I went to Palace last night as my neighbour had a spare ticket. Lots of criticism of a terrible Man Utd team but we shouldn’t forget how well Palace are playing. Hammered the Hammers, won at Anfield, beat Newcastle and then trounced the Redscum. If we need points there on the final day, we won’t get them. They are humming under their new manager and that front three looks superb. They were so direct, so up for it, so confident. If we play like we played against Chelsea, Lille (twice), Olympiakos and Brighton we will lose there, without a doubt. The atmosphere in Selhurst was tremendous too. We need Man City not to fuck this one up for us. And yes, I’ve taken a healthy punt at 16-1.
Quote from: LeeS on May 07, 2024, 08:43:31 AMI went to Palace last night as my neighbour had a spare ticket. Lots of criticism of a terrible Man Utd team but we shouldn’t forget how well Palace are playing. Hammered the Hammers, won at Anfield, beat Newcastle and then trounced the Redscum. If we need points there on the final day, we won’t get them. They are humming under their new manager and that front three looks superb. They were so direct, so up for it, so confident. If we play like we played against Chelsea, Lille (twice), Olympiakos and Brighton we will lose there, without a doubt. The atmosphere in Selhurst was tremendous too. We need Man City not to fuck this one up for us. And yes, I’ve taken a healthy punt at 16-1. And its a place we've been relentlessly shit at regardless of our own abillities.
I'm resigned to top 4 being all about the potential of Spurs beating City. I just can't see the present Villa squad taking a point from either Liverpool or Palace.
The odds are massively stacked in our favour as we only need one result to go our way.But with the state of our squad I'm not particularly confident of getting anything from Liverpool or Palace either. I don't think you have to be a troll or a Bluenose to think that.I also think Spurs will beat Burnley and have the ability to hammer Sheffield. So yeah, IF they got a draw at Man City I'd be worried - but I think that's the most unlikely result of the lot.
Quote from: ROBBO on May 07, 2024, 01:22:16 AMI'm confused, so in the unlikely event that Spurs get a point off City and we don't get a point in the last two games Spurs are going to go on a goal fest their last two games and win on goal average. I always look to the bookies odds to see what they believe, you will get enormous odds if you want to waste your money.We are currently 7 points ahead with +9 better goal difference having scored 4 more goals then Spurs:Spurs 2 Burnley 2, Villa 2 Liverpool 1, Spurs 2 City 4, Palace 2 Villa 3, Sheff 0 - Spurs 10That set of results puts us level on points and GD but gives Spurs a better goals scored and 4th place. Any of those results are likely... of course they ALL have to happen which dramatically increases the odds but they could still happen realistically.
I'm confused, so in the unlikely event that Spurs get a point off City and we don't get a point in the last two games Spurs are going to go on a goal fest their last two games and win on goal average. I always look to the bookies odds to see what they believe, you will get enormous odds if you want to waste your money.
Quote from: chrisw1 on May 07, 2024, 09:32:08 AMThe odds are massively stacked in our favour as we only need one result to go our way.But with the state of our squad I'm not particularly confident of getting anything from Liverpool or Palace either. I don't think you have to be a troll or a Bluenose to think that.I also think Spurs will beat Burnley and have the ability to hammer Sheffield. So yeah, IF they got a draw at Man City I'd be worried - but I think that's the most unlikely result of the lot.Sorry to break it to you but it’s at Spurs.
Quote from: Percy McCarthy on May 07, 2024, 09:54:00 AMQuote from: chrisw1 on May 07, 2024, 09:32:08 AMThe odds are massively stacked in our favour as we only need one result to go our way.But with the state of our squad I'm not particularly confident of getting anything from Liverpool or Palace either. I don't think you have to be a troll or a Bluenose to think that.I also think Spurs will beat Burnley and have the ability to hammer Sheffield. So yeah, IF they got a draw at Man City I'd be worried - but I think that's the most unlikely result of the lot.Sorry to break it to you but it’s at Spurs.Where they've beaten Man City for the last four years.
Quote from: Ben1505p on May 07, 2024, 01:04:13 AMFor me it comes down to the Spurs v City game. I don't see us getting anything from Liverpool or Palace. If Spurs don't lose v Man City they'll get 4th.Anybody that doesn't think we will get anything from Liverpool or Palace is probably not a Villa fan. Or form of late has been uneven, but we will strike soon.
For me it comes down to the Spurs v City game. I don't see us getting anything from Liverpool or Palace. If Spurs don't lose v Man City they'll get 4th.
Current odds on SkyBet for Top 4:Villa - 1/33Spursy Spurs - 11/1Clearly a lot of Villa fans lumping on Spurs to get those odds down.