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Author Topic: Swing-O-Meter 2020/21 Season... now only 5.3% Fulham  (Read 4799 times)

Online cdbullyweefan

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Swing-O-Meter 2020/21 Season... now only 5.3% Fulham
« on: August 05, 2020, 09:19:47 AM »
You know how this works by now.

Where we can compare results with last season to try to estimate where we are likely to finish.

This is now just based on Villa's results, so we can see if we are on course to equal or better last season's seventeenth-placed finish on 35 points.

Results listed as home result, away result, points. So if we won at home and drew away, it would say WD4.

"-" means we have yet to play match(es).

Last season's results listed to the left of the opponents' names, this season's scores listed to the right.

I'll try to update this after each game.

WL3 Arsenal -W-
WD4 Brighton & Hove Albion L--
DW4 Burnley ---
LL0 Chelsea ---
WL3 Crystal Palace ---
WD4 Everton ---
WW6 Fulham (replacing Norwich City) -W-
LL0 Leeds United (replacing Bournemouth) L--
LL0 Leicester City -W-
LL0 Liverpool W--
LL0 Manchester City ---
LD1 Manchester United ---
WD4 Newcastle United ---
DL1 Sheffield United W--
LL0 Southampton L--
LL0 Tottenham Hotspur ---
WL3 West Bromwich Albion (replacing Watford) ---
DD2 West Ham United ---
LL0 Wolverhampton Wanderers ---

Running points total for season: 15
2019/20 points total in equivalent matches: 7
Balance +/-: +8
Goal difference difference: +12
Villa 2019/20 final points total: 35
Villa 2020/21 estimated final points total: 43
Villa 2019/20 final position: 17th
Villa 2020/21 estimated final position: 14th (up three places)
Last updated after: Brighton & Hove Albion (home), game eight.





Graphics courtesy of CT Villan

2019/20 top goalscorer: Jack Grealish (8)
2020/21 estimated top goalscorer (predicted final total in brackets): Ollie Watkins (29)
2019/20 top assists: Jack Grealish (6)
2020/21 estimated top assists (predicted final total in brackets): Jack Grealish (24)
2019/20 best average rating (figures taken from Fotmob): Jack Grealish (7.33)
2020/21 best average rating: Jack Grealish (7.85)

BONUS EXTRA! Final points total, Drummond Method:* 73

*this is (estimated 2020/21 final points total minus 2019/20 final points total) divided by number of games played so far, then multiplied by 38. Then, finally, added to 2019/20 points total and rounded up/down.
« Last Edit: November 25, 2020, 09:02:06 AM by cdbullyweefan »

Online cdbullyweefan

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Re: Swing-O-Meter 2020/21 Season... now only 5.3% Fulham
« Reply #1 on: August 05, 2020, 09:21:29 AM »
A bit early this year, apologies. Wanted to do it while still "working from home" so as I wouldn't be pestered by people actually expecting work. I have added some player stats, you lucky people. Will be back once fixtures are announced.

Offline eamonn

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Re: Swing-O-Meter 2020/21 Season... now only 5.3% Fulham
« Reply #2 on: August 05, 2020, 09:23:00 AM »
Good work.

That old bad-code symbol of the number eight followed by a bracket symbol producing a sunglassed emoji never fails to make me smile. Unless you were of course saying that Jack is as cool as fook.

Online cdbullyweefan

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Re: Swing-O-Meter 2020/21 Season... now only 5.3% Fulham
« Reply #3 on: August 05, 2020, 09:24:58 AM »
I don't know what you mean...

Offline Risso

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Re: Swing-O-Meter 2020/21 Season... now only 5.3% Fulham
« Reply #4 on: August 05, 2020, 09:34:21 AM »
A much better record against teams lower down in the alphabet than those higher up. Could do with Wolves going down this year for that reason alone.

Online cdbullyweefan

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Re: Swing-O-Meter 2020/21 Season... now only 5.3% Fulham
« Reply #5 on: August 05, 2020, 09:38:01 AM »
I was thinking that, Champions League form until you get to Chelsea who, not for the first time, spoil everything. Although that is partly because Bournemouth have been replaced by a team starting with "L".

Our record against L and M teams is now particularly appalling. There are no teams starting with either letter in the Belgian Pro League, so our transfer policy is probably to blame. Need to sign players with big match "scoring against teams starting with L and M" experience.
« Last Edit: August 05, 2020, 09:41:58 AM by cdbullyweefan »

Online cdbullyweefan

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Re: Swing-O-Meter 2020/21 Season... now only 5.3% Fulham
« Reply #6 on: September 22, 2020, 08:32:21 AM »
Morning all, a win to start the season.

