The Much Awaited Return of Promotion Maths

[PeterWithesShin]

I think Cardiff will beat Wolves

So you're saying we'll go up as Champions?

[VillaAlways]

I think Cardiff will beat Wolves

Me too.

[Villafirst]

Wolves to win in Cardiff. Sheffield United comfortably outplayed  Cardiff but failed at the end to hold on. Can see Wolves out playing Cardiff.

[Drummond]

I hope tonight is the start of another run, this time it's 10 in a row needed.

[tomd2103]

I'll have some of what Tom and QV are drinking!

We've absolutely no chance of automatic from here.

Of course we have a chance. Wolves still need 3 points on Friday night against Cardiff. It's not beyond the realms of fantasy that they will get them. We win against Norwich and then Cardiff on Tuesday and we're a point behind.

I wouldn't put my mortgage on it admittedly but to say there is no chance is ridiculous.

No absolutely no chance of automatic.

Let's just say by this time next week we have won our next two games, Cardiff have lost both and Fulham have drawn one and won one.  We would be level on points with Fulham and one point behind Cardiff (though they would have a game in hand away at Derby).  Not an incredibly unlikely scenario and would we still have no chance at that point?

[leylandalbion]

I'll have some of what Tom and QV are drinking!

We've absolutely no chance of automatic from here.

Of course we have a chance. Wolves still need 3 points on Friday night against Cardiff. It's not beyond the realms of fantasy that they will get them. We win against Norwich and then Cardiff on Tuesday and we're a point behind.

I wouldn't put my mortgage on it admittedly but to say there is no chance is ridiculous.

No absolutely no chance of automatic.

Let's just say by this time next week we have won our next two games, Cardiff have lost both and Fulham have drawn one and won one.  We would be level on points with Fulham and one point behind Cardiff (though they would have a game in hand away at Derby).  Not an incredibly unlikely scenario and would we still have no chance at that point?

For sure.  But what are the chances of that scenario playing out. Just hope come Tuesday we have at least beat Norwich and Cardiff drop points to wolves.  As we saw against wolves a big game can lift us..

[footyskillz]

Fulham show no sign of losing. The's the problem.

The game at Sheffield Wednesday on Saturday could be testing in as much as form for owls been okay think won last 3 or 4.
Hoping that can at least be a draw. I can't think Fulham will just win every match. They'll have a blip or 2 or off day. One where things don't go there way.
Seemingly only likes of man city, Bayern Munich  PSG and barca are teams who are consistently going to win. Fulham aren't this! Though they may only lose or draw a few before matches are out!

Here's hoping.

[tomd2103]

I'll have some of what Tom and QV are drinking!

We've absolutely no chance of automatic from here.

Of course we have a chance. Wolves still need 3 points on Friday night against Cardiff. It's not beyond the realms of fantasy that they will get them. We win against Norwich and then Cardiff on Tuesday and we're a point behind.

I wouldn't put my mortgage on it admittedly but to say there is no chance is ridiculous.

No absolutely no chance of automatic.

Let's just say by this time next week we have won our next two games, Cardiff have lost both and Fulham have drawn one and won one.  We would be level on points with Fulham and one point behind Cardiff (though they would have a game in hand away at Derby).  Not an incredibly unlikely scenario and would we still have no chance at that point?

For sure.  But what are the chances of that scenario playing out. Just hope come Tuesday we have at least beat Norwich and Cardiff drop points to wolves.  As we saw against wolves a big game can lift us..

Hardly beyond the realms of possibility, but we shall see. 

[Brassneck]

I'll have some of what Tom and QV are drinking!

We've absolutely no chance of automatic from here.

Of course we have a chance. Wolves still need 3 points on Friday night against Cardiff. It's not beyond the realms of fantasy that they will get them. We win against Norwich and then Cardiff on Tuesday and we're a point behind.

I wouldn't put my mortgage on it admittedly but to say there is no chance is ridiculous.

No absolutely no chance of automatic.

Let's just say by this time next week we have won our next two games, Cardiff have lost both and Fulham have drawn one and won one.  We would be level on points with Fulham and one point behind Cardiff (though they would have a game in hand away at Derby).  Not an incredibly unlikely scenario and would we still have no chance at that point?

For sure.  But what are the chances of that scenario playing out. Just hope come Tuesday we have at least beat Norwich and Cardiff drop points to wolves.  As we saw against wolves a big game can lift us..

The chances are a lot better than "no chance"

The probability is that we won't do it but while there's a chance, you have to go for it.

[ChicagoLion]

The chances are slim to none and slim left town.

[Brassneck]

The chances are slim to none and slim left town.

So not "absolutely no chance" then?

[WarszaVillan]

I'll have some of what Tom and QV are drinking!

We've absolutely no chance of automatic from here.

Of course we have a chance. Wolves still need 3 points on Friday night against Cardiff. It's not beyond the realms of fantasy that they will get them. We win against Norwich and then Cardiff on Tuesday and we're a point behind.

I wouldn't put my mortgage on it admittedly but to say there is no chance is ridiculous.

No absolutely no chance of automatic.

Let's just say by this time next week we have won our next two games, Cardiff have lost both and Fulham have drawn one and won one.  We would be level on points with Fulham and one point behind Cardiff (though they would have a game in hand away at Derby).  Not an incredibly unlikely scenario and would we still have no chance at that point?

This is the scenario I've been hanging onto, if we win our next two we have a chance. 6 wins would put us on 91 points

[Ad@m]

I'll have some of what Tom and QV are drinking!

We've absolutely no chance of automatic from here.

Of course we have a chance. Wolves still need 3 points on Friday night against Cardiff. It's not beyond the realms of fantasy that they will get them. We win against Norwich and then Cardiff on Tuesday and we're a point behind.

I wouldn't put my mortgage on it admittedly but to say there is no chance is ridiculous.

So you think Cardiff, the team that hasn't lost a league game in over three months, is going to lose at least three of their remaining seven?

And 'at least' relies on us winning all six of ours which would be incredible in itself.

There is no chance. The key for us now is to get to the play offs without any injuries and I'm reasonable form.

[Matt Collins]

I still think Cardiff could blow it

If they lose their next two (wolves and us) then I can imagine panic setting in

Not saying I predict it, but it’s not that unlikely. It wasnt that long ago that Cardiff lost 5 on the bounce.

 Even if that happens, I think Fulham will probably finish above us. Which is still preferable to having to play them in the play offs - so oddly whenever they win I’m not too disappointed at the moment

[Baldy]

Alas, the chances of automatic qualification are very slim. Play offs look our best bet.

On a positive note, the teams currently in 7th, 8th and 9th position (Bristol City, Millwall and Sheff Utd) are 11 points behind us with a much inferior goal difference and difficult games ahead.

Of their remaining 6 fixtures, Millwall play 5 of the top 8 teams, Sheff Utd play 4 of the top 9 teams and Bristol City play 3 out of the top 8.

That is a lot of points automatically being dropped by our chasers and we must be very close to already being in the play offs.

Any mathematical geniuses out there?