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Author Topic: Will we qualify for the CL?  (Read 176888 times)

Offline lovejoy

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2565 on: May 21, 2025, 08:50:54 AM »
What this thread proves is all the optimistic shouts for disinterested teams to show up and try has been misplaced. Same as thinking Everton do anything g on Sunday.

I’d love to be an optimistic person but I’m not. Often the optimists then become agree when reality hits. Better to be realistic. Chelsea are 2.24 to win on Sunday and we are about 1.8. So they have a 45% chance of winning and we have about 65%. So for us to win and them not it’s about 35% likely. 1 in 3 shot.

Offline ChicagoLion

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2566 on: May 21, 2025, 08:52:50 AM »
I am definitely not in the optimistic camp, put me down as hopeful and scared.

Offline Ads

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2567 on: May 21, 2025, 08:57:55 AM »
Chelsea beating a motivated Forest, given the mentality of that Chelsea side and their away form, would really suprise me.

We win our game and look after that as a priority. Whether an Everton straight out of 2008-awkward vintage get a result, who knows and we may not care.

The statistical certainties apply to baseball and don't transmit to football, which is a funny old game for a reason.

Offline andyh

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2568 on: May 21, 2025, 09:01:04 AM »
Palace proving last night that the confidence and feel good factor of winning a cup outweighs the downside of ‘partying for two days’.

Therefore I want Man Utd to lose tonight.
A very, very good point

Offline Dave P

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2569 on: May 21, 2025, 09:09:18 AM »
The way I look at it is: -

Villa win = Champions League
Villa Draw = Europa League
Villa Lose = Conference League

Not definite or scientific of course, but more than likely.

Online eamonn

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2570 on: May 21, 2025, 09:23:22 AM »
Palace proving last night that the confidence and feel good factor of winning a cup outweighs the downside of ‘partying for two days’.

Therefore I want Man Utd to lose tonight.

Or proving thar Ollie Glasner is the best manager in Europe.

Offline Villa in Denmark

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2571 on: May 21, 2025, 09:24:18 AM »
Palace proving last night that the confidence and feel good factor of winning a cup outweighs the downside of ‘partying for two days’.

Therefore I want Man Utd to lose tonight.

Or Palace are a decent team playing for a coach that demands professionalism against a mediocre at best Wolves team that have been on the beach for weeks.

V

ManUre are a rabble playing for a coach they don't want against a very good and motivated us.

It can be argued both ways.  I just know that whatever the result tonight I'll be disappointed that one of those bunch of twats has one a major trophy despite being utter Blues.

Offline The Edge

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2572 on: May 21, 2025, 09:32:41 AM »
I've resigned myself to accepting that we will be playing in the Europa league next season. It's the only one we haven't had a crack at yet and Unai's got a great record in it so we have a chance of winning it. CL would be a bonus of course but we have the worst goal difference out of the competing teams. We've struggled to get our goal difference into the positive column all season long and it's turned out to be our achilles heel.

Offline Ads

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2573 on: May 21, 2025, 09:54:38 AM »
Palace proving last night that the confidence and feel good factor of winning a cup outweighs the downside of ‘partying for two days’.

Therefore I want Man Utd to lose tonight.

Occams Razor, the Wolves are shit.

Offline Dogtanian

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2574 on: May 21, 2025, 10:13:16 AM »
If we win our game, then there are only 27 possible permutations for the other three.

Only 2 of those 27 see us finishing outside the top 5. So over 92% of all possible outcomes result in us painting the Champions League claret and blue once again.

So yep, get the win and we'd have to be unlucky not to get in.

Offline Dogtanian

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2575 on: May 21, 2025, 10:33:49 AM »
Palace proving last night that the confidence and feel good factor of winning a cup outweighs the downside of ‘partying for two days’.

Therefore I want Man Utd to lose tonight.
A very, very good point

While Man City last night prove that losing a cup doesn't have to send you into a tailspin of despair that results in you losing your last home game of the season!

Offline LeeB

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2576 on: May 21, 2025, 10:43:02 AM »
I think the key is both ManCity and Palace are very decent teams, whereas Man Utd are Blues.

Offline ADVILLAFAN

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2577 on: May 21, 2025, 11:20:39 AM »
@CDBULLYWEE, will you be updating a swingometer of our Champion's League Qualification hopes in real time on Sunday?

Offline Somniloquism

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2578 on: May 21, 2025, 11:23:46 AM »
One downside of Manure winning the cup is that they will be parading it before the match or at halftime, which might raise the crowd up rather then them being miserable bastards expecting a 10th loss at home and getting on the teams backs.

Offline Monty

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Re: Will we qualify for the CL?
« Reply #2579 on: May 21, 2025, 11:25:30 AM »
Yeah I'm firmly in the 'better if they lose' camp, with the proviso that it'd be best on penalties.

 


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