The Much Awaited Return of Promotion Maths

[Ad@m]

I make that 2 away wins we need in December now to keep up with 1st and 2nd on their current form. If cardiff win on Monday we're gonna be 9 points off them - already looking beyond us

Cardiff have won 4 in a row and before yesterday Wolves had won 6 in a row. Keeping pace with them involves winning every match.

[Ads]

Well we haven't lost any ground on Barca-bay-we at least.

It's the two six pointers coming up we must win.

[olaftab]

Yes but we have to do much much better than 3 out of 4 teams for the rest of the season and that is not going to happen.

[Ads]

Well we are a single result away from being 3rd, it's more about taking points out of the top 2. 7 and 9 win half a season isn't impossible when we have to play them both with over half a season left.

[Clampy]

Yesterday was a poor performance and a poor result but there's so much football left to be played.

[SoccerHQ]

So how many more slip ups can we afford and still get Top 2.?
Or do we now need snookers?

Not sure. But 2 points from 6 at the start of a busy month is not ideal.

I'm sure there is a valid reason why a point at Home to lowly Millwall is good though, I just can't think of one at the moment. Perhaps I'll find out on the post match thread later.

Cardiff actually only drew 0-0 with them at home.

Make no mistake though yesterday was a terrible time to draw points in a winnable home fixture. Would've put pressure on Cardiff on Monday night to keep winning.

We're going to have to win two out of Derby/Sheffield/Boro/Brentford to keep in touch now so pressure right on.

[olaftab]

Yesterday we played possibly our weakest opposition this month and messed up so it going to be a grim December.☹️

[Ads]

Or just the rocket we need to re-focus ahead of an equally functional and very workman like Derby side.

[sickbeggar]

I make that 2 away wins we need in December now to keep up with 1st and 2nd on their current form. If cardiff win on Monday we're gonna be 9 points off them - already looking beyond us

Cardiff have won 4 in a row and before yesterday Wolves had won 6 in a row. Keeping pace with them involves winning every match.

Well yes that's true. I was basing it on the hope that cardiff and Wolves can't keep winning every game, and that on paper at least, winning at home and picking up draws and the occasional win away would keep us within striking distance of them. Unfortunately with the 2 points dropped at 1 of our 2 only home matches this month, we now have to seriously up our game away at Derby, Brentford and 'Boro. 8 points from our remaining 4 games this month is probably the minimum we need, and even that doesn't look good enough unless cardiff and wolves go to pot.

[eamonn]

Late fightback for Cardiff tonight at Reading from two goals down so it's as you were between us, them and Wolves after the weekend's games. We've gained a point on t'Blades but lost two to Brizzle. Derby gained on us, ahead of us now on goal difference leading into next Sat's game and the chasing pack (Leeds, Boro) got a bit closer too.

[Ad@m]

Derby are a point ahead of us. We're above Sheffield United on goal difference.

[olaftab]

Ahaa eamonn has a formula for converting a point back to goal difference😉

[olaftab]

So how many more slip ups can we afford and still get Top 2.?
Or do we now need snookers?

We need snookers and the top two delivered this week and will do so again over the remaining  25 games rest is up to us.

[Ads]

With 75 points left to play for I'd be keeping my sheets dry.

[Ad@m]

With 75 points left to play for I'd be keeping my sheets dry.

I'm fairly sure that if we look back approximately 12 months you were almost certainly saying the same thing at that point.

Then we went 9 matches without a win from the end of December to the end of Feb.