Relegation Watch

[Steve67]

Draw at Norwich to clinch the record for most draws in the drabbest season ever.

[dave.woodhall]

I don't understand, given their respective last games, how Bolton can be odds on to go down while QPR are 5/2.

[Ad@m]

I don't understand, given their respective last games, how Bolton can be odds on to go down while QPR are 5/2.

As has been said on this thread several times over, the bookies are placing a huge amount of weight on current league positions in their pricing.  There's been little appreciation of form or fixtures throughout the relegation battle.

[Ads]

I still hope QPR go down.

A Bolton win please next week!

[dave.woodhall]

I don't understand, given their respective last games, how Bolton can be odds on to go down while QPR are 5/2.

As has been said on this thread several times over, the bookies are placing a huge amount of weight on current league positions in their pricing.  There's been little appreciation of form or fixtures throughout the relegation battle.

What's been said on this thread several times over is a lot of hysteria and doomsaying. The bookies have been right and the drama queens wrong.

[Ad@m]

The bookies have been right and the drama queens wrong.

And yet now you disagree with them.  What's the difference in you disagreeing with them about Bolton and QPR's odds of survival and anyone else disagreeing with them about the Villa's four weeks ago?

[VILLA MOLE]

Draw at Norwich to clinch the record for most draws in the drabbest season ever.

come on the villa this seasons unconvincebles 

[dave.woodhall]

The bookies have been right and the drama queens wrong.

And yet now you disagree with them.  What's the difference in you disagreeing with them about Bolton and QPR's odds of survival and anyone else disagreeing with them about the Villa's four weeks ago?

Because this is a straightforward two games and it seems strange that they're so confident Bolton won't win.   

[Risso]

The bookies have been right and the drama queens wrong.

And yet now you disagree with them.  What's the difference in you disagreeing with them about Bolton and QPR's odds of survival and anyone else disagreeing with them about the Villa's four weeks ago?

Because this is a straightforward two games and it seems strange that they're so confident Bolton won't win.   

The only possible combination of results that lead to Bolton staying up is Bolton winning and QPR losing.  I'd say the odds are about right.

[avfcpg]

The bookies have been right and the drama queens wrong.

And yet now you disagree with them.  What's the difference in you disagreeing with them about Bolton and QPR's odds of survival and anyone else disagreeing with them about the Villa's four weeks ago?

Because this is a straightforward two games and it seems strange that they're so confident Bolton won't win.   

The only possible combination of results that lead to Bolton staying up is Bolton winning and QPR losing.  I'd say the odds are about right.

Gonna be tough ask to go to Stoke and win...I'd say QPR were favourites to stay up as well..

[Rudy Can't Fail]

Randy stands to lose £800,000 should Wigan win tonight and we fail to beat Norwich. I wonder what odds the bookies are offering on that?

[James]

Yep, I reckon two Scots managers will get relegated (Kean and Owen IUD) and another got away with it by the skin of his teeth, guess who?

Clue:Not Lambert, Moyes, KKK or that other one in Mancland either!

[Dave]

The bookies have been right and the drama queens wrong.

And yet now you disagree with them.  What's the difference in you disagreeing with them about Bolton and QPR's odds of survival and anyone else disagreeing with them about the Villa's four weeks ago?

Because this is a straightforward two games and it seems strange that they're so confident Bolton won't win.   

The only possible combination of results that lead to Bolton staying up is Bolton winning and QPR losing.  I'd say the odds are about right.

I've not looked, but presumably the odds of Bolton staying up are the same odds as them beating Stoke plus a tiny bit added in for the 10-1 or so QPR win at Man City?

On the subject of the 'drama queens vs the bookies', I guess that those who were saying that it was 50/50 that we were going to go down and Blues were coming up have finally realised just how shit they are at calculating odds?

[mike]

I don't understand, given their respective last games, how Bolton can be odds on to go down while QPR are 5/2.

As has been said on this thread several times over, the bookies are placing a huge amount of weight on current league positions in their pricing.  There's been little appreciation of form or fixtures throughout the relegation battle.

What's been said on this thread several times over is a lot of hysteria and doomsaying. The bookies have been right and the drama queens wrong.

I don't think I ever really thought we would go down, but it certainly worried me, especially after the Bolton game. But for a last minute goal by West Brom and a crazy challenge by Rose, we'd be going into the last day very nervous, so I think calling people drama queens is a bit uncalled for.

[Clampy]

Take away Weimann's goal in the dying seconds against Fulham and we'd be on 35 points now, we've been that poor.