Expected goals

[Lastfootstamper]

Always love anything that means I can have a pop at spuds. Their xG at half time was 0.09, and by full time against a side who aren't quite at full strength they'd increased that to an awesome 0.14

[Jockey Randall]

How are we doing in the xG table? Better than Lawro's Predictions I hope.

Progressed the ball in dangerous way but attack has been short on effectiveness to XG  as 2 less

Under stat XG
1.Man City 38
2.Liverpool 36
3.Villa 35  (actual 33)

Notice on expected points we're also up there in 4th behind Man City, Liverpool and Chelsea.

Looking at the other sides and their totals it suggests maybe Southampton, Everton and Man Utd all have a decent chuck of points that maybe their performances haven't warranted.

[Footy-Vill]

Source is  The XG philosophy from Twitter.

XG in Southampton 0-1  Aston Villa
Southampton 2.51 Aston Villa 0.86

(And for reference in the Villa 3-4  Southampton
XG was Aston Villa 2.67 Southampton 0.80)

[paul_e]

Source is  The XG philosophy from Twitter.

XG in Southampton 0-1  Aston Villa
Southampton 2.51 Aston Villa 0.86

(And for reference in the Villa 3-4  Southampton
XG was Aston Villa 2.67 Southampton 0.80)

Sounds about right, we got our own back for their freak result of having 4 shots and scoring all of them. I still think if that game had gone for another 10 minutes we'd have won, the last 15-20minutes was  amongst the most one-sided spells of play I've seen all year.

[Footy-Vill]

Aston Villa 1-3 West Ham
XG Aston Villa 0.86 West Ham 1.69

[Footy-Vill]

Aston Villa 1-0 Arsenal
XG Aston Villa 1.30 Arsenal 0.93

[aj2k77]

Source is  The XG philosophy from Twitter.

XG in Southampton 0-1  Aston Villa
Southampton 2.51 Aston Villa 0.86

(And for reference in the Villa 3-4  Southampton
XG was Aston Villa 2.67 Southampton 0.80)

So we beat them 3.53 - 3.31 on aggregate.