How many points will keep us up?

[SoccerHQ]

West Ham are pretty limited and one paced but when you're consistantly crap at defending corners like we are, the last time you want to play next are ones managed by Big sam.

Andy Carroll returned today and scored their winner and Kevin Nolan is always a nightmare to pick up just infront of the keeper from corners.

Think we'll concede at least one so let's hope the front three turn up again.

[avfcpg]

Writing off the games we have against the big boys (Man Yoo, Arsenal, Man City, Chelsea) the rest of our fixtures give us a chance....if we can learn to defend. I reckon 16 points would just about scrape it. Has to start with 3 points vs the kit stealers though. No more chances to constantly blow leads and throw points away. Time to man up Villa.

West Ham home
Reading away
QPR home
Liverpool home
Stoke away
Fulham home
Sunderland home
Norwich away
Wigan away

[DeKuip]

I have been having a look at our remaining games.
Trying to be objective and not letting my heart rule my head, I have come up with the following possible results:

Everton - draw
West Ham - Villa win
Arsenal - Villa loss
Man City - Villa loss
Reading - Villa win
QPR - Villa win
Liverpool - draw
Stoke - Villa loss
Fulham - Villa win
Man Utd - Villa loss
Sunderland - draw
Norwich - Villa loss
Chelsea - Villa loss
Wigan - Villa loss

This would leave us finishing our league campaign on 35 points. :'(

Is that enough?

Good start !

You got the first one right but if the rest goes to plan that's going to be a very scary end of season with just one point from the last five games! I don't think my old ticker would survive that!

Looking at the table today I see we're looking very symmetrical..
P26  F26  A52  GD -26
From now on in we have to reverse that and score twice as many as we concede.

[Mister E]

Writing off the games we have against the big boys (Man Yoo, Arsenal, Man City, Chelsea) the rest of our fixtures give us a chance....if we can learn to defend.

Well, we haven't done in three seasons!

[DeKuip]

I have been having a look at our remaining games.
Trying to be objective and not letting my heart rule my head, I have come up with the following possible results:

Everton - draw
West Ham - Villa win
Arsenal - Villa loss
Man City - Villa loss
Reading - Villa win
QPR - Villa win
Liverpool - draw
Stoke - Villa loss
Fulham - Villa win
Man Utd - Villa loss
Sunderland - draw
Norwich - Villa loss
Chelsea - Villa loss
Wigan - Villa loss

This would leave us finishing our league campaign on 35 points. :'(

Is that enough?

Good start !

You got the first one right but if the rest goes to plan that's going to be a very scary end of season with just one point from the last five games! I don't think my old ticker would survive that!

Looking at the table today I see we're looking very symmetrical..
P26  F26  A52  GD -26
From now on in we have to reverse that and score twice as many as we concede.

Sorry but the Sky app I took that table off appears to have put yesterday's scores on twice.
Should be. 25  23  49  -26
I'll stick to the Argus in future!

[Andy_Lochhead_in_the_air]

I reckon if we finish on 35 points it would be 50/50 we stayed up.
The way I feel now if you guaranteed 14 points from the last 13 I would bite your hand off and take my chances.

[Ray Turner]

I would doubt if 35 will be enough but if we get 38 we may just do it - beating Wigan away to stay up is a banker.

[SoccerHQ]

So would I.

I have the sense we'll go down on goal difference, it will be cruely fitting the way the season has gone since we kicked off at Chelsea.

[Marlon From Bearwood]

I think we'll win 4 (West Ham, Reading, Fulham, Norwich), and draw 4 (QPR, Sunderland, Chelsea, Wigan) and stay up. Just.

[Des Little]

I don't think we'll get 30 if I'm honest. Hope I'm wrong but just can't see it.

[placeforparks]

we could do with some of our relegation rivals getting an absolute pasting.

it's so tight, it will come down to goal difference.

[tomd2103]

That game at Wigan on the last day of the season could well turn out to be a relegation decider between us and them.

[eamonn]

Zoggy to zig-zag his way through his old stomping ground and piss on their goalie to grant us eternal salvation and Wigan damnation. For another twelve months anyroad.

[KRS]

I'm going to have to try and stay optimistic even if we all know that we are completely shite and useless both on and off the pitch. I think we'll need 18pts or 6 wins to guarantee safety, so if we cant get the points from these teams then we really do deserve to go down...

West Ham
Reading
QPR
Fulham
Sunderland
Norwich
Wigan

We may pick up the odd draw or freak win from the higher placed teams, but these games are our realistic chance of staying up and theres 21 winnable points available there to guarantee safety.

[Ads]

Norwich and West Ham are going to be right in the mix, especially after we've given the later a good beating on Sunday.