Will we win the Premier League

[PeterWithesShin]

H ManU
A Chelsea
A Arsenal
H Forest
A Palace

There's the test, playing them in the space of two and a half weeks.

First one down.

[Smirker]

A win and draw from the next two would be sexy and delicious.

[Dave]

One thing I've not seen mentioned yet, after last season and how our goal difference screwed us - we have now have fourth best goal difference in the league, six ahead of the fifth best.

Last season we were joint ninth best.

[Somniloquism]

https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/videos/cd9z5qlveq1o

Nedum Onuoha was twisting himself into some knots wasn't he during this.

[SaddVillan]

Not surel about the Prem, but what are our chancex of making the Champions League next season?

From the 2014/15 season to the conclusion of the 2023/24 season, teams have needed between 66 and 76 points to get into the top four. These are the points tallies from those campaigns:

66 points – 2015/16, 2019/20
67 points – 2020/21
68 points – 2023/24
70 points – 2014/15
71 points – 2018/19, 2021/22, 2022/23
75 points – 2017/18
76 points – 2016/17

Within this decade-long sample, the average points for top 4 Premier League places come in at 70.1 points. So, to get into the top bracket in the modern league, teams need to aim for at least 70 points more often than not.

We've got 36pts already, leaving 34pts required from our remaining 21 games.

11 wins and a draw.

We've got 10 home games left at Fortress Villa Park.

10 more games like today's shitty, xG deficient, piss poor performance (according to the nasayers)  and 4 juicy/scabby draws away from home might just do the job.

[PeterWithesShin]

And this season 5th will do it again most likely. Which gives us a bit more of a cushion.

[ADVILLAFAN]

I actually think it will be less points this year than normal, as teams are a lot more competitive (apart from Wolves).

Even newly promoted sides have been decent.

[cdbearsfan]

Based on results so far, we are still one point worse than last season, when we missed out on the Champions League on goal difference.

[ADVILLAFAN]

Based on results so far, we are still one point worse than last season, when we missed out on the Champions League on goal difference.

We just need to win at Palace or Newcastle to turn the tide.

[cdbearsfan]

A draw in our next game would bring us up to zero.

[PeterWithesShin]

And realise it isn't last season.

Being realistic we won't win the league, and if that is the case then the main thing is qualify for the CL. I don't see 5 better teams in this league, although we saw with the bench today that some injuries can alter things. That goes for a title challenge as well. Everyone is 3 key injuries away from a season going to shit.

[Smirker]

I think we'll beat Chelsea but draw with Arsenal.

Really think we have a chance. Momentum is a big part of success and we've got it. We're like a snowball that keeps rolling and gaining mass.

[PeterWithesShin]

The key will be how we react to a setback when it inevitably comes.

[BoVillan esq]

And realise it isn't last season.

Being realistic we won't win the league, and if that is the case then the main thing is qualify for the CL. I don't see 5 better teams in this league, although we saw with the bench today that some injuries can alter things. That goes for a title challenge as well. Everyone is 3 key injuries away from a season going to shit.

Exactly right, its all about the Champions League now, its about signing the right players in January to make sure that happens, for me finishing top 4, maybe third is pretty much as good as it can be.