Promotion Maths

[Ad@m]

Need to win at least 10 of 19 games now to have a realistic chance?

I think it might need to be more like 12.  Very difficult but I honestly think that if we make the playoffs, we will............

(Don't want to hex it! Silly me, I still have faith!)

Quite.  Let's just say that we win 10 out of 19 and lose the other 9 (not crazy - it's essentially how Newcastle's season has panned out so far).  We'd then be relying on Wednesday getting less than 21 points from the 57 available - that's relegation form.  Oh, and the six other teams between us and Wednesday dropping off as well.

I know that hope's a wonderful thing but it feels like it's better to accept the inevitable now!

Still loving this league compared to the prem?

I don't remember saying I did love this league.

I do enjoy going to the match more than I have in the past three seasons though, knowing there's a chance we might win, rather than wondering how many we'll lose by.

[Bad English]

They need to be adept to adapt to adopt footy.

And we need someone to abduct Agbonlahor, Hutton, Richards et al.

[Old Kodjia]

Need to win at least 10 of 19 games now to have a realistic chance?

I think it might need to be more like 12.  Very difficult but I honestly think that if we make the playoffs, we will............

(Don't want to hex it! Silly me, I still have faith!)

Quite.  Let's just say that we win 10 out of 19 and lose the other 9 (not crazy - it's essentially how Newcastle's season has panned out so far).  We'd then be relying on Wednesday getting less than 21 points from the 57 available - that's relegation form.  Oh, and the six other teams between us and Wednesday dropping off as well.

I know that hope's a wonderful thing but it feels like it's better to accept the inevitable now!

Still loving this league compared to the prem?

I don't remember saying I did love this league.

I do enjoy going to the match more than I have in the past three seasons though, knowing there's a chance we might win, rather than wondering how many we'll lose by.

I love this league-There are some great teams and managers in this division and I love the fact that anyone can beat anyone on the day.  Just because we don't have a divine right to waltz it, doesn't mean we should not "love" the league.  I look at the Prem and from 7th upwards, its almost a mini league.  8th downwards and the football played is no better than the championship.  I watched (I think it was) Palace v Watford before one of our games recently & it was like tippy tappy sideways Lambert style x 10 from both teams-Absolutely appalling.

I like the way the games come thick & fast and I like having more home games to look forward to.

That all said, I want to get out of the division asap.  Hopefully next season will see us do that.

I'm enjoying watching the rebuild and the challenge we have. 

[ozzjim]

I am enjoying too I have to say, and would not mind another season in it next year.  I like how less well funded sides are bringing players through and giving them a chance too. Much more enjoyable than the premier league and the hype. 

[BOB MANSFIELD]

Evening.
Been through this before a couple of times and I must say the only real excitement is when you watch us winning as a team that is after something achievable..........Sadly not this season, methinks.
Maybe next season with SB at the helm with 2 windows and a pre-season under his belt, eh?

[footyskillz]

These 3 midfielder signings are players who can provide a promotion surge. I would have rather had 7 points behind rather than 9 but here's hoping a run of epic propotions starts .

Reading Derby Sheff Wed still have  to come to villa park.  Is that 9 points we need..

[PeterWithesShin]

Not even Tone can come up with an equation that makes me think we have any chance of going up.

[Ads]

We're mathematically no further away than we were few weeks ago. But given how diabolical our away form is, there's no real possibility.

[saunders_heroes]

We've blown it for this season, sadly.

[PeterWithesShin]

However there's less games and more teams to catch and overtake. So even though I expect  hope we'll improve once the new players settle I think we've left far too much to do. We're on our second bad run of the season, i'd imagine most teams that make the top 6 have one bad run. We've left ourselves no wiggle room.

[Ads]

Yep, first 10 games were a total waste.

[KRS]

The next 3 or 4 game should be seen as bedding in time for the new players. If we get results then fair enough, but its all about getting this team to gel and find a style of play for the next few months so we're ready for next season.

[DeKuip]

Should we rename this thread "Avoiding Relegation Maths"

[KRS]

Too late:

http://www.heroesandvillains.info/forumv3/index.php?topic=57046.0

[Smirker]

Average points for the automatic places in the last 12 years is 87.

Thats :

24 wins
15 draws
only 7 losses

No room for fannying around at the start of the season unless we want to do it the hard way by the playoffs.

We can have a few more draws and still do this, one defeat less though.

Still on