Teams we'll finish above next season

[TopDeck113]

Earlier today, I was out with a Leeds-supporting friend. He reckons it highly unlikely that they'll finish as high as they did last season.  His assessment is based on (1) no new signings of note; and (2) Bamford got lucky last season and in reality he's at best a ten goal a season striker at Premier League level.

[Mouse Potato]

We're 40/1 to finish top 4. That seems fair enough but some of the other prices make less sense.

Wolves 30/1
Soton 25/1
Brighton 17/1
Everton 11/1
Arsenal 10/3

Oddschecker has more realistic numbers although I think we should be shorter odds, somewhere around Everton / West Ham. Perhaps they feel losing our best player is going to affect us more than we hope?

Arsenal 5/1
Spurs 5/1
Leeds 13/1
Everton 17/1
West Ham 18/1
Villa 40/1
Brighton 49/1
Wolves 50/1
Southampton 66/1

[cdbearsfan]

They don't "feel" anything. It's an algorithm!

[ChicagoLion]

There are still people that think that Bookmakers sit in smoke filled rooms guessing  outcomes.

[sickbeggar]

Aye. Barring a mid-air crash involving planes carrying the squads of ManCity/ManU/Chelsea/Liverpool, I think they're safe offering those odds.

[Risso]

They don't "feel" anything. It's an algorithm!

Algorithms have feelings too, man.

[Mouse Potato]

Ok wrong terminology… perhaps the ‘algorithm’ is calculating the missing Grealish factor as higher than we hope

[Brend'Watkins]

Where were the Algorithms when we signed Ings?

[cdbearsfan]

His odds to join went in massively a few days before he signed, we were favourites to sign him having not really been in the running beforehand. I would suggest somebody, or a few people, who were in the know made a few quid out of that transfer.

[sickbeggar]

n/t.  bollocks due to not reading the preceding post properly beforehand.

[ChicagoLion]

Ok wrong terminology… perhaps the ‘algorithm’ is calculating the missing Grealish factor as higher than we hope

Its based upon the money they have received in bets and the odds those bets were made on.

[Brend'Watkins]

His odds to join went in massively a few days before he signed, we were favourites to sign him having not really been in the running beforehand. I would suggest somebody, or a few people, who were in the know made a few quid out of that transfer.

We should have an algorithm section on H&V so that we all can share in this free money.

[Sdwbvf]

Ok wrong terminology… perhaps the ‘algorithm’ is calculating the missing Grealish factor as higher than we hope

Its based upon the money they have received in bets and the odds those bets were made on.

And less people will be betting on Villa because of him so he is factored in but only by human behaviour on the inputs.

[Meanwood Villa]

I'm pretty sure we were third favourites to go down before the season started last summer. Concerned me along the lines of "bookies don't get it wrong". I understand the concept of the odds being automatically changed depending on who's lumping on but it begs the question of who is betting on Brighton to finish top 4?

[cdbearsfan]

His odds to join went in massively a few days before he signed, we were favourites to sign him having not really been in the running beforehand. I would suggest somebody, or a few people, who were in the know made a few quid out of that transfer.

We should have an algorithm section on H&V so that we all can share in this free money.

We have Damo. Just bet against whatever he has bet on and watch the money roll in.