Champions League Contention

[Dave]

I forgot to make a note of it for his thread, but that Twitter account that posts probabilities (or what they've worked them out to be) says that us and Spurs winning and Man Utd dropping two points puts our chance at Top five at 94% now, with Man Utd only 12% to finish higher than sixth. 

[Meanwood Villa]

They've got West Ham, Newcastle and Liverpool away, and Man City and Arsenal at home. It's not a doddle for them.

Yep, can't see how that's any easier than ours.

I guess the fact they've got Forest, Burnley and Sheff U makes it easier on paper. Yes we've got some bottom half teams but those three are real dross.

Incidentally, we've got 6 of our last 8 opponents in common with Man U. There are a couple of differences in terms of home and away match ups. The two not in common for us are Man Citeh and Brentford (who they played Sat of course), while the three not in common for them are Newcastle, Burnley and Sheff U (those shite twats again).

[ADVILLAFAN]

Starting to feel fairly confident that we will finish above Manure (for the first time since 1990).

They've been very fortunate, outplayed and still getting results. But we are still outscored them over recent weeks.

Looked through the scores and I was ultra negative for us, giving us less than a point per game. Also gave Manure 5 wins and 3 draws from their remaining 9 games.

And this would still see them finish behind us on goal difference.

[tomd2103]

Starting to feel fairly confident that we will finish above Manure (for the first time since 1990).

They've been very fortunate, outplayed and still getting results. But we are still outscored them over recent weeks.

Looked through the scores and I was ultra negative for us, giving us less than a point per game. Also gave Manure 5 wins and 3 draws from their remaining 9 games.

And this would still see them finish behind us on goal difference.

The home games are the ones, particularly Brentford, Bournemouth and Chelsea.  Not easy, but three we should be targeting really.  Then there are Brighton and Palace away, which will hopefully will yield some points as well. 

[Somniloquism]

With 8 matches to go, we are two points behind last seasons total. We are 5 points off out best ever 20 team prem points total (74 is our best ever but that was with 42 matches). We are also three wins off our best ever wins in a Prem season, even the one which had 42 matches and joint the best ever in 20 team seasons.

Some doing by Emery.

[Percy McCarthy]

I forgot to make a note of it for his thread, but that Twitter account that posts probabilities (or what they've worked them out to be) says that us and Spurs winning and Man Utd dropping two points puts our chance at Top five at 94% now, with Man Utd only 12% to finish higher than sixth.

I think it’s Football Rankings Dave.

[Dave]

Good work, it is indeed.

[Percy McCarthy]

Just noticed from MOTD and the way they put last five games as a form guide that over those games we’ve won one more point than Spurs and three more than Manure. Doesn’t really tie in with the recent meltdowns on here.

[PeterWithesShin]

Points last 10 games
Spurs 20
Villa 17
Man Utd 17

Last 6 games
Villa 13
Spurs 12
Man Utd 10

[Meanwood Villa]

I am pretty confident of finishing at least 5th but obviously not counting any chickens, no matter what the stats might say. The coefficient is a bit mad, worst possible draws in terms of us competing with Germany. Could really do with one of Arsenal and West Ham winning their ties.

[Rigadon]

If we’re going to have to play watkinsless for very long I’d be much less confident of 4th. 

[PeterWithesShin]

West Ham win, we win, Chelsea win. Sorted.

[Brazilian Villain]

This won't help Yanited's cause, especially Martinez. https://twitter.com/FabrizioRomano/status/1775240602361221384

[Demitri_C]

If everton dobt get a pen for that its a fucking joke

[PeterWithesShin]

And West Ham do get a result.