The Much Awaited Return of Promotion Maths

[sickbeggar]

well looking at the games coming up in our part of the table i have the following results based on form

Sheff w vs wolves . sheffield wednesday have picked up 4 points out of 15 in their last 5 games. Away win.
bristol c vs Forest. Forest i see them and Ipswich as the "average" Championship team. Home win
ipswich vs reading. as i said, average championship team at home. Home win
Leeds vs Norwich. Leeds form has picked up so home win
millwall vs boro.  Don't think Boro will win. could be a draw but i'm going for a home win
Preston vs Sheffield u . Recent form has home win all over it
cardiff vs Hull. on form, a no brainer. Home win
Derby C vs Villa.  very similar  stats all round. derby have the better recent form. With not much hope we can actually put in one of our rare quality performances i'm going for a draw.


Based on the above, this time next week i make the table

Wolves 51
Cardiff 47
Bristol c 43
Derby 39
Villa 38
Sheffield U 37
Leeds 36
Ipswich 35
Preston 35

Not looking good to me. We really need a win to keep up with the leaders if those scores happen. We caught a break last weekend with the results and they could go our way again of course, but sooner to later we are going to have to show our class if we have any, and pick up a good win away if we have any chance of going up automatically.
 

[Ads]

I'm surprised Sheffield Wednesday haven't sacked their manager yet.

[ChicagoLion]

well looking at the games coming up in our part of the table i have the following results based on form

Sheff w vs wolves . sheffield wednesday have picked up 4 points out of 15 in their last 5 games. Away win.
bristol c vs Forest. Forest i see them and Ipswich as the "average" Championship team. Home win
ipswich vs reading. as i said, average championship team at home. Home win
Leeds vs Norwich. Leeds form has picked up so home win
millwall vs boro.  Don't think Boro will win. could be a draw but i'm going for a home win
Preston vs Sheffield u . Recent form has home win all over it
cardiff vs Hull. on form, a no brainer. Home win
Derby C vs Villa.  very similar  stats all round. derby have the better recent form. With not much hope we can actually put in one of our rare quality performances i'm going for a draw.


Based on the above, this time next week i make the table

Wolves 51
Cardiff 47
Bristol c 43
Derby 39
Villa 38
Sheffield U 37
Leeds 36
Ipswich 35
Preston 35

Not looking good to me. We really need a win to keep up with the leaders if those scores happen. We caught a break last weekend with the results and they could go our way again of course, but sooner to later we are going to have to show our class if we have any, and pick up a good win away if we have any chance of going up automatically.

Quiet day at the Office?
Can you complete December please?

[SoccerHQ]

I think we'll beat Sheffield United.

Very unsure on the three away games. Can see SB just playing for draws at Boro and especially Derby. Nothing in his record suggests we'll go to those places and wipe the floor with them anyway.

Brentford is the dodgy one. We're due a decent performance against them but their style of play always causes us major problems.

I think it would only be the odd goal in it against Derby. I think they have a lot of similar qualities to us, but without Lawrence I think they're pretty pedestrian.

Is Lawrence suspended then? He played the other day. Vydra is in great form currently and Weimann also scored at Barnsley so it will be a tough day for our back 4 I think and Derby are solid in the other areas.

[Ads]

Weimann is being played out of position. I will be honest, Nugent and Andi put as much fear into me as a wet wheatbix.

Martin is shite this season too.

[SoccerHQ]

Weimann is being played out of position. I will be honest, Nugent and Andi put as much fear into me as a wet wheatbix.

Martin is shite this season too.

Weimann is being played as a wide forward, same as he did for us. Thought he'd be better at this level than he was for us in the prem but still ex player and all that (can't remember him playing v us last year).

Derby play a targetman and then those three pacey options behind so would be really surprised if we got a clean sheet on Saturday.

[Ads]

That's my point, we played him out of position and so are they. He's a hustle and bustle centre forward. I don't think he played against us. Went on loan to the Wolves in January if I recall.

[sickbeggar]

well looking at the games coming up in our part of the table i have the following results based on form

Sheff w vs wolves . sheffield wednesday have picked up 4 points out of 15 in their last 5 games. Away win.
bristol c vs Forest. Forest i see them and Ipswich as the "average" Championship team. Home win
ipswich vs reading. as i said, average championship team at home. Home win
Leeds vs Norwich. Leeds form has picked up so home win
millwall vs boro.  Don't think Boro will win. could be a draw but i'm going for a home win
Preston vs Sheffield u . Recent form has home win all over it
cardiff vs Hull. on form, a no brainer. Home win
Derby C vs Villa.  very similar  stats all round. derby have the better recent form. With not much hope we can actually put in one of our rare quality performances i'm going for a draw.


