Summer 2015 - Transfer Rumours, Speculation & Suggestions

[Vegas]

Aston Villa in handicap betting are very enticing. +44pts at 16/1.

Yes if we get around 46+points say the leagues competitive up top then yes, yes it is. Plus sure can cover it somehow as season goes . but for me both teams to score every week on villa matches !!

Agree, we're handicapped at +45 on Betfair, I've had all the 18-1 and 17-1 money there 😎.

93 points usually enough to win, so we need to get around 47-48 actual league points to win, which is clearly not certain but better than a 17-1 shot. I think it's a brilliant bet

[Ron Manager]

FWIW, I'd take a punt on Michu.

Blimey, Adebayor, Berbatov and Michu, how long until Ruud van Nistelrooy and Andy Cole get a call?!

Andrew Cole  Risso.  Andrew Cole.

[sid1964]

Ashley Young according to Talk Sport is signing a new contract - but to be honest I don't think we can afford to pay him£100k + per week?

Michu - i should imagine if we were not signing Adebayor then we may have been interested, I suppose that goes for Berbatov as well.

Hopefully today we will see at least 1 new signing and you never know it could be 2!

[SoccerHQ]

Sinclair and Michu linked up well at Swansea

Our under 21 team should be good next season.

[Phil from the upper holte]

Aston Villa in handicap betting are very enticing. +44pts at 16/1.

Yes if we get around 46+points say the leagues competitive up top then yes, yes it is. Plus sure can cover it somehow as season goes . but for me both teams to score every week on villa matches !!

Agree, we're handicapped at +45 on Betfair, I've had all the 18-1 and 17-1 money there .

93 points usually enough to win, so we need to get around 47-48 actual league points to win, which is clearly not certain but better than a 17-1 shot. I think it's a brilliant bet

Can you explain this bet please?

[Villa in Denmark]

It's basically saying that we get a 45 point head start in the league as far as the bet is concerned, so if we finish within 45 points of the eventual champions the bet pays out.

As these bets are usually pitched to be just on the "wrong side" of the bookies best guess, close enough to plausible to be tempting, not so easy so as to be giving money away it's not a bad guide to how they think we'll do (as opposed to odds on relegation, qualifying for Europe etc. which are driven by how much money people are throwing at various bets.)

If they're giving us 45 points, it probably means that they're expecting that we'll finish 47-48 points off. Even if you go for a low title winning total at 88-89 points, they're still expecting us to to finish on 41-43 points.

[Phil from the upper holte]

Thank you, so we need to finish 45 behind the league winners?

[Dave]

Thank you, so we need to finish 45 behind the league winners?

Depending on how the others do.

So his bet is that if Villa had a 45 point head start and every other team started on zero, would we win the league. So if Chelsea win the league on 90 points and we finish on 50 points, the 45 point handicap would take us above them. However the bookmaker might have given say, Watford a 52 point headstart and they finish on 48 points then they would finish above both Chelsea and Villa meaning he would lose his bet.

It's betting on a specific team to do better than the bookies expect, so last you would probably have won your bet if you'd put it on Southampton or Leicester. If you'd put it on Villa you'd probably have crashed and burned.

[Villa in Denmark]

Thanks for the correction Dave.

Over here they usually go for an absolute handicap on just one team v whoever wins, as opposed to a relative bet over the whole league and the individual handicaps.

Plus I'm more use to handicap betting on stuff like rugby or NFL where you can usually pick some good "holes" in the spreads if you're paying attention.

[silhillvilla]

I like the idea of a 45 point head start, how do we get this past Scudamore .

[Phil from the upper holte]

Cheers guys, I might have a go on that, It feels complicated :-/

[aj2k77]

So are we signing Tom huddleton or what ?? Those rumours went quiet . I would have liked a few of those hull players chester, Brady, nduaye aren't coming yet were linked. Robertson and brady together wouldn't have cost as much as amavi did. Mcshane on a free aws squaud member instead of crespo.
I think there's two or more signings to come maybe more if players are moving on.

Brady would cost £8m+ according to Hull and Robertson was reported as costing silly money. Mcshane is Blues. Huddlestone is fat and on daft money. Ndoye scored 5 goals so is hugely untested and Richards is better than Chester.

All In all I don't think Sherwood wanted to buy the bulk of his signings from a team who got stuffed each week anyway.

[silhillvilla]

I'm amazed nobody has gone for Will Hughes at Derby. He's always looked a player to me

[Mister E]

So are we signing Tom huddleton or what ?? Those rumours went quiet . I would have liked a few of those hull players chester, Brady, nduaye aren't coming yet were linked. Robertson and brady together wouldn't have cost as much as amavi did. Mcshane on a free aws squaud member instead of crespo.
I think there's two or more signings to come maybe more if players are moving on.

Brady would cost £8m+ according to Hull and Robertson was reported as costing silly money. Mcshane is Blues. Huddlestone is fat and on daft money. Ndoye scored 5 goals so is hugely untested and Richards is better than Chester.

All In all I don't think Sherwood wanted to buy the bulk of his signings from a team who got stuffed each week anyway.

Brady gone to Norwich, hasn't he?

[cdbearsfan]

Cheers guys, I might have a go on that, It feels complicated :-/

I'd imagine it would be quite difficult to keep track of too, you'd had to make a note of all the other teams' starting handicaps and maybe put them in a spreadsheet so you could work out how your bet was going.