How many points will keep us up?

[SoccerHQ]

Could it be the case that drawing with both Reading and QPR and amassing two points would potentially be better than winning one and losing the other as the team that beats us will have gained ground/overtaken us? How queer.

The worry for me though is that would be two winnable games gone without a win and we'd probably still need another 10 points on top of that to feel reasonably comfortable with staying in the league.

No good two draws if say Wigan get 4 points from the next two and they have Newcastle and Norwich at home which I think they are capable of doing.

[nodge]

I have been having a look at our remaining games.
Trying to be objective and not letting my heart rule my head, I have come up with the following possible results:

Everton - draw
West Ham - Villa win
Arsenal - Villa loss
Man City - Villa loss
Reading - Villa win
QPR - Villa win
Liverpool - draw
Stoke - Villa loss
Fulham - Villa win
Man Utd - Villa loss
Sunderland - draw
Norwich - Villa loss
Chelsea - Villa loss
Wigan - Villa loss

This would leave us finishing our league campaign on 35 points.

Is that enough?

5 out of 5

[eastie]

I have been having a look at our remaining games.
Trying to be objective and not letting my heart rule my head, I have come up with the following possible results:

Everton - draw
West Ham - Villa win
Arsenal - Villa loss
Man City - Villa loss
Reading - Villa win
QPR - Villa win
Liverpool - draw
Stoke - Villa loss
Fulham - Villa win
Man Utd - Villa loss
Sunderland - draw
Norwich - Villa loss
Chelsea - Villa loss
Wigan - Villa loss

This would leave us finishing our league campaign on 35 points.

Is that enough?

5 out of 5

Lets hope his last 5 aren't right though as he has us taking 1 point from the last 15.

[PaulWinch again]

If we end up with 35 we're gone.

[Jockey Randall]

If we can somehow get to the same points total as Norwich at some point we'll have given ourselves one hell of a chance as I firmly believe we are now a better side than them. I think today was last chance saloon for Reading and they are goners. QPR really have to beat us next weekend and if they don't I think they will go too. Then you should be looking at 1 from us, Wigan, Saints and an outside chance of Sunderland or Norwich. Newcastle surely have too much quality although a couple of key injuries here and there and anything could happen I suppose.

[ozzjim]

I have just done the predictor thingy on BBC. It is so incredibly close, the only side down I reckon are Reading. Wigan have a tough old run in too, and lightening surely cannot keep striking. I had us, Fulham, Sunderland, QPR and Stoke all in the mix on the last day, but crucially Wigan already down.

[Legion]

We really need a win against QPR next Saturday to get a bit of breathing space.

[Jockey Randall]

I have just done the predictor thingy on BBC. It is so incredibly close, the only side down I reckon are Reading. Wigan have a tough old run in too, and lightening surely cannot keep striking. I had us, Fulham, Sunderland, QPR and Stoke all in the mix on the last day, but crucially Wigan already down.

Fulham & Stoke? That's surprising. Surely they only need 1 win to be safe?

[eastie]

It will be interesting the effect wigans Wembley run will have on their league form , they could have 3 games to rearrange and it could take its toll on their squad.

[MONCABA]

I have been having a look at our remaining games.
Trying to be objective and not letting my heart rule my head, I have come up with the following possible results:

Everton - draw
West Ham - Villa win
Arsenal - Villa loss
Man City - Villa loss
Reading - Villa win
QPR - Villa win
Liverpool - draw
Stoke - Villa loss
Fulham - Villa win
Man Utd - Villa loss
Sunderland - draw
Norwich - Villa loss
Chelsea - Villa loss
Wigan - Villa loss

This would leave us finishing our league campaign on 35 points.

Is that enough?

5 out of 5

Lets hope his last 5 aren't right though as he has us taking 1 point from the last 15.

I hope my last 5 are totally wrong aswell.

[Legion]

I hope your/our last five are LWWLW

[eastie]

I hope your/our last five are LWWLW

I hope our last five are WWWWW.

[Legion]

So do I, but I was trying to be realistic.

[SoccerHQ]

We play well away from home and more importantly we score goals.

We've scored 2 at Swansea, WBA, Reading and 3 at Everton since Chelsea and indeed them, Arsenal and Man. City are the only away games we've lost since October.

All that leads me to suggets we'll pick up another 4 points away between now and the end. I'm thinking win at Norwich and draw at Stoke or Wigan.

That would get us on 31 points and 37 will certainly be enough so you'd like to think we can get two more wins at VP.

[rob_bridge]

We need 37 or 38 (depends on goal difference getting better)