The Much Awaited Return of Promotion Maths

[David_Nab]

The form of Cardiff and Fulham beggars belief. Our form is promotion form, result wise, even with tonight. Surely surely the other two can’t keep winning every game ?

First loss at home in 4 months and we find our selves 7 points off auto spot.The form of those 2 is outstanding you have to say , people keep saying Cardiff will lose well they have only 9 games left and at this point can lose 2 and still keep a one point gap to us .

Play off wise Fulham will be tough to see past due to their form but Boro are also looking good now throw in 2 ex villa players in Gestede and Traore and the headlines write themselves ..

At this stage the only thing to focus on is winning Saturday after that we get a small break and perhaps with a bit of Luck Derby might do us a favour and takes some points off Cardiff

[avfcpg]

Cardiff can drop 10 points and we would need to win 8 and draw one to top them. They don't look like wobbling do they and looking at their fixtures I can't see them dropping too many points...games vs Villa, Wolves and Derby being the most likely. Fulham won't be catching them either and I really don't fancy facing Fulham in a one off showdown...assuming we don't bottle it in the "semi".
Decembers results are coming back to haunt us...

Having said that, since Jan 1st Cardiff have gone LWDWDWWWWWWW. Lost to QPR ironically enough...

[SoccerHQ]

Gestede is injured for rest of the season. Adama is playing very well though.

I reckon we'd take Boro over two legs. They hardly had a shot at the Riverside. One off final is obviously different kettle of fish.

The only team I don't want to play at any point in the play offs is Fulham so if we tail off I really hope they can overhaul Cardiff.

Again I reckon we could beat Cardiff over two legs especially as they would be deflated coming into the play offs.

[ChicagoLion]

The focus now is achieve the play offs and try to have momentum and the strongest team available.

[SoccerHQ]

It's worth remembering Cardiff had a terrible run over xmas aswell.

I still maintain our 1 win in 7 start will cost us in the end and given we knew Kodjia wouldn't be fit for start of the season and we had most of last season to plan that was inexcusable.

[avfcpg]

It's worth remembering Cardiff had a terrible run over xmas aswell.

I still maintain our 1 win in 7 start will cost us in the end and given we knew Kodjia wouldn't be fit for start of the season and we had most of last season to plan that was inexcusable.

Totally..playing catch up from the off doesn't leave room for error.

[Des Little]

We just have to go for it full hammer now. If either Cardiff or Fulham drop any points we simply have to capitalise.

[olaftab]

The only team I don't want to play at any point in the play offs is Fulham so if we tail off I really hope they can overhaul Cardiff.

Mate Fulham have even less chance than us of catching Cardiff.

[olaftab]

Still a long way to go, come on Villa.

No. Not with 9 games left and 7 points adrift.

[David_Nab]

In terms of  play offs if we could get Kodjia back even if he is only able to play 30 mins or so could be huge for us as he is the one striker we have able to score from nothing

[SoccerHQ]

The only team I don't want to play at any point in the play offs is Fulham so if we tail off I really hope they can overhaul Cardiff.

Mate Fulham have even less chance than us of catching Cardiff.

Fulham have an easier run in than us. I can see them overtaking us next few weeks so they'll be the ones to pounce if Cardiff get tight in the last six games.

[Ads]

Nothing is over with 27 points to play for.

You don't achieve anything in life by being a quitter. Anything you've achieved in life, you've worked at it and believed in the work you put into it. It's why they're achievements.

All we can do is put one on Bolton and see if Derby can close the gap to 5/4 points. Then pressure builds and momentum breaks.

And if Cardiff win all 9 games, then you have to say well done and look to the Play Offs.

[Smirker]

Nothing is over with 27 points to play for.

You don't achieve anything in life by being a quitter. Anything you've achieved in life, you've worked at it and believed in the work you put into it. It's why they're achievements.

All we can do is put one on Bolton and see if Derby can close the gap to 5/4 points. Then pressure builds and momentum breaks.

And if Cardiff win all 9 games, then you have to say well done and look to the Play Offs.

Agreed. Well said.

[Brassneck]

Nothing is over with 27 points to play for.

You don't achieve anything in life by being a quitter. Anything you've achieved in life, you've worked at it and believed in the work you put into it. It's why they're achievements.

All we can do is put one on Bolton and see if Derby can close the gap to 5/4 points. Then pressure builds and momentum breaks.

And if Cardiff win all 9 games, then you have to say well done and look to the Play Offs.

Agreed. Well said.

Seconded

[PeterWithesShin]

It isn't over, at the same time it's become unlikely we'll finish top 2.