The Much Awaited Return of Promotion Maths

[Comrade Blitz]

A bit like the NFL's "Strength of Schedule", the following shows each teams SoS both Home and Away.
The lower the number - the tougher the schedule. As can be seen, we appear to have the 2nd hardest Home Schedule - which is no surprise as we have only played 1 of the Top 8 at Home.

And despite the fact they have now played at Sheff Utd - Blues still have the 'toughest' Away Schedule 

This methodology is not as effective as in the PL - as we all know - there is more chance of 'upsets' in the Championship than in the PL.

This is excellent - nice work!

[SirSteveUK]

Thanks - the flip side of having the 2nd 'toughest' Home Schedule is that I'm sure we would much rather play the top teams at home than away.

[AV82EC]

A bit like the NFL's "Strength of Schedule", the following shows each teams SoS both Home and Away.
The lower the number - the tougher the schedule. As can be seen, we appear to have the 2nd hardest Home Schedule - which is no surprise as we have only played 1 of the Top 8 at Home.

And despite the fact they have now played at Sheff Utd - Blues still have the 'toughest' Away Schedule 

This methodology is not as effective as in the PL - as we all know - there is more chance of 'upsets' in the Championship than in the PL.

Oh Jesus Strength of Schedule stats, it’ll be full of College football SEC and Big10 fans before you know it.

[Hookeysmith]

2 points as average for the season is the requirement = 92 points

Currently

Wolves   played 19/44 points @ 2.3 pts per game
Cardiff    Played 19/40 points @ 2.1 pts per game
Us          Played 19/38 points @ 1.8 pts per game

We need 3 more wins on the bounce to get to 22 played and 44 points

Any draw or loss pushes that calculation further back

easy eh 

[Villa75]

With 6 games to play, and some 'tough' ones at that, December will go a long way in showing if we're real contenders for the top 2.

Four wins, and a couple of draws, should put the pressure on the three above us.

[SoccerHQ]

2 points as average for the season is the requirement = 92 points

Currently

Wolves   played 19/44 points @ 2.3 pts per game
Cardiff    Played 19/40 points @ 2.1 pts per game
Us          Played 19/38 points @ 1.8 pts per game

We need 3 more wins on the bounce to get to 22 played and 44 points

Any draw or loss pushes that calculation further back

easy eh 

We won't need 90 points to go up imo, think 85 points will be enough.

[IFWaters]

85 points MAY be enough but to guarantee promotion we need 2 points a game. No team achieving it has ever not got one of the automatic places.

[Richard]

so 17 wins 6 draws 4 defeats  - sounds achievable

[SoccerHQ]

I refuse to believe Cardiff are getting 90 + points this season.

That's what I'm basing it on.

[MoetVillan]

A bit like the NFL's "Strength of Schedule", the following shows each teams SoS both Home and Away.
The lower the number - the tougher the schedule. As can be seen, we appear to have the 2nd hardest Home Schedule - which is no surprise as we have only played 1 of the Top 8 at Home.

And despite the fact they have now played at Sheff Utd - Blues still have the 'toughest' Away Schedule 

This methodology is not as effective as in the PL - as we all know - there is more chance of 'upsets' in the Championship than in the PL.

What in the name of f..... This is like my first lesson of pure maths A Levels discussing integration and differentiation and I think was the last time i openly cried

[eamonn]

Crackin' post Moet.

[SirSteveUK]

😟

[ChicagoLion]

I like it Sir Steve,

[ChicagoLion]

Usually today would be a decent result, the problem is we will lose ground on those above us.

[OzVilla]

A point each was a fair result and a decent point considering our first half nonperformance.

We'd have certainly lost that game last season.