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Author Topic: Are we mathematically safe? - Yes  (Read 50568 times)

Offline VillaZogmariner

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Re: Are we mathematically safe?
« Reply #150 on: May 15, 2011, 10:36:26 AM »
This is what has to happen in order for us to go down -

Wigan beat West Ham (Let's say by 3 goals).
AND
We lose to Arsenal (again we'll say 4 goals).
AND
Birmingham beat Fulham or Tottenham
AND
We lose to Liverpool (again we'll say 4 goals)
AND
Blackburn or Wolves has to finish in a win for one of the teams
AND
Wigan have to win at Stoke (Let's say by 2 goals)
AND
Blackpool have to win at Man Utd (If we lose our 2 games with -7 they would need to win by at least a 3 goal margin).

If people still think that we are going to go down, with all of the above happening, then I suggest they take themselves to the bookmakers and put a pound on it all, because they will become very rich.

Online olaftab

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Re: Are we mathematically safe?
« Reply #151 on: May 15, 2011, 10:41:58 AM »
VSM what happens if it rains bad or something else and some of the matches can't be finished  and we have to use the Lewis-Duckworth method to determine a result?

Offline Richard

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Re: Are we mathematically safe?
« Reply #152 on: May 15, 2011, 10:43:08 AM »
VillaSubmariner the voice of reason ! Some of the over reaction on here is cringe worthy.

Offline DrGonzo

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Re: Are we mathematically safe?
« Reply #153 on: May 15, 2011, 10:50:03 AM »
I've checked with the duck and Lewis and apparently we are well ahead because we lost fewer wickets in the opening spell.  That is unless The Bluenoses have the Ferrari 355 in their pack of Top Trumps and call us out on engine capacity because our Morris Traveller will be well and truly buggered.  Other than that we just have to hope that Gollum remembers to bite the ring off of the finger of Sir Al and hand it to Young so he can dive into the flames and earn a penalty to beat the Red Shite on the closing day.

Either way it's going to be a cold day in Mordor before we get relegated.

Offline tinybutmighty

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Re: Are we mathematically safe?
« Reply #154 on: May 15, 2011, 11:21:11 AM »
Only one bookie on Oddschecker is taking bets on Villa going down and its 50-1, which is also the odds on Belgium winning the European Championships next year... The Noses are 3-1 to get relegated btw.

Offline cdbearsfan

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Re: Are we mathematically safe?
« Reply #155 on: May 15, 2011, 11:26:26 AM »
50/1 is shit odds as you can get 96.39/1 on Bwin on an accumulator on Arsenal and Liverpool to beat Villa, Wigan to beat West Ham and Stoke and Blackpool to beat Man U. Which would need to happen to get us relegated.

Offline Villa'Zawg

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Re: Are we mathematically safe?
« Reply #156 on: May 15, 2011, 11:32:43 AM »
Only one bookie on Oddschecker is taking bets on Villa going down and its 50-1, which is also the odds on Belgium winning the European Championships next year... The Noses are 3-1 to get relegated btw.

The bookies pay out on 50/1 winners every week.

The only thing we can do to impact this situation is to get a result against Arsenal.

Offline VillaZogmariner

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Re: Are we mathematically safe?
« Reply #157 on: May 15, 2011, 11:34:56 AM »
Only one bookie on Oddschecker is taking bets on Villa going down and its 50-1, which is also the odds on Belgium winning the European Championships next year... The Noses are 3-1 to get relegated btw.

The bookies pay out on 50/1 winners every week.

The only thing we can do to impact this situation is to get a result against Arsenal.


Villadawg - do you think we will get relegated?

Offline Dave Cooper please

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Re: Are we mathematically safe?
« Reply #158 on: May 15, 2011, 01:43:44 PM »
I'm convinced some people want most of the above to happen, not because they want Villa to be relegated, surely NO Villa fan wants that (do they?), but so they can carry on polluting every single bloody thread with their constant whinging, moaning doom-mongering and constant sniping at anyone connected with Aston Villa and anyone daring to suggest that actually, we've been safe for ages really.

Naming no names, if the cap fits.

Offline Chris Smith

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Re: Are we mathematically safe?
« Reply #159 on: May 15, 2011, 01:58:00 PM »
I'm convinced some people want most of the above to happen, not because they want Villa to be relegated, surely NO Villa fan wants that (do they?), but so they can carry on polluting every single bloody thread with their constant whinging, moaning doom-mongering and constant sniping at anyone connected with Aston Villa and anyone daring to suggest that actually, we've been safe for ages really.

Naming no names, if the cap fits.

We've been safe for a week I reckon.

Online Olneythelonely

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Re: Are we mathematically safe?
« Reply #160 on: May 15, 2011, 02:01:53 PM »
Only one bookie on Oddschecker is taking bets on Villa going down and its 50-1, which is also the odds on Belgium winning the European Championships next year... The Noses are 3-1 to get relegated btw.

The bookies pay out on 50/1 winners every week.

The only thing we can do to impact this situation is to get a result against Arsenal.


Villadawg - do you think we will get relegated?

More importantly, does a little part of you want us to?

Offline VillaZogmariner

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Re: Are we mathematically safe?
« Reply #161 on: May 15, 2011, 02:53:12 PM »
Wigan 3-0 West Ham - 24/1
Arsenal 4-0 Aston Villa - 16/1
Birmingham win v Fulham - 5/4
Aston Villa 0-4 Liverpool - 40/1
Wolves win v Blackburn - 11/10
Wigan win at Stoke - 12/5
Man Utd 0-3 Blackpool - 125/1

Put £1 on that lot to happen and you'd win £35,271,510.75 according to a bet calculator I've just used.

Online Dave

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Re: Are we mathematically safe?
« Reply #162 on: May 15, 2011, 02:54:48 PM »
Although you'd be gutted if we ending up losing 5-1 to Liverpool and we went down and you still lost your bet.

Offline Dave Cooper please

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Re: Are we mathematically safe?
« Reply #163 on: May 15, 2011, 03:11:08 PM »
We've been safe for a week I reckon.

I stopped worrying after we beat Blackburn 4-1.

Offline Ad@m

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Re: Are we mathematically safe?
« Reply #164 on: May 15, 2011, 03:22:10 PM »
Can we just answer the original question with a 'Yes' and put this thread to bed now please?

Every time I see a new post on the thread I have a little panic that I've missed something and we might actually have an away trip to Brighton next year!

 


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