The Much Awaited Return of Promotion Maths

[footyskillz]

Next step is to start putting teams away. First Fulham, then Cardiff, then Derby. We have an excellent chance to do so now.

Fulham have to play villa Bristol city and wolves this week. Their form will come to an end.

 Cardiff are away to villa and derby

Cardiff also have to play wolves and villa in space of 3 days.

[Des Little]

After tonight Derby are out of it for 2nd place. It's a bit too much for Fulham so between us and Cardiff.

Really? I don’t see Derby out of it personally. If Fulham manage to beat us on Saturday it’s all in the mix

[Brassneck]

I think we need to wait until after Saturday before assessing Fulham's chances. I also wouldn't write derby off, given they are just a point behind us. I did say a couple of weeks ago that it would be good to see how they cope with the pressure of a 1 point lead or 1 point deficit. It was all very well going to Blues with no pressure, given they were 6 points ahead of 3rd but things change once it gets tight between the challengers.

The next batch of games up to Wolves is interesting:

Fulham A
Preston H
Wednesday A
QPR H
Sunderland A

In that period, Fulham play ourselves, Wolves, Derby, Bristol City and Sheffield United. Cardiff also play Bristol City and Derby face Leeds.

[andyh]

You can’t write anyone off who is just a point behind.
That was us last week and we weren’t being written off.

I must say, Cardiff do seem particularly resilient. They could be the darkest horse of all.

[LeeB]

Up by Easter more or less.

[Des Little]

Up by Easter more or less.

Are we on about Jesus now?

[SoccerHQ]

After tonight Derby are out of it for 2nd place. It's a bit too much for Fulham so between us and Cardiff.

Really? I don’t see Derby out of it personally. If Fulham manage to beat us on Saturday it’s all in the mix

No way are Derby getting another 30 points this season. Would need to win 10 of their last 14 games.

[LeeB]

Up by Easter more or less.

Are we on about Jesus now?

Jesus saves, but Hogan smashes in the rebound to seal promotion.

[preston28]

Derby losing tonight helps us particularly if we get an 8th win on the trot on Saturday.

[cdbearsfan]

I'm finding it increasingly difficult not to start getting carried away.

[olaftab]

You can’t write anyone off who is just a point behind.
That was us last week and we weren’t being written off.

It’s all about momentum young man, momentum.

[olaftab]

Derby losing tonight helps us particularly if we get an 8th win on the trot on Saturday.

It’s not about the .8th win it’s about winning a game the next one.

[kippaxvilla2]

I’ve estimated 31 points from the remaining games.  That gives us 90.  Surely enough to get 2nd?

[ozzjim]

It's all about consistency from here. Derby seem to have hit their sticky patch but will come again. Cardiff are through theirs I think. If we win 10 of the last 15 I think it will be good enough to take 2nd now, but that is by no means a certainty. A couple of key injuries would hurt us. Fulham away is about as big a test I can think of though, win this weekend and the confidence in our squad will be incredibly high.

[andyh]

Derby losing tonight helps us particularly if we get an 8th win on the trot on Saturday.

It’s not about the .8th win it’s about winning a game the next one.

You can’t write anyone off who is just a point behind.
That was us last week and we weren’t being written off.

It’s all about momentum young man, momentum.

That’s the best valentines message I’ve ever had. It’s been a long time since I was called young man.😄