Relegation Possibility

[Andy_Lochhead_in_the_air]

15 Aston Villa                            33   -13   35
16 Wigan Athletic                       34   -25   34
17 Queens Park Rangers             34   -19   31
18 Bolton Wanderers                  32   -29   29
19 Blackburn Rovers                   34   -28   28
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers     34   -39   23


This Saturday
Villa v Sunderland
Blackburn v Norwich
Bolton v Swansea
Fulham v Wigan

If they all win by a single goal and we lose by a single goal (not impossible by any means) then.....

15 Wigan Athletic                       35   -24   37
16 Aston Villa                            34   -14   35
17 Queens Park Rangers             35   -18   34
18 Bolton Wanderers                  33   -28   32
19 Blackburn Rovers                   35   -27   31
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers     34   -39   23

[hawkeye]

Blackburn - need 3 wins from Norwich (h), Spurs (a), Wigan (h), Chelsea (a) 2 wins max
QPR - need 5 points from Spurs (h), Chelsea (a), Stoke (h), Man City (a) 2 wins, Spurs, Stoke
Bolton - need 7 points from Swansea (h), Villa (a), Sunderland (a), Spurs (h), West Brom (h), Stoke (a) 3 wins and a draw I reckon


To me, we need to get to 38, and from there will sit on the line. I have had a fiver at 15/1 on us dropping though.

Agree 3 points will do it

[Moorski]

We are too complacent as a Club,time to wake up;Randy??

[Cuz]

Shit this is terrible, how far backwards have we gone...........FFS!!!!!!

[avfcpg]

Blackburn - need 3 wins from Norwich (h), Spurs (a), Wigan (h), Chelsea (a) 2 wins max
QPR - need 5 points from Spurs (h), Chelsea (a), Stoke (h), Man City (a) 2 wins, Spurs, Stoke
Bolton - need 7 points from Swansea (h), Villa (a), Sunderland (a), Spurs (h), West Brom (h), Stoke (a) 3 wins and a draw I reckon


To me, we need to get to 38, and from there will sit on the line. I have had a fiver at 15/1 on us dropping though.

As you say...3 points Saturday and 38 points and it's done and dusted (pretty much). Trouble is, he'll probably be looking at 3 draws from our remaining games to stay up..
 

[frankmosswasmyuncle]

I am really worried now.
There seems to be a sort of inevitability that McLash will be true to form and take a team down yet again. The irony of him coming from THEM to us makes great material for the journos and all the neutrals who rightly think we have been a shit team this season and actually deserve to go down.

All of our worst, but highly unlikely fears are coming home to roost.
And it's all down to a really shit appointment that no-one in the world could consider/predict/believe possible.
What the fuck were RL/PF thinking of?

[Dave]

I honestly can't see why people are assuming we're going to lose our next five matches. Giving up against ManYoo is fully expected, but if there is one thing that our manager is capable of, it's playing out a couple of tedious draws against mid-table sides.

We'll be desperately dull and short on imagination, but there's no way we will lose to ALL of Bolton, West Brom, Norwich, Spurs and Sunderland.

[ozzjim]

I think we will get a win on Saturday, then lose against Bolton still. I said it last week and still believe it, and likely see Gargoyle sent off for a stupid tackle on Gary.

[Andy_Lochhead_in_the_air]

I honestly can't see why people are assuming we're going to lose our next five matches. Giving up against ManYoo is fully expected, but if there is one thing that our manager is capable of, it's playing out a couple of tedious draws against mid-table sides.

We'll be desperately dull and short on imagination, but there's no way we will lose to ALL of Bolton, West Brom, Norwich, Spurs and Sunderland.

But if we lose to Bolton and maybe get just a couple of draws it may not be enough. Particularly with the end of season results others are achieving. eg. QPR can beat Man City last game of the season.

[pauliewalnuts]

i reckon this weekend we'll see:

Villa - Sunderland - draw = 1 point for us
QPR - Spurs - draw = 1 point for QPR
Fulham - Wigan - home win = 0 points for Wigan
Bolton - Swansea - home win = 3 points for Bolton
Blackburn - Norwich - draw = 1 point for Blackburn

That'll leave:

Villa  34 - 36
Wigan 35 - 34
Bolton  33 - 32
----------------------
QPR     35 - 31
Blackburn 35 - 29
Wolves - doesn't matter, down already

[richard moore]

last time i looked we were 6 points clear, with as good a run in of fixtures as you could wish for, with difficult ties against Man Utd and liverpool out of the way,
its looking good

i'm so confident of staying up i will personaly donate £500 to this site if we go down, and no i have not had a drink.

our big problem is Alex Mcliesh not Relegation

You're a brave man John though I think you will just be safe on your bet. We could have some fun with 500 quid mind you. Perhaps we need to start a thread on suggestions as what to do with it?!

[KevinGage]

We'll be okay.

That's not to say this season is acceptable, not at all.   

But Wigan have pulled out two of the results of the season in the past two weeks -and yet they are still behind us, with one game less to play.

If I was a betting man, I'd fancy the bottom three now to be the bottom three by the end of 38 games. 

As far as we're concerned, I'd fancy us to sneak at least one win from Slumberland, the Bolton, Olbiyun and Norwich games  (I wouldn't be stunned to see us beat Tottingham either as their season looks to have imploded) and sneak at least a point or two in the other games.   

Not great, but should be enough.   This time.

[garyshawsknee]

I think your right Dave,but im still gonna cut your last paragraph just in case  .#Nothing can go wrong now.

[myf]

Think we'll do well to take a point on sat. Mon too much to prove and needs to turn around their bad run. Gardner and laursen will want to stick the knife in as well. id take a point now. its really pathetic isn't it?!

[Eigentor]

The Sunderland match could go either way, but I'm fairly confident that we'll beat Bolton, and our relegation fears will be over. Add to that a couple of draws, and we'll be close to 40 points. Not good, but good enough to survive.