2018-19 Points Swingometer

[Villa75]

We're 14 points down on like for like results from last season!?

Christ. I didn't think it was as bad as that!

Any better on your's, footyskillz?

[Ads]

Maximum 10 point swing available then from the next 5.

[cdbearsfan]

Which would bring us to the giddy heights of minus four! 😂

[Ads]

But...would probably have us 4th! It's a funny old game ain't it.

[Villa75]

But...would probably have us 4th! It's a funny old game ain't it.

Is that mathematically possible, with every other team above us also having to play and, at least, draw the odd game?

[Ads]

Prediction Police are here. Act casual.

[Villa75]

Well? Is what you said possible, or a genuine mistake of just adding points on to us and forgetting others have to, at some point during that period, add points to their totals?

I'm genuinely interested.

[Ads]

Good lord.

[Ads]

I'm sorry CD for trying to engage in a bit of Back and forth.

Seeing as Villa75's gate is locked and that I have no desire to run through the fields if we were to get 15 out the next 5 then we'd have 53.

Based on points per game current averages we'd not be 4th, as the stripes would have 56, Boro 55 and therefore 6th, 2 ahead of Derby.

I wasn't making a prediction or being scientific or anything particularly serious. But there we go.

[paul_e]

The number of permutations involved in working that out is obscene but simply based on average points per game if we won the next 5 I think 6th and 2-3 points off 4th is the most likely outcome.

[Villa75]

Thanks guys. That's interesting.

Also, out of interest, does anyone know the last time we won 5 league games on the trot?

Edit.

Found it. It was last January

[Chris Smith]

Thanks guys. That's interesting.

Also, out of interest, does anyone know the last time we won 5 league games on the trot?

Edit.

Found it. It was last January

And it was 7 consecutive wins

[footyskillz]

We're 14 points down on like for like results from last season!?

Christ. I didn't think it was as bad as that!

Any better on your's, footyskillz?

Well  as were in play offs
4 point cushion from dropping out

Oh and  last season 5 points from 2nd place where this season we are 5 points off play offs


2017/18
Games:27
Position:4th
Points: 47
Play offs : in the play off places ! 4point gap to 7th
Promotion place: 5 points off
Top spot: 15 points off


2018/19
Games:27
Position:12th
Please: 38
Play offs : 5 points off
Promotion place: 12points off
Top spot: 16 points off

[cdbearsfan]

Updated after Hull and Ipswich. No gain or loss since the last update.

We only took one point from the equivalent of our next three games last year, so we have a chance to make up some of our deficit.

[mallo]

If we can end strongly, which we didn't last season then we have a chance - but that would need Grealish and Tuanzebe fit and the new players to settle in fast - so not the highest probability then.