Will we qualify for the CL?

[Neal and Winton]

Has I see it the only way we will be in conference league is if we lose to Man Utd and Forest beat West Ham and draw with Chelsea so Chelsea will be in champions league and if they win the conference league that europa league place would be lost to English clubs.

[OCD]

What effect does Palace winning have?
Is it top 5 CL, 6th Europa and 7th Conference?

If Chelsea finish 6th or 7th and win the Conference League, 8th place can still get Europa so the clubs fighting for 8th spot still have something to play for.

[trinityoap]

My brain hurts.

[Nunkin1965]

My brain hurts.

I'll just be happy to work it out after Sunday!

[eamonn]

My brain hurts.

Like a warehouse ?

[Dogtanian]

My brain hurts.

Like a warehouse ?

Give it five years, it’ll all be over.

[eamonn]

Yeah, Unai gone, we'll still be junkies like Major fucking Tom while our Villa dreams go from ashes to ashes.

[Dogtanian]

After Friday's games concluded, we're down to only 6,561 permutations for the Muskahound Supercomputer to ponder.

This leaves the following percentages of all scenarios for our finishing place:

2nd   0%
3rd    8.5%
4th    18.5%
5th    25.1%
6th    38.0%
7th    9.9%

So 52.1% of all permutations see us get top 5, versus 47.9% missing out. Still a coin toss, but up from the 33% before kick-off.

[Rigadon]

I’d say 50/50 is about right.   Must beat Man Utd though, as losing or drawing there being the reason we didn’t qualify would be incredibly frustrating. 

[aj2k77]

A few weeks ago I'm sure they said we had a 6% chance of making CL. Now it's more than 50/50. What a job Unai and the boys have done.

[Mellin]

Yep, incredible achievement. Might not be as high as 52.1% when we kick off on Sunday, but either way.

Arsenal can't be losing to Newcastle today. Any other result means they have to beat Everton. If they do lose, I think they're both gone. Southampton beating Arsenal seems unlikely, despite them being absolute fucking heroes last week.

Man City losing to Bournemouth is obviously the one, but a draw would be okay, as it opens up a draw against Fulham being enough.

I hope Forest win, so they go after Chelsea all guns blazing. It does rule out a draw being enough on the final day (Chelsea loss and Forest too far away), but I'd rather the odds were increased in our favour above rather than below.

I'd take the Newcastle loss, Man City draw and Forest win right now. We'd start in sixth and it'd be stressful as fuck with one point separating the five of us, but any of the three above drop any points and the win would do it.

[Flamingo Lane]

I agree with that. Though if Forest do lose today, it does at least guarantee us a place in the Europa League, when even that did not seem awfully likely just a few weeks ago.

[Beard82]

Yep, incredible achievement. Might not be as high as 52.1% when we kick off on Sunday, but either way.

Arsenal can't be losing to Newcastle today. Any other result means they have to beat Everton. If they do lose, I think they're both gone. Southampton beating Arsenal seems unlikely, despite them being absolute fucking heroes last week.

Man City losing to Bournemouth is obviously the one, but a draw would be okay, as it opens up a draw against Fulham being enough.

I hope Forest win, so they go after Chelsea all guns blazing. It does rule out a draw being enough on the final day (Chelsea loss and Forest too far away), but I'd rather the odds were increased in our favour above rather than below.

I'd take the Newcastle loss, Man City draw and Forest win right now. We'd start in sixth and it'd be stressful as fuck with one point separating the five of us, but any of the three above drop any points and the win would do it.

I agree with all the above.  I just can’t see Man City dropping points - particularly after losing yesterday.   I also hope Man Utd win the europa league as they will be well and truly in there flip flops.  Plus can’t have spurs winning.   My view all along has been if we win all our games and don’t qualify so be it

[Pete3206]

Man City will do Bournemouth by at least 4 goals.

[LeeB]

Man City will do Bournemouth by at least 4 goals.

No, I don't think they've got that in them, but they'll spunk a late win.