How much will Coronavirus (COVID-19) impact Aston Villa's season?

[Villan82]

This doesn’t sound too good either

 “ A total of 141 people who had apparently recovered from Covid-19 have tested positive again, South Korea's Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (KCDC) says”.

I watched an interview with one of the main doctors there yesterday and he confirmed some of the patients they’d discharged have tested positive again, but they don’t know if that means the tests were inaccurate, whether they’ve caught the virus again, or whether the virus just went dormant in their system and then came back. Whatever the reason, it’s not good news and would certainly affect the return to normality for all of us, especially with regard to large gatherings.

What does this mean for a vaccine? Can't be good, one would have thought?

[frank black]

This doesn’t sound too good either

 “ A total of 141 people who had apparently recovered from Covid-19 have tested positive again, South Korea's Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (KCDC) says”.

I watched an interview with one of the main doctors there yesterday and he confirmed some of the patients they’d discharged have tested positive again, but they don’t know if that means the tests were inaccurate, whether they’ve caught the virus again, or whether the virus just went dormant in their system and then came back. Whatever the reason, it’s not good news and would certainly affect the return to normality for all of us, especially with regard to large gatherings.

What does this mean for a vaccine? Can't be good, one would have thought?

It’s entirely possible we will not get a reliable vaccine as we don’t have one for some other coronavirus. The so called herd immunity is probably where we may end up.

[brian green]

Which is the exit strategy.

[frank black]

Which is the exit strategy.

Yep agree. Just not good for them to tell everyone that yet.

[olaftab]

Or mitigation drugs including blood plasma from recovered patients.

[Ads]

Or mitigation drugs including blood plasma from recovered patients.

There's a study in Cardiff starting today or this week I think.

[mr underhill]

Anyone else read Terry's comment that he's heard no fans in stadiums until at least Christmas?

[paul_e]

Herd immunity is the end point for pretty much everything. The entire childhood vaccination process is built around that. The reason it's seen negatively right now is that using it as the first response (or even suggesting it was an option) to a virus with a mortality rate as high as this was fucking stupid.

I think mitigation will come long before any vaccine and that will be the point where we can return to a semblance of normality, with suspected cases being given whatever drug concoction they come up with and being told to rest and complete the treatment, much like we do with many illnesses that were considered deadly before their mitigation drugs were found.

I suspect that will come over the summer given the sheer number of labs working on this right now.

[andyh]

Anyone else read Terry's comment that he's heard no fans in stadiums until at least Christmas?

Yes. It’s just getting a bit silly.

[colin69]

Anyone else read Terry's comment that he's heard no fans in stadiums until at least Christmas?

Yes. It’s just getting a bit silly.

Silly?

[JJ-AV]

False positives and anomalies are likely to account for the re-infections. There isn't any real evidence to suggest it yet.

It's still relatively unknown how accurate the tests are.

[pauliewalnuts]

There's 10 games to play. A huge part of the season. Mathematical solutions don't work. Football isn't played on paper.

Yeah, true, but it isn't played at all in conditions like these.

I just think it is fantasy for them even to think they could play out the season in those timeframes.

If you look at what is likely to happen when we emerge from this, it will be phased and gradual. During that time period, the government is still going to be telling a large part of the population that they need to stay at home, socially distance themselves, isolate if ill etc etc and preaching how important it is to follow that.

Now imagine them trying to keep that message strong and clear whilst allowing footballers to play a close contact sport - even if behind closed doors.

It just won't happen. In any phased return to normal, sporting events are going to be amongst the last things to be renewed, not the first.

This is entirely about money at a time when what is needed is to put human health first.

If we end up watching some sort of absurd, dangerous circus of an end to the season just because the league don't want to have to give Sky a load of money back, then that genuinely will be game over for me and football, it would be the money driven grimness of the modern game taken to the absolute limit.

Fuck that.

[dave.woodhall]

There's 10 games to play. A huge part of the season. Mathematical solutions don't work. Football isn't played on paper.

Yeah, true, but it isn't played at all in conditions like these.

I just think it is fantasy for them even to think they could play out the season in those timeframes.

If you look at what is likely to happen when we emerge from this, it will be phased and gradual. During that time period, the government is still going to be telling a large part of the population that they need to stay at home, socially distance themselves, isolate if ill etc etc and preaching how important it is to follow that.

Now imagine them trying to keep that message strong and clear whilst allowing footballers to play a close contact sport - even if behind closed doors.

It just won't happen. In any phased return to normal, sporting events are going to be amongst the last things to be renewed, not the first.

This is entirely about money at a time when what is needed is to put human health first.

If we end up watching some sort of absurd, dangerous circus of an end to the season just because the league don't want to have to give Sky a load of money back, then that genuinely will be game over for me and football, it would be the money driven grimness of the modern game taken to the absolute limit.

Fuck that.

That penultimate sentence absolutely sums up the whole grubby business.

[Legion]

Totally agree.

[Legion]

pauliewalnuts for PM.