Will we qualify for the CL?

[Ads]

Win the last 4, which I think we ought to and see what happens.

[Dave]

I'd throw in the Bournemouth game. We were flying before that, had lost once all season, were three for three in the Champions League and we did enough to beat Bournemouth three or four times over.

Then a silly free-kick given away, a 93rd minute equaliser and we didn't win a game for another two months.

[Marlon From Bearwood]

The average points total over the last 10 years for teams finishing 5th is 67.90.

But you only need to beat the team in 6th, and the average for 6th place is 61.50.

I still think 67 points (3 wins plus 1 draw) might be enough for us to finish top 5. 4 wins almost certainly would.

(I asked Copilot for this info, but hopefully it’s accurate!).

[Tokyo Sexwhale]

Wonder how many points that’s cost us?

2 pts vs Bournemouth
0 pts vs Tottenham (game already lost)
1 pt vs Forest
0 pts vs Man City (game won)
0 pts vs Newcastle (game lost)
0 pts vs Wolves (game lost)
0 pts vs Palace (game lost)
1 pt vs Man City

So "only" cost us 4 points; but would have been enough to be in pole position.

[Ads]

Danger here is to assume other teams don't have their own uniquely frustrating stats to go with their ifs and buts.

[RamboandBruno]

Been on leave from work today so more time to mull over the game last night. Despite the blow that it undoubtedly was, I’m not sure a point would make a massive difference to what happens at the end of the season, which makes our second half approach all the more frustrating.

I’m probably going to be way off here, but Man City look sorted, so its four for two places. I don’t see Chelsea getting many more points with their run in. Which leaves Forest and Newcastle. It looks to me that Newcastles tricky games are Brighton and Arsenal away and possibly Everton at home last game, especially if they have to still win to get top 5.  We probably need them to lose two out of five or draw 3.
Forest, Brentford at home may be tricky if Brentford still have an outside chance of Europe, Palace away might be tough too. I can actually see Forest drawing a few of their games. Again I think we need Forest to lose at least one and draw two or three.

I think if we win all four, we’ll probably still squeeze in, just, big ask though.

[PaulWinch again]

I am frustrated we played with an inferiority complex last night. But, with a bit of distance, our task is simple now - I think we need to win the remaining games, which is tough, but possible. If we do that we get to 69 points and if 3 of the other sides match or better that then they deserve their place.

[RamboandBruno]

I am frustrated we played with an inferiority complex last night. But, with a bit of distance, our task is simple now - I think we need to win the remaining games, which is tough, but possible. If we do that we get to 69 points and if 3 of the other sides match or better that then they deserve their place.

Agree

[caster troy]

I'd throw in the Bournemouth game. We were flying before that, had lost once all season, were three for three in the Champions League and we did enough to beat Bournemouth three or four times over.

Then a silly free-kick given away, a 93rd minute equaliser and we didn't win a game for another two months.

I think that the game where we had a goal ruled out because Watkins had allegedly carried the ball out of play, but we never saw a conclusive replay? That really felt like a sliding doors moment for me at the time.

[Dave]

McGinn. I was right in line with it and it did look out to me.

Who knows though.

[OCD]

If we finish on 69 points and finish 6th or 7th, we've been unlucky as that's often enough for 4th place, let alone 5th.

[Tony Daleys Shorts]

If we finish on 69 points and finish 6th or 7th, we've been unlucky as that's often enough for 4th place, let alone 5th.

Plus it would be 1 more point than last season. I think we’d have all settled for that before a ball was kicked.

[eamonn]

I'd throw in the Bournemouth game. We were flying before that, had lost once all season, were three for three in the Champions League and we did enough to beat Bournemouth three or four times over.

Then a silly free-kick given away, a 93rd minute equaliser and we didn't win a game for another two months.

What was our next win, Brentford at home?

November was a killer - collapsing at Spurs, conceding two goals at Anfield from our own corners. Letting Sarr burn us on the break twice for Palace at VP and just being plain awful at Stamford Bridge.

[Dave]

What was our next win, Brentford at home?

Yup

[Percy McCarthy]

I'd throw in the Bournemouth game. We were flying before that, had lost once all season, were three for three in the Champions League and we did enough to beat Bournemouth three or four times over.

Then a silly free-kick given away, a 93rd minute equaliser and we didn't win a game for another two months.

What was our next win, Brentford at home?

November was a killer - collapsing at Spurs, conceding two goals at Anfield from our own corners. Letting Sarr burn us on the break twice for Palace at VP and just being plain awful at Stamford Bridge.

Tielemans missing that fucking penalty!