The Much Awaited Return of Promotion Maths

[sickbeggar]

double post

[XXVilla]

Make what obvious? that is his style -safety first. i think many people would view Mourinho's defensive tactics as sensible against equivalent teams ability-wise away as valid. The fact that they're off the pace by 8 points and relied on a world class performance from their 'keeper to win on saturday doesn't really say they are going to catch Man City.

Isn’t that the point of having a world class goalkeeper?

[Hookeysmith]

Fridays draw now means to achieve 2pts average we need to win the next 5

to make it 25 played with 50 points

You can see the impact of a slow / poor start means you will always be playing catch up with no room for a dip

[chrisw1]

yeah and Bruce. He came for the draw

You keep saying this, you even called the line up 'cowardly' (what a fucking ridiculous expression) and I just disagree with you.  The line up was pretty much exactly the line up that has been getting us results over the last two months.

It is true Leeds started much better and pushed us back.  They were up for it, their crowd was up for it and the ref wasn't controlling their over aggression.  They played pretty well and pushed us back.  It was nothing to do with Bruce going for a point.  As it happened we restricted them to a handful of chances and came out on top, even with only one fit young striker and several key players missing or coming back from injury. 

I think your desperate desire to believe Bruce can only be negative and went to shut up shop and go for a point is clouding your judgement on this game.

[Marlon From Bearwood]

Fridays draw now means to achieve 2pts average we need to win the next 5

to make it 25 played with 50 points

Not really. We're aiming to average 2 points per game over 46 games, not 25. Nobody gets promoted in January. The main objective is to stay in touch with the top two whilst gradually chipping away at the points deficit.

[Villa75]

Fridays draw now means to achieve 2pts average we need to win the next 5

to make it 25 played with 50 points

Not really. We're aiming to average 2 points per game over 46 games, not 25. Nobody gets promoted in January. The main objective is to stay in touch with the top two whilst gradually chipping away at the points deficit.

Are we gradually chipping away at the top 2 though?

[Risso]

Fridays draw now means to achieve 2pts average we need to win the next 5

to make it 25 played with 50 points

Not really. We're aiming to average 2 points per game over 46 games, not 25. Nobody gets promoted in January. The main objective is to stay in touch with the top two whilst gradually chipping away at the points deficit.

Are we gradually chipping away at the top 2 though?

If by 'chipping away' means falling further behind Wolves, then I suppose so!

[Ad@m]

Fridays draw now means to achieve 2pts average we need to win the next 5

to make it 25 played with 50 points

Not really. We're aiming to average 2 points per game over 46 games, not 25. Nobody gets promoted in January. The main objective is to stay in touch with the top two whilst gradually chipping away at the points deficit.

Are we gradually chipping away at the top 2 though?

If by 'chipping away' means falling further behind Wolves, then I suppose so!

And Cardiff - they've won four in a row.

[exigo]

The more we drop points elsewhere, the more pressure it puts on the two games against Sheff Utd, and the home games against Wolves, Cardiff and Bristol City.
It's still a case of collecting eight more points than Cardiff, and two more points than Sheff Utd and Bristol City, over the course of 26 games. It's just how achievable we make it in these five crunch games.

[Ads]

The aim has to be 10 from the next four again to keep our momentum going. That would be 20 points from 24 available and put everybody under some pressure.

No reason we cannot win the lot mind. You'd expect us to beat Millwall and Sheffield United, while Derby flatter to decieve. Brentford will be trickiest I feel.

[eamonn]

Rotten Boxing Day at Brentford looks plausible. Would be good to have Terry back by then.

[IFWaters]

Bristol City last minute winner against Sheffield Utd didn't really help us. We could do with everyone else drawing ATM.

[Ad@m]

Bristol City last minute winner against Sheffield Utd didn't really help us. We could do with everyone else drawing ATM.

Exactly. But this is the reality. Cardiff have won 4 on the bounce, Bristol 3. So the odd draw for us here and there means we lose ground on those above.

Our shit start left us with no wriggle room but even if we'd had a good start, to get promoted automatically you have to win the vast majority of your games.

[Matt Collins]

I really think Bristol will fall away at some point. Just like Sheffield United have of late

Less sure about Cardiff

[Ads]

I think so too. Their centre half is their top scorer...