Just look at the estimated points total using The Drummond Method, what a season this could be!

Offline Drummond

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Re: Swing-O-Meter 2020/21 Season... now only 5.3% Fulham
« Reply #7 on: September 22, 2020, 10:10:00 AM »
Morning all, a win to start the season.

Just look at the estimated points total using The Drummond Method, what a season this could be!

I know I'm an optimist but....

Offline Breezeblock

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Re: Swing-O-Meter 2020/21 Season... now only 5.3% Fulham
« Reply #8 on: September 22, 2020, 10:30:17 AM »
Serious question for the mods - can we sticky this post please?

Offline Risso

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Re: Swing-O-Meter 2020/21 Season... now only 5.3% Fulham
« Reply #9 on: September 22, 2020, 10:37:30 AM »
Morning all, a win to start the season.

Just look at the estimated points total using The Drummond Method, what a season this could be!

I know I'm an optimist but....

That's ridiculous! I'd be happy with *just* a hundred.

Offline eamonn

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Re: Swing-O-Meter 2020/21 Season... now only 5.3% Fulham
« Reply #10 on: September 22, 2020, 11:06:10 AM »
What is it that Drummond is drawing-up? Can't wait to see it.

Offline dave shelley

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Re: Swing-O-Meter 2020/21 Season... now only 5.3% Fulham
« Reply #11 on: September 22, 2020, 06:29:45 PM »
Morning all, a win to start the season.

Just look at the estimated points total using The Drummond Method, what a season this could be!

Welcome back, I missed ya.

Offline Ad@m

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Re: Swing-O-Meter 2020/21 Season... now only 5.3% Fulham
« Reply #12 on: September 22, 2020, 06:40:49 PM »
Great work cdbw!

As well as Drummond's promise of a record breaking points total I'm delighted that we've finally found that 38 goal a season man we've been looking for in Ezri Konsa!!!

Online cdbullyweefan

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Re: Swing-O-Meter 2020/21 Season... now only 5.3% Fulham
« Reply #13 on: September 22, 2020, 07:00:01 PM »
With 38 assists from Tyrone Mings!

Thanks both. 🙂

Offline algy

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Re: Swing-O-Meter 2020/21 Season... now only 5.3% Fulham
« Reply #14 on: September 22, 2020, 10:10:52 PM »
You know how this works by now.

Where we can compare results with last season to try to estimate where we are likely to finish.

This is now just based on Villa's results, so we can see if we are on course to equal or better last season's seventeenth-placed finish on 35 points.

Results listed as home result, away result, points. So if we won at home and drew away, it would say WD4.

"-" means we have yet to play match(es).

Last season's results listed to the left of the opponents' names, this season's scores listed to the right.

I'll try to update this after each game.

WL3 Arsenal ---
WD4 Brighton & Hove Albion ---
DW4 Burnley ---
LL0 Chelsea ---
WL3 Crystal Palace ---
WD4 Everton ---
WW6 Fulham (replacing Norwich City) ---
LL0 Leeds United (replacing Bournemouth) ---
LL0 Leicester City ---
LL0 Liverpool ---
LL0 Manchester City ---
LD1 Manchester United ---
WD4 Newcastle United ---
DL1 Sheffield United W--
LL0 Southampton ---
LL0 Tottenham Hotspur ---
WL3 West Bromwich Albion (replacing Watford) ---
DD2 West Ham United ---
LL0 Wolverhampton Wanderers ---

Running points total for season: 3
2019/20 points total in equivalent matches: 1
Balance +/-: +2
Goal difference difference: +1
Villa 2019/20 final points total: 35
Villa 2020/21 estimated final points total: 37
Villa 2019/20 final position: 17th
Villa 2020/21 estimated final position: 17th (no change)
Last updated after: Sheffield United (home), game one





Graphics courtesy CT Villan

2019/20 top goalscorer: Jack Grealish (8)
2020/21 estimated top goalscorer (predicted final total in brackets): - Ezri Konsa (38)
2019/20 top assists: Jack Grealish (6)
2020/21 estimated top assists (predicted final total in brackets): - Tyrone Mings (38)
2019/20 best average rating (figures taken from Fotmob): Jack Grealish (7.33)
2020/21 best average rating: - Ezri Konsa (8.4)

BONUS EXTRA! Final points total, Drummond Method:* - 111

*this is (estimated 2020/21 final points total minus 2019/20 final points total) divided by number of games played so far, then multiplied by 38. Then, finally, added to 2019/20 points total and rounded up/down.
Just want to keep this version for posterity. In years to come people will scoff at the thought that Ezra Konsa would *only* manage 38 goals this season.

 


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