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Author Topic: Promotion Maths  (Read 96339 times)

Offline peter w

  • Member
  • Posts: 35469
  • Location: Istanbul
Re: Promotion Maths
« Reply #90 on: November 29, 2016, 10:13:13 AM »
Regarding the gap between us and Brighton there is a poll on one of their sites asking who is their biggest threat for 2nd place. The highest amount of votes went for us. Someone also pointed out that the difference between us and them now, is smaller than between them and Middlesbrough at the same time last season. Don't get me wrong, I think we'll do well to make the play-offs still as we will be beaten soon enough but we need to put together a good run of wins to get into contention.

Offline Lastfootstamper

  • Member
  • *
  • Posts: 11634
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  • Location: Greater Birmingham
  • GM : PCM
Re: Promotion Maths
« Reply #91 on: November 29, 2016, 10:27:22 AM »
Regarding the gap between us and Brighton there is a poll on one of their sites asking who is their biggest threat for 2nd place. The highest amount of votes went for us. Someone also pointed out that the difference between us and them now, is smaller than between them and Middlesbrough at the same time last season. Don't get me wrong, I think we'll do well to make the play-offs still as we will be beaten soon enough but we need to put together a good run of wins to get into contention.

No we won't. In a complete reversal of last season's feeling, I'm now of the opinion that we'll never lose again.

Ergo our year for The Cup, too.

Offline Ads

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  • GM : 17.04.2024
Re: Promotion Maths
« Reply #92 on: November 29, 2016, 10:43:09 AM »
Brighton are also massive bottlers, which is worth bearing mind.

Offline Old Kodjia

  • Member
  • Posts: 344
Re: Promotion Maths
« Reply #93 on: November 29, 2016, 10:45:57 AM »
Regarding the gap between us and Brighton there is a poll on one of their sites asking who is their biggest threat for 2nd place. The highest amount of votes went for us. Someone also pointed out that the difference between us and them now, is smaller than between them and Middlesbrough at the same time last season. Don't get me wrong, I think we'll do well to make the play-offs still as we will be beaten soon enough but we need to put together a good run of wins to get into contention.

Just had a look at the poll.  It says that Boro were 11 points behind them after 26 games, with a game in hand.  If we could bridge the gap between now and Cardiff away, we'd have half a season plus a home game against them to catch them.  Not impossible but they will be hardened after last season.  Lets get Christmas out of the way and see where things stand.  Currently, I'm not overly optimistic that we'll catch them but things do have a habit of changing very quickly in football.  For now, I'm just grateful to be in with a shout of the play offs, something that I never thought possible after the defeat at Preston.

Offline PeterWithesShin

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  • Posts: 76270
  • GM : 17.03.2015
Re: Promotion Maths
« Reply #94 on: November 29, 2016, 10:52:53 AM »
Brighton are also massive bottlers, which is worth bearing mind.

Not sure that winning 7 and drawing 3 of their last 10 games last season is bottling it. And the three draws were against the sides that finished 1st, 2nd, and 5th.

Offline chrisw1

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  • *
  • Posts: 10096
  • GM : 21.08.2026
Re: Promotion Maths
« Reply #95 on: November 29, 2016, 11:18:53 AM »
I think most people would now be surprised if we don't make the play offs.  Top 2 would be miraculous and prob too much to hope for.  Right now I think we'll finish 3rd or 4th.

Offline Ads

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  • Posts: 43130
  • Location: The Breeze
  • GM : 17.04.2024
Re: Promotion Maths
« Reply #96 on: November 29, 2016, 12:41:27 PM »
Brighton are also massive bottlers, which is worth bearing mind.

Not sure that winning 7 and drawing 3 of their last 10 games last season is bottling it. And the three draws were against the sides that finished 1st, 2nd, and 5th.

Bottled the play offs again. Wednesday hadn't beaten a top six side all season.

Offline PeterWithesShin

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  • Posts: 76270
  • GM : 17.03.2015
Re: Promotion Maths
« Reply #97 on: November 29, 2016, 01:33:41 PM »
Hardly massive bottlers losing in what is considered a lottery.

Offline old man villa fan

  • Member
  • Posts: 3458
  • Location: Birmingham
Re: Promotion Maths
« Reply #98 on: November 29, 2016, 02:13:15 PM »
This season has got the 74-75 season feeling about it.

Online lovejoy

  • Member
  • Posts: 9599
  • Location: Haywards Heath
Re: Promotion Maths
« Reply #99 on: November 29, 2016, 02:36:53 PM »
Brighton are also massive bottlers, which is worth bearing mind.

