The Plot to Escape Relegation Thread 2015.

[supertom]

To be honest I think we'll be well clear by the end given our form. Just cut out the silly errors and we can beat anyone in the remaining games. I can see us finishing on 39-42 points.
Everton aren't great. West Ham have been poor. Southampton have run out of steam somewhat and we should beat Burnley.

[Toronto Villa]

Some team is taking a beating pretty soon and it will see us over the line. I'm confident we'll be safe by Burnley.

[LTA]

We really need villa park rocking next Saturday. We just can't afford another flat performance and atmosphere similar to the Swansea home game.

We have improved under Sherwood no doubt, but I still cant help feeling this is the year we drop.

[Mister E]

I did a quick reckoning of the final games for 6 relegation contenders and came out with Blunderland as the third relegation club. Reasoning: their home form is gash and their confidence is shot; Dicky has not brought the dead cat bounce that might have been expected.
Having said that, it's not inconceivable that the Barcodes will drop.
We will get 5-6 more points - than we can look forward with some confidence.

[silhillvilla]

We really need villa park rocking next Saturday. We just can't afford another flat performance and atmosphere similar to the Swansea home game.

We have improved under Sherwood no doubt, but I still cant help feeling this is the year we drop.

Lose to Everton and it's time to really panic.
Hopefully it won't come to that. We do seem far less comfortable at villa park though.

[ozzjim]

I think a draw with Everton is a good result. They have picked up no end and Martinez usually wins at Villa park.

[silhillvilla]

Draw would be ok as long as we beat West Ham, or vice versa. I can see us winning at St Mary's and drawing vs Burnley as players have an eye on the final. 40 points I hope.

[ozzjim]

Agree on Burnley. With the cup final a week later it worries me we could need results from it.

[Mister E]

Agree on Burnley. With the cup final a week later it worries me we could need results from it.

Get it done next weekend and we can look to points against Wetspam and Sourhampton ... Perhaps!

[kippaxvilla2]

I actually feel sorry for sherwood.  He's got ten points since he arrived but the performances seem much better.  It just shows how horribly shite and awful and any other adjective you can throw in we were under that Paul bloke before.  Shocking that we waited so long to flip the coin.

[OzVilla]

Sherwood's been a little unlucky too as we should have got at least something out of the Stoke, Newcastle, Swansea and Citeh games.  Maybe not wins but on the balance of play in the games we certainly didn't deserve to lose all 4.  It stupid individual late errors that's done for us.

Coming home to roost though now. Just a couple more points would make all the difference.

[Matt Collins]

If we get four points from our next two home games I'm sure we'll be fine

What's our home form though? One of the worst in the league of late:

18   Aston Villa   L L L W L D   

Admittedly that's unrepresentative. Two last minute defeats and a very good performance v QPR. But I'm still very nervous about our defending. We're conceding so many awful goals and I'm not sure there's enough focus on this in training.

Have a feeling Everton will beat us but we'll then beat West Ham.

[john2710]

We need to get Hutton & Cissohko back into the team. We simply must defend better, otherwise all the other good work is undone.

We need 4 points to be safe, I think, but even that might not be enough. Everton won't bend over & they are a big physical side.

Sunderland look like the one to go with QPR & Burnley, but we said that last season & they got a few lucky results.

[Matt Collins]

What's the latest on Hutton? The updates seem to have stopped

I agree about him and cissokho. It made a big difference having four proper defenders at the start of the season

If we let in silly goals in the next couple of home games you can see both being very difficult to get back into. Everton keep the ball and West Ham are very organised. Neither concede many

I'd sacrifice overlapping full backs for more solidity in those games but I'm not sure sherwood sees it that way

[RossLeach]

After United, Spurs, City away we all thought we'd be in the bottom 3 and have to launch a comeback from there.

We're not.

Although those around us do seem to have a game on us, we've got three winnable home games though.