Promotion Maths

[Risso]

We've gained 6 points on Fulham in the last 7 games, in the remaining 7 we need to gain 10 points and overturn the 18 GD advantage they have, or gain 11 points. Fulham have lost 4 games in 4 months. Not gonna happen imo.

It's not just them either.  Realistically there's only that final slot in the play offs going (for us, at any rate) and I just don't believe that we're going to make up enough points on all 5 teams above us.  As tough as Fulham's run in looks, they've only lost 1 in 8, and they only need 11 points from 21 to guarantee finishing above us, even if we do win all 7.  Not going to happen I'm afraid.

I'll just be content with finishing the season strongly, and using it as a springboard for a flying start next season, when there can be no excuses whatsoever.

[supertom]

It's unlikely to say the least. I think we can only drop 2 points maximum and even then we may not have enough. I'd love for us to do it, but that being said I would be concerned about us being a year too soon for the Premiership. We can't just flog off 11 and buy in 11 again. There has to be cohesion so we would have to make 3-4 very good purchases to improve us and give us the quality to stay up.

Another year of building a proper team, developing our style and really getting us on a sustained amount of forward momentum in the Champ, wouldn't be the worst thing.

[Ads]

Wednesday have blow the play offs it seems. Not surprised as they're hugely unimpressive. I've fancied Fulham for the top six for a while.

Be nice if we can put a squeeze on though and run it close. Give everybody a dose of fear for next season about the Dreadnought that is Aston Villa in full motion.

[eamonn]

Even if we did, we'd probably knacker ourselves out and lose to a jammy goal in the second leg of the semi-finals.

[Ad@m]

We've gained 6 points on Fulham in the last 7 games, in the remaining 7 we need to gain 10 points and overturn the 18 GD advantage they have, or gain 11 points. Fulham have lost 4 games in 4 months. Not gonna happen imo.

The irony is that Fulham were one of the crappest teams to come to VP this season.  So depressing that they're so far ahead of us.

[wittonwarrior]

We're no near ready for a return to the premiership.  A miracle  won't happen  but if we did just for the sake of it make the play offs, would  we have any gas spare for another 3 games?

[cheltenhamlion]

Don't torture yourselves with promotion talk. We will end up a few points short. But this run is a great way to get ourselves ready for next season's title push.

[SoccerHQ]

We've gained 6 points on Fulham in the last 7 games, in the remaining 7 we need to gain 10 points and overturn the 18 GD advantage they have, or gain 11 points. Fulham have lost 4 games in 4 months. Not gonna happen imo.

The irony is that Fulham were one of the crappest teams to come to VP this season.  So depressing that they're so far ahead of us.

Jokanovic must have got his tactics wrong that day. They're generally full of goals and I think their central trio of McDonald, Johansen and Tom Cairney is the best in the league.

[Ad@m]

They can't be that full of goals - I don't think they had a single shot on target against us and I can't remember them actually spending much time in our half!  Garbage.

[Steve kirk]

It's unlikely to say the least. I think we can only drop 2 points maximum and even then we may not have enough. I'd love for us to do it, but that being said I would be concerned about us being a year too soon for the Premiership. We can't just flog off 11 and buy in 11 again. There has to be cohesion so we would have to make 3-4 very good purchases to improve us and give us the quality to stay up.

Another year of building a proper team, developing our style and really getting us on a sustained amount of forward momentum in the Champ, wouldn't be the worst thing.

This

[dave.woodhall]

We're no near ready for a return to the premiership.  A miracle  won't happen  but if we did just for the sake of it make the play offs, would  we have any gas spare for another 3 games?

Probably, because we'd be the form team. But as others have said, we'd be better off with another twelve months of winning and building a Premier League team gradually.

[four fornicholl]

One game at a time for me, Derby Fulham draw, give Sheff Wed the win, We win, not worried about Preston, 9 points to make up. Believe.

[eamonn]

They can't be that full of goals - I don't think they had a single shot on target against us and I can't remember them actually spending much time in our half!  Garbage.

Judging a team solely by how they played against us is reductive They hammered Newcastle at their place recently, it doesn't make Fulham the best side in the league either. But they're sixth for a reason.
Brentford must be seething they're not miles ahead of us after ripping us to shreds when we played there. They'd be silly to, though.

[mr underhill]

Barnsley ripped us apart in February and put in the best performance I've seen this season by any team at Villa Park. By comparison, Fulham - much as I have a soft spot for them - looked awful as did Wednesday and Newcastle.

[Ads]

I thought we were easily the better side for the first half against Barnsley. They hadn't had a kick when they got awarded the softest of penalties. Then they fired in a second soon after with the second time they'd ventured into our box.