The Much Awaited Return of Promotion Maths

[Brassneck]

I personally think that Fulham are the biggest threat. They are a very good side and it was disappointing to see them keep hold of all their players in January. If we can keep this 5 point gap between us and them until after we've played them, I'll be delighted.

Derby have got into second place with no real pressure on them. It's easy to go to places like Blues and win 3-0 when you have a 6 point cushion. let's see how free scoring they are now there's only a 1 point cushion.

[mr underhill]

well they looked pretty comfortable today

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Against utter shite that hasn't scored since Boxing Day.

[olaftab]

And Brentford down to 10 at 20 minutes.

[olaftab]

I personally think that Fulham are the biggest threat. They are a very good side and it was disappointing to see them keep hold of all their players in January. If we can keep this 5 point gap between us and them until after we've played them, I'll be delighted.

Derby have got into second place with no real pressure on them. It's easy to go to places like Blues and win 3-0 when you have a 6 point cushion. let's see how free scoring they are now there's only a 1 point cushion.

Welcome to the site Brassneck.

Ye I agree about Fulham. After beating Blues next week I will be happy with a draw at Fulham. That will keep them at an arms length.

[rob_bridge]

There is a case to made for all of 2-5 at the moment for different reasons. Derby have the brightest manager/coach and score more which is why I'd favour them currently.

I think Brizzle have blown their stack and ane will fight it out with half a dozen others for top 6

[PeterWithesShin]

The various current form tables HERE are quite interesting to look at.

[Fred Crump]

Very interesting, thanks PWS. In my view that shows that whatever frustrations he sometimes brings, you have to hand it to Steve Bruce, his way is working in the short and medium term. For me it also says that Real Wolverhamton aside, Fulham and Derby (in that order) are the ones to worry about. That, and the change in our fortunes when John Terry came back from injury is so noticeable.

[mr underhill]

Next week is far from a formality with them third in the form table - it's a huge game as is our trip to Real Fulham.

[Seb_AVFC]

I just found an interesting post on the Fulham message board. We need to target 11 wins to be sure I reckon.

Link

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We need 10 more wins. They need 12 from their last 16. That's a massive ask.

[Meanwood Villa]

It would seem they're as worried about us as we are about them!

Personally speaking my biggest concern is our next blip and how serious it is. Another run of 5 without a win and automatic has gone I think. We will drop points, we will lose games but so will everyone else and as long as they are isolated occurrences we will be OK. Of course if we happen to go all Man City and win the last 16 i'll take it!

[AV82EC]

At this stage you have to follow any defeat with a win and then follow it up with 2 or 3 more. We can not afford anymore 4-5 game streaks without wins.

[Tom_Mc9?]

I think whilst the results didn't go our way yesterday, it is realistic that only one of the top six will lose each week. This week it was Bristol.

I'd imagine we'll pick up three points against Birmingham and then lose away at Fulham. Something's got to give - we won't carry on winning every game until the end of the season. Looking at it now, it seems it is between us, Cardiff, Fulham and Derby. I've been fairly dismissive of Cardiff until now, but they keep getting results.

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I think we will beat the Noses and Fulham.