Villa only need a point from last 10 matches to equal Fulham's points tally !
At this stage last season Fulham were 19th and had 17pts
They managed to get another 9points and still finishing 19th
Here's the relegation comparison after 29 matches
*Villa of course have played only 28
So as we know currently this is how things stand
2019/20 bottom 6 after 29 matches
15 Brighton 29pts
16 West Ham 27pts
17 Watford 27pts
18 Bournemouth 27pts
19 *Aston Villa 25 pts
20 Norwich 21pts
2018/19
Bottom 6 after 29 matches
Brighton played 28
15. *Brighton 30pts
(finished 16th 36pts)
16.Burnley 30pts
(40pts finished 15th)
17. Southampton 27pts
(39 pts finished 16th)
18.Cardiff 25pts
(relegated 18th 34pts)
19 Fulham 17 pts
(26pts relegated)
20 Huddersfield 14 pts
(relegated 16pts)
The final table and points accumulated in the run in.
15.Burnley 40pts
(10pts in 10 matches)
16.So'ton 39pts
(12pts in 10 matches)
17.Brighton 36pts
(6pts in10 matches)
18.Cardiff 34pts
(9pts in 9 matches)
19.Fulham 26
(9pts in 9 matches)
20.Huddersfield 16pts
(2pts in 9 matches)
what last season shows us1. None of the six achieved more than equivalent of 4 wins from 9 matches.
2.Brighton who had the most matches remaining ,10 matches , achieved equivalent of 2 wins - 6points.
3.18th and 19th place teams pick up equivalent of 3 wins-9 points . It wasn't enough
4.The lowest 6 teams remained the bottom 6 but some teams changed final placings
5.
The bottom 3 with 9 games remaining stayed the same Hopeful? 1. Villa to get 10/11 pts on remaining games I think we have a good chance we can be safe. The equivalent of 3 wins and a draw in 10 matches.
2. The Sheffield Utd match must win. Will give us an edge and basically averaging at least a point a game I think would see us narrowly survive though it will be close. So to not be in the bottom 3 with 9 games remaining would enhance our chances.
3.In 10 matches =12 pts (4 wins equivalent) and I would be very confident of staying up .
Sheffield Utd, Palace , Newcastle ,Everton
4.Our first 10 matches of this season saw us gain 11pts we had 3 wins 2 draws after 10 games .
5.Points wise we'll outdo Fulham but of course the real question is will we retain our status !
Personally i think 10/12 PTS is needed for survival.