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Author Topic: Relegation?  (Read 257443 times)

Offline pauliewalnuts

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Re: Relegation?
« Reply #1545 on: April 28, 2014, 05:52:26 PM »
I thought he'd already drafted in Gripper Stebson as assistant?

No, Gripper's running the Youth Academy with Tucker Jenkins

Unfortunately, the club have confirmed that the coaching team, Gripper Stebson and Tucker Jenkins have been suspended with immediate effect.

It is believed Gripper called Mrs Miggins in the BMH tuck shop "a fucking clown shoe", whilst Jenkins is believed to have referred to a member of the ground staff as "a clueless fucking hobo".

Online Drummond

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Re: Relegation?
« Reply #1546 on: April 28, 2014, 05:52:29 PM »
The chance of Cardiff or Fulham getting two wins or Norwich getting a win and a draw from the last two games is pretty slim.

Ads out.

Offline Percy McCarthy

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Re: Relegation?
« Reply #1547 on: April 28, 2014, 06:23:47 PM »
I thought he'd already drafted in Gripper Stebson as assistant?

No, Gripper's running the Youth Academy with Tucker Jenkins

Unfortunately, the club have confirmed that the coaching team, Gripper Stebson and Tucker Jenkins have been suspended with immediate effect.

It is believed Gripper called Mrs Miggins in the BMH tuck shop "a fucking clown shoe", whilst Jenkins is believed to have referred to a member of the ground staff as "a clueless fucking hobo".

I've known for about 30-odd years that Stebson was a bully, why didn't the manager know?

Ads out!

Offline brian green

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Re: Relegation?
« Reply #1548 on: April 28, 2014, 07:16:15 PM »
I could forgive Jenkins pretty much everything but not being Welsh.

Ads out.

Offline Legion

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Re: Relegation?
« Reply #1549 on: April 28, 2014, 07:16:45 PM »
Ads has my full support.

Offline ExclDawg

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Re: Relegation?
« Reply #1550 on: April 28, 2014, 07:23:39 PM »
Great ... now I can't even watch football without Ads popping up.

Offline adrenachrome

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Re: Relegation?
« Reply #1551 on: April 28, 2014, 07:35:45 PM »
Birmingham Mail

Quote
Look - What it would take for Aston Villa to get relegated this season

Mat Kendrick crunches the numbers ahead of the claret and blues final three games

Apr 28, 2014 08:32
By Mat Kendrick


Villa have 35 points, with a -17 goal difference, the best in the bottom five.

Three points or more

Villa would mathematically guarantee safety with three points or more in the final three matches, taking their tally to 38 or higher. Doing so with a home win against Hull this weekend would be best. But, failing that, a win at Manchester City or Tottenham would keep them up, as would three draws.

Two points

If they get two draws and two points, taking their tally to 37, they are 99.9 per cent safe, barring a dramatic results/goal difference swing against them.

One point

If Villa get one draw and one point, taking their tally to 36, then two of the following scenarios must happen for Villa to be relegated.

1 Cardiff beat Newcastle (a) and Chelsea (h), with a 21-goal swing.

2 Fulham beat Stoke (a) and Crystal Palace (h).

3 Norwich beat Chelsea (a) and Arsenal (h) or get four points from a win and a draw, with a 15-goal swing.

4 Sunderland take four or more points from Manchester United (a), West Brom (h) and Swansea (h).

Even if two of those were to occur, Villa could still stay up if West Brom fail to take a point from Arsenal (a), Sunderland (a) and Stoke (h) and there is a five-goal swing in Villa’s favour.

No points

If Villa get no points, leaving their tally at 35, then two of the following scenarios must happen for them to be relegated.

1 Cardiff beat Newcastle (a) and Chelsea (h).

2 Fulham beat Stoke (a) and Crystal Palace (h) or get four points with a win and a draw, with a 25-goal swing.

3 Norwich beat Chelsea (a) or Arsenal (h) with a 15-goal swing, or win both, or win one and draw one.

4 Sunderland win one game with a three-goal swing, or win one and get a least a draw in the other two games.

Offline adrenachrome

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Re: Relegation?
« Reply #1552 on: April 28, 2014, 07:36:27 PM »
Great ... now I can't even watch football without Ads popping up.

It's a cracker!

Offline Legion

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Re: Relegation?
« Reply #1553 on: April 28, 2014, 07:38:21 PM »
Birmingham Mail

Quote
Look - What it would take for Aston Villa to get relegated this season

Mat Kendrick crunches the numbers ahead of the claret and blues final three games

Apr 28, 2014 08:32
By Mat Kendrick


Villa have 35 points, with a -17 goal difference, the best in the bottom five.

Three points or more

Villa would mathematically guarantee safety with three points or more in the final three matches, taking their tally to 38 or higher. Doing so with a home win against Hull this weekend would be best. But, failing that, a win at Manchester City or Tottenham would keep them up, as would three draws.

Two points

If they get two draws and two points, taking their tally to 37, they are 99.9 per cent safe, barring a dramatic results/goal difference swing against them.

One point

If Villa get one draw and one point, taking their tally to 36, then two of the following scenarios must happen for Villa to be relegated.