Based on the above, this time next week i make the table

Wolves 51
Cardiff 47
Bristol c 43
Derby 39
Villa 38
Sheffield U 37
Leeds 36
Ipswich 35
Preston 35

Not looking good to me. We really need a win to keep up with the leaders if those scores happen. We caught a break last weekend with the results and they could go our way again of course, but sooner to later we are going to have to show our class if we have any, and pick up a good win away if we have any chance of going up automatically.

Quiet day at the Office?
Can you complete December please?

Heh. well it is appropriately dull in the spirit of the promotion maths thread . Besides i'm looking forward to seeing how bloody clueless i am at predicting..

[IFWaters]

well looking at the games coming up in our part of the table i have the following results based on form

Sheff w vs wolves . sheffield wednesday have picked up 4 points out of 15 in their last 5 games. Away win.
bristol c vs Forest. Forest i see them and Ipswich as the "average" Championship team. Home win
ipswich vs reading. as i said, average championship team at home. Home win
Leeds vs Norwich. Leeds form has picked up so home win
millwall vs boro.  Don't think Boro will win. could be a draw but i'm going for a home win
Preston vs Sheffield u . Recent form has home win all over it
cardiff vs Hull. on form, a no brainer. Home win
Derby C vs Villa.  very similar  stats all round. derby have the better recent form. With not much hope we can actually put in one of our rare quality performances i'm going for a draw.


Based on the above, this time next week i make the table

Wolves 51
Cardiff 47
Bristol c 43
Derby 39
Villa 38
Sheffield U 37
Leeds 36
Ipswich 35
Preston 35

Not looking good to me. We really need a win to keep up with the leaders if those scores happen. We caught a break last weekend with the results and they could go our way again of course, but sooner to later we are going to have to show our class if we have any, and pick up a good win away if we have any chance of going up automatically.

Quiet day at the Office?
Can you complete December please?

Heh. well it is appropriately dull in the spirit of the promotion maths thread . Besides i'm looking forward to seeing how bloody clueless i am at predicting..

DULL ?! How very dare you sir.  The permutations for Villa's results in the next 4-5 matches are an endlessly entertaining exercise in randomness.

[ChicagoLion]

today put paid to automatic promotion.
Looking at the fixtures and form we are in, it’s a fight for play offs now.

[Richard]

I don't think there's much between Cardiff in 2nd and Preston in 9th still lots of twists and turns to come and I'd say we have a good chance of making the play offs and a fair chance of automatic behind Wolves.

Terry back will make a difference to the mentality on the pitch. My biggest concern is still the lack of goal power in the squad.

[Rudy65]

well looking at the games coming up in our part of the table i have the following results based on form

Sheff w vs wolves . sheffield wednesday have picked up 4 points out of 15 in their last 5 games. Away win.
bristol c vs Forest. Forest i see them and Ipswich as the "average" Championship team. Home win
ipswich vs reading. as i said, average championship team at home. Home win
Leeds vs Norwich. Leeds form has picked up so home win
millwall vs boro.  Don't think Boro will win. could be a draw but i'm going for a home win
Preston vs Sheffield u . Recent form has home win all over it
cardiff vs Hull. on form, a no brainer. Home win
Derby C vs Villa.  very similar  stats all round. derby have the better recent form. With not much hope we can actually put in one of our rare quality performances i'm going for a draw.


Based on the above, this time next week i make the table

Wolves 51
Cardiff 47
Bristol c 43
Derby 39
Villa 38
Sheffield U 37
Leeds 36
Ipswich 35
Preston 35

Not looking good to me. We really need a win to keep up with the leaders if those scores happen. We caught a break last weekend with the results and they could go our way again of course, but sooner to later we are going to have to show our class if we have any, and pick up a good win away if we have any chance of going up automatically.

Some good tips there. Send me your thoughts for next weeks games!

[sickbeggar]

Don't think i'll bother as i fear i'm jinxing us

[OzVilla]

We won't catch Wolves now, 4+ games to bridge 13 points is a huge amount to make up in half a season, especially when we're not prolific goal scorers.

[paul_e]

We won't catch Wolves now, 4+ games to bridge 13 points is a huge amount to make up in half a season, especially when we're not prolific goal scorers.

If Wolves and Cardiff carry on they are then we need 12-13 wins on the bounce to catch them, I just don't see a Steve Bruce team ever scoring the goals to put a run like that together so I suspect we're now playing for a play off spot.