Champions League Contention

[villa for life]

They’ve got a team fighting to stay in the division, followed by a team aiming to win the division, followed by a team who are already relegated and may be up for a final swan song in the premier league.

It’s tough for them.

16-1 tough. (The odds reflect it’s unlikely  but definitely possible.)

[Toronto Villa]

I'm fuming. Thanks to spurs utter ineptitude we can no longer sneak third. Useless wankers, as ever.

Ermmmmm I think we ended those hopes with our result earlier in the day.

Erm…I’m guessing he knew that.

[Clark W Griswold]

Even if you say Tottenham get the 6 points in their other 2 (and I don’t think Burnley is a foregone conclusion), it then comes down to whether you think they’re more likely to get a point against Man City than we are getting a point from our last 2. And then it’s whether they overturn the GD. I know we often fuck it up but I don’t think so this time, partly because I don’t think the opponent has it in them to take advantage.

[PaulWinch again]

I'm fuming. Thanks to spurs utter ineptitude we can no longer sneak third. Useless wankers, as ever.

Ermmmmm I think we ended those hopes with our result earlier in the day.

Erm…I’m guessing he knew that.

I’m clearly being dense then and missing the meaning then?

[Smithy]

Just realised Burnley play Forest on the final day.  Which means that HAVE to win against Spurs to take it to a winner-takes-all game on the final day (assuming Forest lose to Chelsea).

Burnley play Spurs before Forest play Chelsea, so I'd imagine they'll be as motivated as it's possible to be.  Yes, their still not very good, but as far as we're concerned, it's about the best possible time for them to play Burnley.

[pablo_picasso]

Just realised Burnley play Forest on the final day.  Which means that HAVE to win against Spurs to take it to a winner-takes-all game on the final day (assuming Forest lose to Chelsea).

Burnley play Spurs before Forest play Chelsea, so I'd imagine they'll be as motivated as it's possible to be.  Yes, their still not very good, but as far as we're concerned, it's about the best possible time for them to play Burnley.

Problem is, Burnley are really really fucking shit...

[Brazilian Villain]

Just realised Burnley play Forest on the final day.  Which means that HAVE to win against Spurs to take it to a winner-takes-all game on the final day (assuming Forest lose to Chelsea).

Burnley play Spurs before Forest play Chelsea, so I'd imagine they'll be as motivated as it's possible to be.  Yes, their still not very good, but as far as we're concerned, it's about the best possible time for them to play Burnley.

At Turf Moor I might fancy them to get something but can't see it away at Spurs. Citeh should take care of things though.

[PeterWithesShin]

Burnley have lost 2 of the last 9. It's not a gimme for a side as bang out of form as Spurs.

[Astnor]

The thing for me is that Tottenham will not get points from their match against M city. City very good defensively and score plenty goals now.

[Smithy]

Just realised Burnley play Forest on the final day.  Which means that HAVE to win against Spurs to take it to a winner-takes-all game on the final day (assuming Forest lose to Chelsea).

Burnley play Spurs before Forest play Chelsea, so I'd imagine they'll be as motivated as it's possible to be.  Yes, their still not very good, but as far as we're concerned, it's about the best possible time for them to play Burnley.

Problem is, Burnley are really really fucking shit...

They are indeed, but in the form table their solidly low-mid table, not relegation candidates, and this game is the biggest one they'll have all season.  Win and they get a cup-final against Forest. Lose, and they go down.  They lose this fixture 8 times out of 10.  But given they're a team likely to be relegated, this is far from a walk-over, or playing a team already on the beach.

[caster troy]

No not really, but if it was Villa in their situation I could probably talk myself into believing (not intended to provoke anguish…) that basically Burnley and Sheff Utd is 6 points and then it comes down to Citeh at home, unlikely but not impossible. Plus if Spurs were playing Liverpool at home and Palace away I could see them losing both.

I don’t think it’ll happen, I suspect they’ll lose to Citeh but I’d still have hope they other way round.

We won the three fixtures they have remaining. It isn’t too crazy to think they could match us.

[Toronto Villa]

Just realised Burnley play Forest on the final day.  Which means that HAVE to win against Spurs to take it to a winner-takes-all game on the final day (assuming Forest lose to Chelsea).

Burnley play Spurs before Forest play Chelsea, so I'd imagine they'll be as motivated as it's possible to be.  Yes, their still not very good, but as far as we're concerned, it's about the best possible time for them to play Burnley.

Problem is, Burnley are really really fucking shit...

Spurs have lost 4 straight conceding 13 goals. They’ll need to turn into Man City let alone also beat Man City to get 9  points to finish the season.

[PeterWithesShin]

Burnley have drawn away to both Chelsea and Man Utd in the last month or so.

[edgysatsuma89]

Man City have lost the last 4 league games at Tottenham's new stadium, which is quite surprising, so it isn't a place they usually rock up at and win. I don't think this current iteration stands much of a chance though and the betting will show that, but recent history says it wouldn't be a huge shock.

[SoccerHQ]

No not really, but if it was Villa in their situation I could probably talk myself into believing (not intended to provoke anguish…) that basically Burnley and Sheff Utd is 6 points and then it comes down to Citeh at home, unlikely but not impossible. Plus if Spurs were playing Liverpool at home and Palace away I could see them losing both.

I don’t think it’ll happen, I suspect they’ll lose to Citeh but I’d still have hope they other way round.

After we beat Newcastle last season this was the table:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/65217805

So we were actually closer to 4th (and 3rd) with a six point difference than Spurs are to us currently.

In the end we just ran out of games to seriously threaten Newcastle and they picked up a couple more wins to seal 4th. I think Newcastle finished on 70 points in the end so we've roughly matched their results this season.