How many points will keep us up?

[WALTERS WARRIORS]

I think 37 is the minimum with our goal dif. Still think we are going to give someone a spanking when all our forward players click on a given day. Hope it is next week :-))))

[Irish villain]

Just looking back at the past two years.

With ten games left in 2010-11 we had 33 points. Under TSM last season we also had 33.

Obviously we went on a good run in our final eight games in 10-11 whereas we sank like a stone under TSM and just stayed up. I still think we have (at least) three more wins in us before we play Wigan.

We certainly have given ourself a good chance of staying up.

[Fasth56]

Hansen was suggesting that everyone below Sunderland could be in trouble (7th bottom), I think it is still open upto 10th with Fulham only on 36 points!

QPR - Win
Liverpool - draw
Stoke - Villa draw
Fulham - Villa win
Man Utd - Villa loss
Sunderland - Win
Norwich - Villa Win
Chelsea - Villa loss
Wigan - Villa draw

This will drag Norwich, Sunderland and Stoke into the mix. West Ham have got Chelsea, Liverpool and Man City away in the next phase of games along with Southampton and have West Brom and Wigan at home.

It will probably go to the wire, bottom three in May

West Ham
Southampton
Reading

[Des Little]

I've earmarked QPR, Fulham and Stoke as the games we have our best chances of winning. Add three draws to those and I think we would do it. Just.

[eastie]

I've earmarked QPR, Fulham and Stoke as the games we have our best chances of winning. Add three draws to those and I think we would do it. Just.

Surely we should be more likely to beat sunderland than win at stoke although we can beat both?
I think we need 38 points and my 3 to drop are reading, wigan and southampton.

[Des Little]

I can see MON coming back to VP and winning. Most probably their only win for the rest of the season as well.

[Rip Van We Go Again]

I can see MON coming back to VP and winning. Most probably their only win for the rest of the season as well.

I can imagine his pre-match talk.

'I'll give each and every one of you £10,000 of my personal money if you beat these ungrateful bastards.'

[Irish villain]

I can see MON coming back to VP and winning. Most probably their only win for the rest of the season as well.

I can imagine his pre-match talk.

'I'll give each and every one of you £10,000 of my personal money if you beat these ungrateful bastards.'

That's what we said last year and they were as impotent as we were under TSM.

[Dave]

I can see MON coming back to VP and winning. Most probably their only win for the rest of the season as well.

I can imagine his pre-match talk.

'I'll give each and every one of you £10,000 of my personal money if you beat these ungrateful bastards.'

That's what we said last year and they were as impotent as we were under TSM.

Both teams were pretty rubbish, but didn't Bendtner have a late goal wrongly ruled out for offside? So we could easily have lost.

[peter w]

We need to get as close to 40 points as we can.

Games we must identify as wins are:

QPR
Fulham
Wigan
Sunderland

Games we could win but at least a point

Stoke
Norwich
Liverpool

Games were we won't get anything

Chelsea
Man Utd

So, we should be aiming for 15 points to finish on 42. If we get as low as 35 we'll be gone. I think 38 will relegate someone and our goal difference is crucial.

[The Man With A Stick]

I think we might get something against Chelsea.  Anyone who played in that last game will have a point to prove and their league season will probably be over by then.

[eastie]

I think we might get something against Chelsea.  Anyone who played in that last game will have a point to prove and their league season will probably be over by then.

Hopefully Chelsea will have their eyes on the Europa league final and rest the big guns, utd will have the title wrapped up and take their eyes off the ball and wigan will have a fixture backlog and implode.

[PaulWinch again]

35 points won't be enough, it'll be 38 at least with our goal difference.

[eastie]

35 points won't be enough, it'll be 38 at least with our goal difference.

Agreed.

[rjp]

I've just gone through the remaining fixtures and I have it running to the last game with a draw keeping us up.

Southampton   39
Villa   37
QPR   34
Wigan   34
Reading   30

I'm one of the optimists though


QPR   2-1
Liverpool   0-2
Stoke   1-1
Fulham   1-0
Man Utd   0-2
Sunderland   1-1
Norwich   1-1
Chelsea   0-2
Wigan   1-1