The Much Awaited Return of Promotion Maths

[SoccerHQ]

Cardiff will drop points. We were going to win 4 or 5 tonight. Things change. Time to re-group.

Still 6 wins needed. Just less margin for error.

Probably need more than 6 wins now as I fully expected Cardiff to draw. They have some easy home games left like Burton and Reading.

We are usually good at home, tonight was an shocker which I didn't see coming.

Away will be our problem. Don't see us winning at Norwich or Millwall.

[curiousorange]

Every game is nervy, but this Bolton game especially so. Not only is it another "should win", but at VP they were the biggest bunch of overphysical, fouling twats you'd ever hate to play. The fact the referee was as weak as piss only added to the frustration.

[QuintonVilla]

2nd has gone. We need to end the season in decent form and prepare ourselves for the play offs.

[clash city rocker]

Either way, you've got to keep beliving.You cannot throw the towel in now.

Totally agree but I really don't fancy our chances in the play offs.

[Brassneck]

Either way, you've got to keep beliving.You cannot throw the towel in now.

Totally agree but I really don't fancy our chances in the play offs.

Why? You don't even know who we would play

[The Left Side]

Still a long way to go, come on Villa.

[Risso]

Well, that was shitting the bed in no uncertain terms. Forget about automatic promotion, it’s gone.

[aldridgeboy]

The form of Cardiff and Fulham beggars belief. Our form is promotion form, result wise, even with tonight. Surely surely the other two can’t keep winning every game ?

[Toronto Villa]

Warnock has done just a phenomenal job

[clash city rocker]

Either way, you've got to keep beliving.You cannot throw the towel in now.

Totally agree but I really don't fancy our chances in the play offs.

Why? You don't even know who we would play

Be it Fulham. .boro. .or whoever...I just think come the play off''s we'll be the team to be shot at and I just don't think we'll have the mental toughness to deal with not getting automatic promotion and having to pay teams that have been behind us for such a long part of the season.

[PeterWithesShin]

2nd has probably gone. Even if we take 20 points from the last 9 games, W6 D2 L1, Cardiff only need W4 D2 L3 to top it. They've won 8 in a row, if they win only 5 of their last 9 and lose the other 4 we'd need at least W7 D1 L1 to potentially top them on GD. It's a big ask, and while it's possible I think it's realistically the play-offs now.

[Toronto Villa]

We are going to be seriously fucked if we don’t go up.

[nick harper]

The form of Cardiff and Fulham beggars belief. Our form is promotion form, result wise, even with tonight. Surely surely the other two can’t keep winning every game ?

I agree with this. Their form is relentless and astonishing. I think Cardiff may even win the league.

Not giving up on it yet but to find ourselves even further away after 31 points in the last 13 games is pretty tough.

[SoccerHQ]

Yes that's the killer for me.

Even if the gap tonight remained 4 points there's still plenty of time left.

For it to actually be extended when we've been mostly winning for the last three months is really deflating.

Don't see us overhauling the 7 points now tbh.

[QuintonVilla]

If we miss out to Cardiff, which we will, and don't go up it should be viewed as a massive failure. Cardiff have spent a pittance compared to us over the past couple of years and I doubt most people could name more than one of their players. To get out thought and outdone by dinosaur Warnock is embarrassing.