Promotion Maths

[PeterWithesShin]

RDM left us so much ground to make up.

Anyone know how many points we were behind Huddersfield in the table after Preston?

15 points.

[Risso]

Win tomorrow and it's 21 points from 11 games. That's automatic promotion form. How can that be anything but improvement? Despite no midfield and not really firing on all cylinders yet.

Let's make sure we win first.

[SoccerHQ]

RDM left us so much ground to make up.

Anyone know how many points we were behind Huddersfield in the table after Preston?

15 points.

I'm pretty sure we got the gap to them down to about 4 points two weeks ago and then at that point Huddersfield decided to start winning again and it's now 11 points.

Still a long way to go but we really don't have much margin for error...another 5 or 6 winless run and our play off bid will probably be over.

[PeterWithesShin]

Yep, 4 points after the Cardiff game.

That's the point i'm trying to make and why I don't think it will be easy finishing top 6. I'm still very hopeful we will but we've left ourselves very little wiggle room because of that opening 11 games.

[villan from luton]

I am a little pist and up at 7 for the game. I was fuming after Norwich, but I hope Bruce will do his tactics and go for teams.

[Ad@m]

Win tomorrow and it's 21 points from 11 games. That's automatic promotion form.

Given that both Newcastle and Brighton are running at more than two points a game on what basis is 21 points from 11 games (even if we achieve that) automatic promotion form?

[oswald funkletrumpet]

Win tomorrow and it's 21 points from 11 games. That's automatic promotion form.

Given that both Newcastle and Brighton are running at more than two points a game on what basis is 21 points from 11 games (even if we achieve that) automatic promotion form?

No way on earth are we going up automatically

two points a game will do the job but you have to do that all season not just for part of it

fuck me if we dont win today we will be 20 points off the top two with half the season gone.

given how much we spent in the summer its abysmal

[Matt Collins]

I just don't think it was ever likely that a club on the back of years of neglect and one of the worst seasons in our history, Was going to go straight back up automatically and things click from the off

[Steve67]

Bring in the right players in January and I think we'll have a big say in the promotion race but no way are we finishing top two. Play offs at best. Wouldn't it be fantastic to go to Wembley and go up. Maximum exposure for the club. Great for the fans.

[PeterWithesShin]

We've got a decent run of games coming up between now and Newcastle away Feb 18th, if we can have a run, or a couple of runs, of winning 3+ in a row we'll be right back in the mix. Need to sort out the striker situation with Kod leaving for the ACoN and get some midfielders in.

[Matt Collins]

Quite what we do when kodjia is gone is a big issue

None of the alternatives look much good at all at the moment. Gestede and McCormack don't offer the same threat in behind. Gabby doesn't offer anything.  RHM isn't even making the bench

[SoccerHQ]

Important we won today.

If we beat Burton that's 34 points after 23 so replicating that over a full season is 68 points.

Not enough for top 6 but probably only 6-7 points off.

Just shows you despite our abysmal start we're not that far off top 6 really although January is a concern.

[KevinGage]

To compare and contrast: Derby were below us when Steve Bruce took over.  They are now five points ahead of us.

He has done reasonably well results-wise, but it hasn't been outstanding (I accept the argument that stopping the rot and making us more difficult to play against was also important).

Brighton apart, we have largely scratched out results. Which you will need to do on occasion, but there has to be an overall uplift in performances too if we are to win 3-4 on the bounce -which will need to happen at some point to get back in contention.

[Matt Collins]

It's a fair comparison

Though presumably we looked better four games ago and could easily do again in four games time. We've now played six of the top eight away from home. So in theory the second half of the season should be better. No kodjia and ayew in January does leave us looking very pedestrian

[avfcpg]

Quite what we do when kodjia is gone is a big issue

None of the alternatives look much good at all at the moment. Gestede and McCormack don't offer the same threat in behind. Gabby doesn't offer anything.  RHM isn't even making the bench

Go get Hernandez at Hull....only forward I can think of to replace Kodija that can hit the ground running...if he's fit.