Quote from: Chris Smith on November 23, 2011, 07:08:59 AMI thought at the start of the season that we were in transition. We lost our two best players and the manager was working largely with another man's squad. If you accept that fact that it becomes much easier to deal with ups and downs. I think it's clear that under Lerner from now on, the downs are going to outnumber the ups by some considerable margin. Fans can see this, which is why they're staying away in droves.
I thought at the start of the season that we were in transition. We lost our two best players and the manager was working largely with another man's squad. If you accept that fact that it becomes much easier to deal with ups and downs.
Or to put it another way, during an economic downturn in an area of the country particularly hard hit by unemployment crowds have returned to their natural level after a 2 or 3 year spike.
Quote from: Risso on November 23, 2011, 09:30:57 AMQuote from: Chris Smith on November 23, 2011, 07:08:59 AMI thought at the start of the season that we were in transition. We lost our two best players and the manager was working largely with another man's squad. If you accept that fact that it becomes much easier to deal with ups and downs. I think it's clear that under Lerner from now on, the downs are going to outnumber the ups by some considerable margin. Fans can see this, which is why they're staying away in droves.Or to put it another way, during an economic downturn in an area of the country particularly hard hit by unemployment crowds have returned to their natural level after a 2 or 3 year spike.To say from " now on" is showing powers of prediction that most humans don't possess. For now, is certainly true but the message from his interviews last week is that he's still committed to trying to grow the club.
Quote from: Chris Smith on November 23, 2011, 11:15:25 AMOr to put it another way, during an economic downturn in an area of the country particularly hard hit by unemployment crowds have returned to their natural level after a 2 or 3 year spike.Except that isn't true.Average crowds for the last 15 years:37.19438.57339.81240.02936.21434.11237.35436.62233.92335.01231.59731.69736.93536.13636.027average over that period = 36,082.The entire country is feeling the effects of the recession, not just the midlands, and everywhere crowds are suffering a little, but nowhere have they suffered as much as ours have.It's fair enough for us to argue about why the crowds are down, but to pretend they've done nothing other than sink to a "natural" level strikes me as ignoring statistical fact.
Quote from: pauliewalnuts on November 23, 2011, 11:22:51 AMQuote from: Chris Smith on November 23, 2011, 11:15:25 AMOr to put it another way, during an economic downturn in an area of the country particularly hard hit by unemployment crowds have returned to their natural level after a 2 or 3 year spike.Except that isn't true.Average crowds for the last 15 years:37.19438.57339.81240.02936.21434.11237.35436.62233.92335.01231.59731.69736.93536.13636.027average over that period = 36,082.The entire country is feeling the effects of the recession, not just the midlands, and everywhere crowds are suffering a little, but nowhere have they suffered as much as ours have.It's fair enough for us to argue about why the crowds are down, but to pretend they've done nothing other than sink to a "natural" level strikes me as ignoring statistical fact.Now take out the spike I mentioned and what is the figure? Our three highest averages were all under in the last 5 years. It's clear that the current level of support is not unprecedented.
The average of the ten years pre Lerner was 34.9k. My guess is that is around where we'll be by the end of the season. We've played none of the top clubs at home and our crowds are generally higher after Christmas.They are clearly down but comparing them to the unusually high averages of the past few years distorts the picture.