The Much Awaited Return of Promotion Maths

[Steve67]

Fuck it, let’s win the Wembley Play Off Cup. 🤞

[chrisw1]

Cardiff won’t have to win all 9. It’s great being all Braveheart about things, but it’s over, forget it. There was very little margin for error with a four point gap, and tonight we blew it.

There's been plenty of times this season when people have said it's all over after bad results, only for things to turn round pretty quickly.

Last night was disastrous, but it is far from all over.  Do you think Fulham think it's all over?  There will be plenty of twists and turns before this season is out.

[Ads]

There is no room for error now. We'd be better putting the blinkers on for the next three games,. ignoring what everybody else is doing and stick 9 points on against Bolton, Hull and Reading and see where we are before the Cardiff game.

We could be 2 points in front, 1 point in front, level on points, 1 point behind, 4 points behind or 7 etc and so on. In just three games.

Don't bottle it now.

[Risso]

Cardiff won’t have to win all 9. It’s great being all Braveheart about things, but it’s over, forget it. There was very little margin for error with a four point gap, and tonight we blew it.

There's been plenty of times this season when people have said it's all over after bad results, only for things to turn round pretty quickly.

Last night was disastrous, but it is far from all over.  Do you think Fulham think it's all over?  There will be plenty of twists and turns before this season is out.

We were in second place for one match, after which the team crapped itself, like it did last night. It’s mathematically possible to still get automatic promotion of course, but in reality extremely unlikely. 

[Ads]

6 wins and 3 draws needed, I hadn't updated my thingy-ma-jig last night.

[Brassneck]

Cardiff won’t have to win all 9. It’s great being all Braveheart about things, but it’s over, forget it. There was very little margin for error with a four point gap, and tonight we blew it.

There's been plenty of times this season when people have said it's all over after bad results, only for things to turn round pretty quickly.

Last night was disastrous, but it is far from all over.  Do you think Fulham think it's all over?  There will be plenty of twists and turns before this season is out.

We were in second place for one match, after which the team crapped itself, like it did last night. It’s mathematically possible to still get automatic promotion of course, but in reality extremely unlikely.

We can't just throw the towel in though. Cardiff becomes a must win game and if we can beat them, we only need a two game turn around. Winning on Saturday, coupled with Derby winning the following day puts us right back in it.

[footyskillz]

The big matches at home take care of themselves. So I think no problem in motivating that and more confident of beating Cardiff that I am of Bolton or Hull away.

Norwich away lunchtime will be interesting but now is time to just win next game as Brucey says plenty of surprises and twists and turns so thinking something will happen to Cardiff when less expecting.

Agree though about 7 points next 3 matches 9 would be great

[Risso]

6 wins and 3 draws needed, I hadn't updated my thingy-ma-jig last night.

That would give us 90 points.  To beat that, Cardiff only need 5 wins and could afford 4 defeats. Or 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats.

[chrisw1]

Cardiff won’t have to win all 9. It’s great being all Braveheart about things, but it’s over, forget it. There was very little margin for error with a four point gap, and tonight we blew it.

There's been plenty of times this season when people have said it's all over after bad results, only for things to turn round pretty quickly.

Last night was disastrous, but it is far from all over.  Do you think Fulham think it's all over?  There will be plenty of twists and turns before this season is out.

We were in second place for one match, after which the team crapped itself, like it did last night. It’s mathematically possible to still get automatic promotion of course, but in reality extremely unlikely. 

I agree it looks pretty bleak.  But one round of results can make a very big difference and Cardiff have to play us and Wolves.

[Malandro]

Cardiff won’t have to win all 9. It’s great being all Braveheart about things, but it’s over, forget it. There was very little margin for error with a four point gap, and tonight we blew it.

There's been plenty of times this season when people have said it's all over after bad results, only for things to turn round pretty quickly.

Last night was disastrous, but it is far from all over.  Do you think Fulham think it's all over?  There will be plenty of twists and turns before this season is out.

We were in second place for one match, after which the team crapped itself, like it did last night. It’s mathematically possible to still get automatic promotion of course, but in reality extremely unlikely. 

  But one round of results can make a very big difference and Cardiff have to play us

You are not making me feel any more  positive

[chrisw1]

Cardiff won’t have to win all 9. It’s great being all Braveheart about things, but it’s over, forget it. There was very little margin for error with a four point gap, and tonight we blew it.

There's been plenty of times this season when people have said it's all over after bad results, only for things to turn round pretty quickly.

Last night was disastrous, but it is far from all over.  Do you think Fulham think it's all over?  There will be plenty of twists and turns before this season is out.

We were in second place for one match, after which the team crapped itself, like it did last night. It’s mathematically possible to still get automatic promotion of course, but in reality extremely unlikely. 

  But one round of results can make a very big difference and Cardiff have to play us

You are not making me feel any more  positive

Fair point, but ultimately we do have to beat them and frankly we should.

[aj2k77]

I would back this team to beat anyone in the division at home in a must win game. The poorest results have come against lesser sides when the atmosphere has been near silent.

[shirley_villan]

Fuck it, go and win the next three and see where the land lies. Fulham and Cardiff will definitely drop points, we'll have to see whether that's enough though.

[richtheholtender]

Not even third favourites to go up now apparently.

[OzVilla]

I would back this team to beat anyone in the division at home in a must win game. The poorest results have come against lesser sides when the atmosphere has been near silent.

Which is why I'd be quietly confident in the play offs. We'd be the club to fear out of all of them.