1 Cardiff beat Newcastle (a) and Chelsea (h), with a 21-goal swing.

2 Fulham beat Stoke (a) and Crystal Palace (h).

3 Norwich beat Chelsea (a) and Arsenal (h) or get four points from a win and a draw, with a 15-goal swing.

4 Sunderland take four or more points from Manchester United (a), West Brom (h) and Swansea (h).

Even if two of those were to occur, Villa could still stay up if West Brom fail to take a point from Arsenal (a), Sunderland (a) and Stoke (h) and there is a five-goal swing in Villa’s favour.

No points

If Villa get no points, leaving their tally at 35, then two of the following scenarios must happen for them to be relegated.

1 Cardiff beat Newcastle (a) and Chelsea (h).

2 Fulham beat Stoke (a) and Crystal Palace (h) or get four points with a win and a draw, with a 25-goal swing.

3 Norwich beat Chelsea (a) or Arsenal (h) with a 15-goal swing, or win both, or win one and draw one.

4 Sunderland win one game with a three-goal swing, or win one and get a least a draw in the other two games.

I wonder where he got all that from?

Offline Ad@m

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Re: Relegation?
« Reply #1554 on: April 28, 2014, 08:02:15 PM »
I wonder where he got all that from?

It does look vaguely familiar...

Depressingly, in normal seasons there would be no mention of 25 goal swings because of the utter impossibility of it, but given our record under Lambert a 25 goal swing in 3 games is easily achievable!!!
« Last Edit: April 28, 2014, 08:08:32 PM by Ad@m »

Online eamonn

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Re: Relegation?
« Reply #1555 on: April 28, 2014, 08:03:23 PM »
Is Ads the new boss cos everyone else think's we awful but he doesn't really?

Online LeeB

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Re: Relegation?
« Reply #1556 on: April 28, 2014, 08:11:44 PM »
Is Ads the new boss cos everyone else think's we awful but he doesn't really?
Birmingham Mail

Quote
Look - What it would take for Aston Villa to get relegated this season

Mat Kendrick crunches the numbers ahead of the claret and blues final three games

Apr 28, 2014 08:32
By Mat Kendrick


Villa have 35 points, with a -17 goal difference, the best in the bottom five.

Three points or more

Villa would mathematically guarantee safety with three points or more in the final three matches, taking their tally to 38 or higher. Doing so with a home win against Hull this weekend would be best. But, failing that, a win at Manchester City or Tottenham would keep them up, as would three draws.

Two points

If they get two draws and two points, taking their tally to 37, they are 99.9 per cent safe, barring a dramatic results/goal difference swing against them.

One point

If Villa get one draw and one point, taking their tally to 36, then two of the following scenarios must happen for Villa to be relegated.

1 Cardiff beat Newcastle (a) and Chelsea (h), with a 21-goal swing.

2 Fulham beat Stoke (a) and Crystal Palace (h).

3 Norwich beat Chelsea (a) and Arsenal (h) or get four points from a win and a draw, with a 15-goal swing.

4 Sunderland take four or more points from Manchester United (a), West Brom (h) and Swansea (h).

Even if two of those were to occur, Villa could still stay up if West Brom fail to take a point from Arsenal (a), Sunderland (a) and Stoke (h) and there is a five-goal swing in Villa’s favour.

No points

If Villa get no points, leaving their tally at 35, then two of the following scenarios must happen for them to be relegated.

1 Cardiff beat Newcastle (a) and Chelsea (h).

2 Fulham beat Stoke (a) and Crystal Palace (h) or get four points with a win and a draw, with a 25-goal swing.

3 Norwich beat Chelsea (a) or Arsenal (h) with a 15-goal swing, or win both, or win one and draw one.

4 Sunderland win one game with a three-goal swing, or win one and get a least a draw in the other two games.

I wonder where he got all that from?

It does look vaguely familiar...

Depressingly, in normal seasons there would be no mention of 25 goal swings because of the utter impossibility of it, but given our record under Lambert a 25 goal swing in 3 games is easily achievable!!!

I was trying to explain the goal difference thing to my mum yesterday, she's always taken an interest and it's from her dad that the bloodline runs.

It was when I said "yeah, but we'd have to lose really heavily for it to make a difference", that I just saw fear in her eyes, and I remembered how very capable this team are of achieving that.

Offline ChicagoLion

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Re: Relegation?
« Reply #1557 on: April 28, 2014, 09:04:09 PM »
I don't think that any one doubts that Sunderland will get 3 points. Cardiff are done. Norwich getting anything at Chelsea unlikely.

So it comes down to Fulham not beating stoke. Not exactly a slam dunk.


Offline Ad@m

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Re: Relegation?
« Reply #1558 on: April 28, 2014, 09:16:48 PM »
I don't think that any one doubts that Sunderland will get 3 points. Cardiff are done. Norwich getting anything at Chelsea unlikely.

So it comes down to Fulham not beating stoke. Not exactly a slam dunk.



It actually comes down to Fulham not beating Stoke and Palace. Fulham are worse than both those teams and have just chucked two points away whilst Palace were on a great run before yesterday and Stoke very rarely lose at home.

There's a reason we're still 9/1 to be relegated.

Offline Ads

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Re: Relegation?
« Reply #1559 on: April 28, 2014, 09:17:32 PM »
Is Ads the new boss cos everyone else think's we awful but he doesn't really?

It's because I make grown men cry with my positivity. Like Henry V Agincourt levels of positivity, only less French obviously.

 


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