
« Reply #6509 on: March 06, 2024, 02:57:30 PM »
I think the error is comparing apples to oranges.

TV and LG are oddly conceived ideas that piss off the regular fan by taking their space and trying to get people to pay a premium for a relatively shit value product.

New stand hospitality would be much like current Trinity provision, which is over-subscribed isn't it?-

100% agree.

 


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