Promotion Maths

[TonyD]

Win the next three and then start dreaming.   

[Tokyo Sexwhale]

Not going to happen.

I used this calculator, and even giving us every game, and giving the teams ahead of us a couple of bad results, we'd still only just scrape into the playoffs.

http://www.worldfootball.net/table_calculator/eng-championship/

And I don't think we're playing well enough, or have a fit enough squad to possibly win all remaining games anyway.

[Matt Collins]

Would take a miracle

But next season - if Newcastle, Brighton and Leeds go up; Sunderland, hull and boro down. We really should have a great chance of automatic promotion

We'll need a permanent keeper, a new centre back and an alternative defensive midfielder to Jedinak for me

And some serious work on the training ground to start passing the ball properly 

[four fornicholl]

Not keen on the Leeds love-in, fk em.

[rob_bridge]

Would take a miracle

But next season - if Newcastle, Brighton and Leeds go up; Sunderland, hull and boro down. We really should have a great chance of automatic promotion

We'll need a permanent keeper, a new centre back and an alternative defensive midfielder to Jedinak for me

And some serious work on the training ground to start passing the ball properly

Yep this for me. Reading likely lose players and maybe Stam. Huddersfield similar.

So that leaves us Wednesday and Derby, maybe Cardiff with Warbollock in charge. One or two other underachievers (Forest, QPR, Wolves) if they get their act together - not looking all that likely.

[TonyD]

Would take a miracle

But next season - if Newcastle, Brighton and Leeds go up; Sunderland, hull and boro down. We really should have a great chance of automatic promotion

We'll need a permanent keeper, a new centre back and an alternative defensive midfielder to Jedinak for me

And some serious work on the training ground to start passing the ball properly 

Passing the ball is important. 

[IFWaters]

I just tried to stick £40 on at 250/1 for promotion.

Cant.

Market suspended.

Are you sure that price was ever there? Sounds way too high.

Bet365 accepted a £12 max bet this morning on us getting promoted at 250/1.

[SoccerHQ]

Even just siz more points and I'd fancy us massively to make the top 6.

We won't make it this year but surely we'll be up there this time next year...we've pretty much given the top 6 a 20 point head start this year and I assume we won't be so generous next time.

[Clampy]

You can get 100/1 on Skybet for us to finish in the top 6. It's doubtful but maybe worth a saft quid.

[Nastylee]

Those last minute goals under RDM and the awful January are the reason we will be plying our trade in the Championship again next year. Just imagine had we had a modest 6 points more; we'd really fancy our chances.

[Matt Collins]

Those last minute goals under RDM and the awful January are the reason we will be plying our trade in the Championship again next year. Just imagine had we had a modest 6 points more; we'd really fancy our chances.

We're so far off premier league quality though

I'd rather we try and build a genuinely good team, with established shape, which passes the ball properly

[chrisw1]

Not keen on the Leeds love-in, fk em.

Nor me.  I've no major issue with them as a club, but Gary Monk is the most gracious-less ****** you will ever hear in an after match interview.  I really can't stand him.

[DeKuip]

The maths are so simple I can't see why we're on page 39 here...
Our points total needs to be greater than that of 22 other Championship teams, NEXT season. I won't cloud the solution yet by trying to explain goal difference but am happy to come on here do so if necessary in 12 months time.
Sorted. A Promotion Geography thread would have been much more fun.

[UK Redsox]

The maths are so simple I can't see why we're on page 39 here...
Our points total needs to be greater than that of 22 other Championship teams, NEXT season. I won't cloud the solution yet by trying to explain goal difference but am happy to come on here do so if necessary in 12 months time.
Sorted. A Promotion Geography thread would have been much more fun.

The route to promotion may go through Fleetwood or Scunthorpe. With an outside chance of passing through Horfield

[ChicagoLion]

OK
Some still think it's possible, please lay out your Theory here.