Not sure that winning 7 and drawing 3 of their last 10 games last season is bottling it. And the three draws were against the sides that finished 1st, 2nd, and 5th.

Bottled the play offs again. Wednesday hadn't beaten a top six side all season.

They absolutely battered Sheff Weds last season at home but got caught by the sucker punch. They aren't bottlers.

Offline eamonn

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  • GM : 26.07.2020
Re: Promotion Maths
« Reply #100 on: November 29, 2016, 02:52:50 PM »
Ads never says anything good about other teams and I like that !

Offline nick harper

  • Member
  • Posts: 2050
  • GM : Feb, 2012
Re: Promotion Maths
« Reply #101 on: November 29, 2016, 02:53:32 PM »
This season has got the 74-75 season feeling about it.

Something like this from Jan would be great - happy memories.

Sat Jan 11   Division 2 Bristol City Home  Won 2-0   
Wed Jan  15    LC Semi - 1 Leg Chester Away  Drew  2-2   
Sat Jan 18   Division 2 Oxford United Away  Won 2-1   
Wed Jan  22    LC Semi - 2 Leg Chester Home  Won  3-2
  (5-4 aggregate)
 
Sat Jan  25    FAC 4 Sheffield United Home  Won  4-1   
Sat Feb 1   Division 2 Notts County Away  Won 3-1   
Sat Feb 8   Division 2 Fulham Home  Drew 1-1   
Sat Feb  15    FAC 5 Ipswich Town Away  Lost  2-3   
Tue Feb 18   Division 2 Portsmouth Away  Won 3-2   
Sat Feb 22   Division 2 Manchester United Home  Won 2-0   
Sat Mar  1    LC Final Norwich City Wembley  Won 1-0   
Wed Mar 5   Division 2 Bolton Wanderers Home  Drew 0-0   
Sat Mar 8   Division 2 Nottingham Forest Away  Won 3-2   
Sat Mar 15   Division 2 Southampton Home  Won 3-0   
Sat Mar 22   Division 2 Orient Away  Lost 0-1   
Sat Mar 29   Division 2 West Bromwich Albion Home  Won 3-1   
Tue Apr 1   Division 2 Millwall Away  Won 3-1   
Wed Apr 9   Division 2 Cardiff City Home  Won 2-0   
Sat Apr 12   Division 2 Oldham Athletic Home  Won 5-0 
Sat Apr 19   Division 2 Blackpool Away  Won 3-0 
Wed Apr 23   Division 2 Sheffield Wednesday Away  Won 4-0 
Sat Apr 26   Division 2 Sunderland Home  Won 2-0 
Wed Apr 30   Division 2 Norwich City Away  Won 4-0

Offline four fornicholl

  • Member
  • Posts: 4995
Re: Promotion Maths
« Reply #102 on: November 29, 2016, 03:11:11 PM »
Brighton are also massive bottlers, which is worth bearing mind.
As are Newcastle.

Offline Jockey Randall

  • Member
  • Posts: 1044
  • Location: Shattered Dreams Parkway
Re: Promotion Maths
« Reply #103 on: November 29, 2016, 03:13:02 PM »
Regarding the gap between us and Brighton there is a poll on one of their sites asking who is their biggest threat for 2nd place. The highest amount of votes went for us. Someone also pointed out that the difference between us and them now, is smaller than between them and Middlesbrough at the same time last season. Don't get me wrong, I think we'll do well to make the play-offs still as we will be beaten soon enough but we need to put together a good run of wins to get into contention.

Just had a look at the poll.  It says that Boro were 11 points behind them after 26 games, with a game in hand.  If we could bridge the gap between now and Cardiff away, we'd have half a season plus a home game against them to catch them.  Not impossible but they will be hardened after last season.  Lets get Christmas out of the way and see where things stand.  Currently, I'm not overly optimistic that we'll catch them but things do have a habit of changing very quickly in football.  For now, I'm just grateful to be in with a shout of the play offs, something that I never thought possible after the defeat at Preston.

It was actually Brighton doing the chasing last season as Boro were 5 points clear and 11 points ahead of Brighton around mid January.  At this stage last season they were 2 points ahead of Boro and 4 ahead of Burnley so not a lot between the eventual top 3.

Offline Ads

  • Member
  • Posts: 43130
  • Location: The Breeze
  • GM : 17.04.2024
Re: Promotion Maths
« Reply #104 on: November 29, 2016, 03:24:56 PM »
Hardly massive bottlers losing in what is considered a lottery.

They've bottled in a number of times. Their own message boards are concerned about their bottling. Bockle, bockle, bockle.

 


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